Mission Creek Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count39,833
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates35,799
Magnitude Range[6.56, 8.37]
Length Range[15, 1,469] km
Total Rate0.0010963356 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate9.876171E-4 /yr (90.08%)
Directly-Connected Faults10
All Co-Rupturing Faults163

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

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Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

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MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥6.40.0010963356[2.44E-6, 3.68E-3]912.13[271.55, 410,618.87]
M≥6.50.0010535526[2.44E-6, 3.68E-3]949.17[271.55, 410,618.87]
M≥6.60.001029987[2.44E-6, 3.68E-3]970.89[271.55, 410,618.87]
M≥6.70.001000632[2.44E-6, 3.68E-3]999.37[271.55, 410,618.87]
M≥6.89.510889E-4[2.44E-6, 3.18E-3]1,051.43[314.27, 410,640.18]
M≥6.99.0878573E-4[2.44E-6, 2.92E-3]1,100.37[342.31, 410,640.18]
M≥78.685029E-4[2.43E-6, 2.48E-3]1,151.41[402.93, 411,567.69]
M≥7.18.143376E-4[2.43E-6, 2.10E-3]1,227.99[475.9, 411,959.34]
M≥7.27.722014E-4[2.41E-6, 2.10E-3]1,295[476.38, 414,471.01]
M≥7.37.337434E-4[2.40E-6, 2.10E-3]1,362.87[477.29, 417,370.28]
M≥7.46.856259E-4[2.39E-6, 1.98E-3]1,458.52[504.12, 417,644.48]
M≥7.56.468337E-4[2.39E-6, 1.98E-3]1,545.99[504.48, 419,083.38]
M≥7.66.019754E-4[2.34E-6, 1.98E-3]1,661.2[505.23, 427,703.19]
M≥7.75.3739327E-4[1.54E-6, 1.91E-3]1,860.83[523.77, 649,433.3]
M≥7.84.5415474E-4[7.88E-8, 1.62E-3]2,201.89[618.75, 12,689,711.36]
M≥7.93.5612247E-4[6.29E-9, 1.61E-3]2,808.02[620.5, 159,083,673.84]
M≥82.193032E-4[5.54E-23, 1.28E-3]4,559.9[780.97, 18,043,668,949,472,077,000,000]
M≥8.19.010143E-5[0.00E0, 1.11E-3]11,098.6[903.67, ∞]
M≥8.21.6348558E-5[0.00E0, 4.82E-4]61,167.48[2,073.74, ∞]
M≥8.32.266471E-6[0.00E0, 2.57E-4]441,214.55[3,888.99, ∞]
M≥8.46.4168825E-7[0.00E0, 1.54E-4]1,558,389.08[6,501.95, ∞]
M≥8.56.237025E-8[0.00E0, 4.36E-5]16,033,285.46[22,914.76, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

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Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

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Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

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Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

(top)

Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which Mission Creek participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

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The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example

Rupture 88745Rupture 361066Rupture 383826

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 449006Rupture 197336Rupture 247880

Connectivity

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Map

Nearby Sections

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Fault Section
Lake Peak, 0.13 km away
San Andreas (San Bernardino, south), 0.18 km away
Pinto Mountain, 0.19 km away
Mill Creek (San Andreas, north branch), 0.21 km away
Morongo Valley, 0.26 km away
North Frontal (east), 5.03 km away
San Gorgonio Pass, 5.04 km away
Cox Ranch, 5.41 km away
San Andreas (Banning), 5.7 km away
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass - Garnet Hill), 9.37 km away
Crafton Hills, 10.77 km away
North Frontal (west), 14.51 km away

Lake Peak, 0.13 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.13 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.13 km
Co-rupture Count137
Co-rupture Rate7.182388E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.77, 7.79]

San Andreas (San Bernardino, south), 0.18 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.18 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.18 km
Co-rupture Count21,743
Co-rupture Rate4.4103712E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.85, 8.37]

Pinto Mountain, 0.19 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.19 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.19 km
Co-rupture Count1,844
Co-rupture Rate9.16504E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.06, 7.95]

Mill Creek (San Andreas, north branch), 0.21 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.21 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.66 km
Co-rupture Count46,599
Co-rupture Rate6.543137E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.90, 8.37]

Morongo Valley, 0.26 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.26 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.72 km
Co-rupture Count589
Co-rupture Rate1.3400495E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.89, 8.29]

North Frontal (east), 5.03 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.03 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.23 km
Co-rupture Count2,202
Co-rupture Rate3.5769335E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.99, 8.36]

San Gorgonio Pass, 5.04 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.04 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.04 km
Co-rupture Count2,041
Co-rupture Rate1.4319715E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.89, 8.32]

Cox Ranch, 5.41 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.41 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.41 km
Co-rupture Count216
Co-rupture Rate2.2227236E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.09, 7.77]

San Andreas (Banning), 5.7 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.7 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist6.27 km
Co-rupture Count5,588
Co-rupture Rate3.8670063E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.78, 8.35]

San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass - Garnet Hill), 9.37 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist9.37 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist9.62 km
Co-rupture Count5,174
Co-rupture Rate2.4976232E-4
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.77, 8.35]

Crafton Hills, 10.77 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count73
Co-rupture Rate7.9156086E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.24, 7.81]

North Frontal (west), 14.51 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count511
Co-rupture Rate2.790751E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.35, 8.36]