Great Valley 4a (Trout Creek) Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count3,202
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates3,167
Magnitude Range[6.35, 8.23]
Length Range[13, 1,026] km
Total Rate7.745443E-4 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate5.2931154E-4 /yr (68.34%)
Directly-Connected Faults4
All Co-Rupturing Faults45

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

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Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

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MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥6.27.745443E-4[0.00E0, 3.80E-3]1,291.08[262.95, ∞]
M≥6.37.266195E-4[0.00E0, 2.63E-3]1,376.24[380.89, ∞]
M≥6.47.045729E-4[0.00E0, 2.61E-3]1,419.3[383.88, ∞]
M≥6.56.134103E-4[0.00E0, 1.87E-3]1,630.23[534.76, ∞]
M≥6.65.7782134E-4[0.00E0, 1.63E-3]1,730.64[615.01, ∞]
M≥6.75.371309E-4[0.00E0, 1.18E-3]1,861.74[847.37, ∞]
M≥6.84.981399E-4[0.00E0, 1.00E-3]2,007.47[998.38, ∞]
M≥6.94.6241327E-4[0.00E0, 9.18E-4]2,162.57[1,089.82, ∞]
M≥74.105119E-4[0.00E0, 7.81E-4]2,435.98[1,280.2, ∞]
M≥7.13.454962E-4[0.00E0, 6.29E-4]2,894.39[1,588.58, ∞]
M≥7.22.726785E-4[0.00E0, 5.93E-4]3,667.32[1,687.24, ∞]
M≥7.31.9648594E-4[0.00E0, 5.16E-4]5,089.42[1,938.06, ∞]
M≥7.41.2743229E-4[0.00E0, 4.71E-4]7,847.3[2,124.6, ∞]
M≥7.57.664389E-5[0.00E0, 4.69E-4]13,047.35[2,130.7, ∞]
M≥7.64.93024E-5[0.00E0, 3.93E-4]20,282.99[2,542.65, ∞]
M≥7.72.1775973E-5[0.00E0, 3.04E-4]45,922.17[3,294.13, ∞]
M≥7.85.0691483E-6[0.00E0, 1.51E-4]197,271.8[6,610.72, ∞]
M≥7.91.5760323E-6[0.00E0, 7.67E-5]634,504.76[13,031.01, ∞]
M≥81.0255371E-6[0.00E0, 7.67E-5]975,098.79[13,031.01, ∞]
M≥8.14.50569E-7[0.00E0, 7.10E-5]2,219,415.89[14,088.48, ∞]
M≥8.29.9607554E-8[0.00E0, 4.15E-5]10,039,399.51[24,102.19, ∞]
M≥8.32.4336326E-9[0.00E0, 1.76E-6]410,908,347.59[566,893.43, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

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Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

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Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

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Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

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Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which Great Valley 4a (Trout Creek) participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

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The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example

Rupture 166514Rupture 165759Rupture 231608

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 12890Rupture 70803Rupture 57312

Connectivity

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Map

Nearby Sections

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Fault Section
Great Valley 3 (Mysterious Ridge), 1.28 km away
Great Valley 4b (Gordon Valley), 1.36 km away
Hunting Creek - Berryessa, 5.46 km away
Great Valley 3a (Dunnigan Hills), 6.42 km away
Green Valley, 8.77 km away
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs (connector), 12.43 km away
Great Valley 6 (Midland), 14.95 km away

Great Valley 3 (Mysterious Ridge), 1.28 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.28 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist1.28 km
Co-rupture Count1,983
Co-rupture Rate3.0732094E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.68, 8.23]

Great Valley 4b (Gordon Valley), 1.36 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.36 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist1.36 km
Co-rupture Count1,767
Co-rupture Rate3.928299E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.68, 8.22]

Hunting Creek - Berryessa, 5.46 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.46 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.46 km
Co-rupture Count1,885
Co-rupture Rate1.4975542E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.51, 8.23]

Great Valley 3a (Dunnigan Hills), 6.42 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist6.42 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist6.42 km
Co-rupture Count848
Co-rupture Rate6.646404E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.51, 8.18]

Green Valley, 8.77 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count1,356
Co-rupture Rate3.425852E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.98, 8.23]

Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs (connector), 12.43 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count226
Co-rupture Rate5.5089153E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.75, 7.73]

Great Valley 6 (Midland), 14.95 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count632
Co-rupture Rate3.359523E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.18, 7.83]