Elysian Park (lower) Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count4,856
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates4,779
Magnitude Range[6.25, 7.98]
Length Range[12, 409] km
Total Rate5.402864E-5 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate3.899195E-5 /yr (72.17%)
Directly-Connected Faults14
All Co-Rupturing Faults68

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

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Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

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MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥6.15.402864E-5[3.51E-6, 1.61E-3]18,508.7[620.98, 284,916.52]
M≥6.25.1869632E-5[3.51E-6, 1.52E-3]19,279.1[659.15, 284,916.52]
M≥6.35.065301E-5[3.51E-6, 1.22E-3]19,742.16[818.26, 284,916.52]
M≥6.44.726118E-5[3.51E-6, 9.31E-4]21,159.02[1,074.1, 284,916.52]
M≥6.54.483187E-5[3.47E-6, 8.21E-4]22,305.56[1,218.24, 288,591.13]
M≥6.64.2420088E-5[3.47E-6, 6.57E-4]23,573.74[1,522.63, 288,591.13]
M≥6.73.936238E-5[2.25E-6, 5.78E-4]25,404.97[1,729.47, 443,734.47]
M≥6.83.666267E-5[4.02E-20, 5.01E-4]27,275.7[1,996.39, 24,854,560,436,156,027,000]
M≥6.93.1914977E-5[0.00E0, 4.16E-4]31,333.25[2,404.24, ∞]
M≥72.5575599E-5[0.00E0, 3.08E-4]39,099.77[3,246.03, ∞]
M≥7.12.1430194E-5[0.00E0, 2.85E-4]46,663.13[3,508.42, ∞]
M≥7.21.6768445E-5[0.00E0, 2.55E-4]59,635.82[3,927.17, ∞]
M≥7.31.37731195E-5[0.00E0, 1.96E-4]72,605.2[5,096.94, ∞]
M≥7.41.22147885E-5[0.00E0, 1.22E-4]81,867.97[8,219.19, ∞]
M≥7.51.0995001E-5[0.00E0, 1.17E-4]90,950.42[8,571.77, ∞]
M≥7.68.6475775E-6[0.00E0, 1.13E-4]115,639.32[8,862.81, ∞]
M≥7.75.2332257E-6[0.00E0, 1.02E-4]191,086.73[9,851.73, ∞]
M≥7.82.2822712E-6[0.00E0, 8.81E-5]438,160.02[11,350.09, ∞]
M≥7.95.001875E-7[0.00E0, 5.38E-5]1,999,250.18[18,577, ∞]
M≥84.6410904E-8[0.00E0, 2.88E-5]21,546,660.45[34,734.28, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

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Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

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Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

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Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

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Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which Elysian Park (lower) participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

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The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example
Rupture 3875Rupture 237861Rupture 130166

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 129818Rupture 214864Rupture 79115

Connectivity

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Map

Nearby Sections

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Fault SectionFault Section
Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs), 0.21 km awayPuente Hills (Coyote Hills), 2.79 km away
Peralta Hills, 0.94 km awayPuente Hills (Los Angeles), 4 km away
San Vicente, 0.98 km awayYorba Linda, 4.4 km away
San Pedro Escarpment, 1.19 km awayNewport - Inglewood, 5.75 km away
Raymond, 1.6 km awayRichfield, 6.17 km away
Whittier, 1.99 km awayNorth Salt Lake, 7.42 km away
Anaheim, 2.23 km awaySanta Monica, 9.5 km away
Walnut Creek, 2.38 km awaySan Jose, 9.55 km away
Hollywood, 2.47 km awayChino, 9.62 km away
Elysian Park (upper), 2.49 km awayVerdugo, 10.52 km away
Compton, 2.57 km awaySanta Monica Bay, 14.64 km away

Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs), 0.21 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.21 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.34 km
Co-rupture Count1,028
Co-rupture Rate7.018979E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.73, 7.97]

Peralta Hills, 0.94 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.94 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.94 km
Co-rupture Count221
Co-rupture Rate5.8464417E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.70, 7.97]

San Vicente, 0.98 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.98 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.98 km
Co-rupture Count412
Co-rupture Rate5.2847345E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.57, 7.98]

San Pedro Escarpment, 1.19 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.19 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist1.19 km
Co-rupture Count668
Co-rupture Rate5.948287E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.24, 7.88]

Raymond, 1.6 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.6 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.09 km
Co-rupture Count240
Co-rupture Rate9.543062E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.85, 7.84]

Whittier, 1.99 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.99 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.12 km
Co-rupture Count632
Co-rupture Rate1.1627203E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.69, 7.98]

Anaheim, 2.23 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.23 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.69 km
Co-rupture Count506
Co-rupture Rate5.134105E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.53, 7.92]

Walnut Creek, 2.38 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.38 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.38 km
Co-rupture Count17
Co-rupture Rate1.7874372E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.85, 7.49]

Hollywood, 2.47 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.47 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.47 km
Co-rupture Count1,022
Co-rupture Rate1.2609106E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.68, 7.96]

Elysian Park (upper), 2.49 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.49 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.49 km
Co-rupture Count69
Co-rupture Rate3.3928357E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.01, 7.84]

Compton, 2.57 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.57 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.57 km
Co-rupture Count1,602
Co-rupture Rate6.9239945E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.07, 7.93]

Puente Hills (Coyote Hills), 2.79 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.79 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist3.86 km
Co-rupture Count606
Co-rupture Rate8.0189775E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.81, 7.98]

Puente Hills (Los Angeles), 4 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist4 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist4.49 km
Co-rupture Count466
Co-rupture Rate8.820431E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.81, 7.85]

Yorba Linda, 4.4 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?false
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count0
Co-rupture RateN/A

Newport - Inglewood, 5.75 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.75 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.75 km
Co-rupture Count639
Co-rupture Rate1.6143848E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.67, 7.83]

Richfield, 6.17 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count67
Co-rupture Rate4.611961E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.75, 7.84]

North Salt Lake, 7.42 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count24
Co-rupture Rate5.158151E-8
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.81, 7.41]

Santa Monica, 9.5 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count1,368
Co-rupture Rate2.0354375E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.87, 7.93]

San Jose, 9.55 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?false
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count0
Co-rupture RateN/A

Chino, 9.62 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count204
Co-rupture Rate2.6937657E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.99, 7.97]

Verdugo, 10.52 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count71
Co-rupture Rate2.4263304E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.11, 7.71]

Santa Monica Bay, 14.64 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count28
Co-rupture Rate1.3505863E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.48, 7.72]