Casmalia Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count4,796
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates4,486
Magnitude Range[6.25, 8.24]
Length Range[12, 983] km
Total Rate2.9201564E-4 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate1.2417127E-4 /yr (42.52%)
Directly-Connected Faults4
All Co-Rupturing Faults47

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

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Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

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MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥6.12.9201564E-4[5.44E-6, 2.99E-3]3,424.47[334.71, 183,823.52]
M≥6.22.6912492E-4[5.44E-6, 2.46E-3]3,715.75[406.21, 183,823.52]
M≥6.32.5657742E-4[5.44E-6, 1.97E-3]3,897.46[506.79, 183,823.52]
M≥6.42.1968308E-4[5.44E-6, 1.45E-3]4,552.01[688.8, 183,823.52]
M≥6.51.9203784E-4[5.35E-6, 1.16E-3]5,207.31[859.33, 186,830.34]
M≥6.61.773739E-4[5.20E-6, 8.64E-4]5,637.81[1,157.27, 192,442.78]
M≥6.71.5699984E-4[3.34E-6, 8.18E-4]6,369.43[1,222.64, 299,132.52]
M≥6.81.4201314E-4[1.48E-6, 8.18E-4]7,041.6[1,222.64, 675,675.66]
M≥6.91.2635827E-4[1.31E-20, 6.56E-4]7,914.01[1,525.32, 76,167,201,336,607,180,000]
M≥71.15089606E-4[0.00E0, 4.15E-4]8,688.88[2,412.01, ∞]
M≥7.11.10294655E-4[0.00E0, 4.10E-4]9,066.62[2,437.77, ∞]
M≥7.21.0801965E-4[0.00E0, 4.04E-4]9,257.57[2,477.28, ∞]
M≥7.31.053762E-4[0.00E0, 4.04E-4]9,489.81[2,477.28, ∞]
M≥7.49.743553E-5[0.00E0, 4.04E-4]10,263.2[2,477.28, ∞]
M≥7.58.4020125E-5[0.00E0, 3.15E-4]11,901.91[3,176.35, ∞]
M≥7.67.518051E-5[0.00E0, 2.95E-4]13,301.32[3,393.16, ∞]
M≥7.76.665441E-5[0.00E0, 2.44E-4]15,002.76[4,101.47, ∞]
M≥7.86.259108E-5[0.00E0, 2.44E-4]15,976.72[4,101.54, ∞]
M≥7.95.1996292E-5[0.00E0, 2.44E-4]19,232.14[4,101.55, ∞]
M≥82.668809E-5[0.00E0, 2.30E-4]37,469.9[4,344.05, ∞]
M≥8.11.1982835E-5[0.00E0, 2.30E-4]83,452.71[4,344.05, ∞]
M≥8.22.042684E-6[0.00E0, 1.12E-4]489,551.97[8,944.54, ∞]
M≥8.33.05004E-7[0.00E0, 6.82E-5]3,278,645.69[14,671.36, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

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Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

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Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

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Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

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Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which Casmalia participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

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The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example

Rupture 81759Rupture 82274Rupture 400557

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 413012Rupture 417857Rupture 248252

Connectivity

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Map

Nearby Sections

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Fault Section
Lions Head, 0.26 km away
Hosgri, 0.4 km away
Los Alamos, 0.53 km away
San Luis Range (Pecho), 8.45 km away
Hosgri (extension), 9.32 km away
San Luis Range (extended), 10.87 km away
Oceanic - West Huasna, 11.14 km away
Santa Ynez River, 11.84 km away
San Luis Range (Oceano), 11.85 km away

Lions Head, 0.26 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?false
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count0
Co-rupture RateN/A

Hosgri, 0.4 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.4 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.4 km
Co-rupture Count4,471
Co-rupture Rate1.153698E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.59, 8.24]

Los Alamos, 0.53 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.53 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.53 km
Co-rupture Count296
Co-rupture Rate7.776338E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.01, 8.19]

San Luis Range (Pecho), 8.45 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count18
Co-rupture Rate3.4113096E-8
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.10, 7.87]

Hosgri (extension), 9.32 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist9.32 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist9.32 km
Co-rupture Count677
Co-rupture Rate1.9129902E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.41, 8.19]

San Luis Range (extended), 10.87 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count20
Co-rupture Rate5.7181094E-8
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.52, 7.87]

Oceanic - West Huasna, 11.14 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count41
Co-rupture Rate6.775143E-8
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.38, 8.02]

Santa Ynez River, 11.84 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist11.84 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist12.28 km
Co-rupture Count3,908
Co-rupture Rate1.405182E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.59, 8.24]

San Luis Range (Oceano), 11.85 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count43
Co-rupture Rate1.927647E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.72, 8.01]