Great Valley 10 (Panoche) Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count880
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates880
Magnitude Range[6.02, 7.87]
Length Range[9, 337] km
Total Rate0.0012580334 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate7.585749E-4 /yr (60.30%)
Directly-Connected Faults3
All Co-Rupturing Faults21

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

(top)

Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

(top)

MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥5.80.0012580334[0.00E0, 9.20E-3]794.89[108.73, ∞]
M≥5.90.0011950395[0.00E0, 6.81E-3]836.79[146.82, ∞]
M≥60.0011597405[0.00E0, 5.34E-3]862.26[187.34, ∞]
M≥6.10.0010392831[0.00E0, 3.77E-3]962.2[265.53, ∞]
M≥6.29.882569E-4[0.00E0, 3.56E-3]1,011.88[280.5, ∞]
M≥6.38.927302E-4[0.00E0, 3.56E-3]1,120.16[280.5, ∞]
M≥6.47.767904E-4[0.00E0, 2.36E-3]1,287.35[423.55, ∞]
M≥6.57.0410647E-4[0.00E0, 2.34E-3]1,420.24[428.09, ∞]
M≥6.66.500932E-4[0.00E0, 2.13E-3]1,538.24[468.69, ∞]
M≥6.75.952532E-4[0.00E0, 2.10E-3]1,679.96[475.7, ∞]
M≥6.85.2596297E-4[0.00E0, 1.86E-3]1,901.27[537.44, ∞]
M≥6.94.3883672E-4[0.00E0, 1.55E-3]2,278.75[644.26, ∞]
M≥73.551239E-4[0.00E0, 1.41E-3]2,815.92[710.53, ∞]
M≥7.12.79081E-4[0.00E0, 1.04E-3]3,583.19[962.79, ∞]
M≥7.22.2562107E-4[0.00E0, 7.68E-4]4,432.21[1,302.66, ∞]
M≥7.31.9986935E-4[0.00E0, 7.17E-4]5,003.27[1,394.7, ∞]
M≥7.41.8219548E-4[0.00E0, 7.17E-4]5,488.61[1,394.7, ∞]
M≥7.51.4088108E-4[0.00E0, 7.17E-4]7,098.19[1,394.7, ∞]
M≥7.68.349805E-5[0.00E0, 5.33E-4]11,976.33[1,875.47, ∞]
M≥7.71.85856E-5[0.00E0, 3.30E-4]53,805.09[3,027.55, ∞]
M≥7.81.9798056E-6[0.00E0, 2.60E-4]505,100.13[3,841.72, ∞]
M≥7.97.105046E-8[0.00E0, 1.61E-5]14,074,504.8[62,189.06, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

(top)

Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

(top)

Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

(top)

Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

(top)

Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which Great Valley 10 (Panoche) participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

(top)

The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example

Rupture 164729Rupture 164938Rupture 167798

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 544925Rupture 165029Rupture 165170

Connectivity

(top)

Map

Nearby Sections

(top)

Fault Section
Great Valley 11, 0.13 km away
Great Valley 9 (Laguna Seca), 0.69 km away
Ortigalita (south), 2.69 km away

Great Valley 11, 0.13 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.13 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.13 km
Co-rupture Count535
Co-rupture Rate4.3887275E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.37, 7.87]

Great Valley 9 (Laguna Seca), 0.69 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.69 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.69 km
Co-rupture Count723
Co-rupture Rate5.919167E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.19, 7.87]

Ortigalita (south), 2.69 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.69 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist3.21 km
Co-rupture Count225
Co-rupture Rate1.8966524E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.41, 7.69]