North Frontal (east) Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count5,080
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates4,430
Magnitude Range[6.76, 8.36]
Length Range[19, 1,352] km
Total Rate2.5365342E-4 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate1.6590093E-4 /yr (65.40%)
Directly-Connected Faults7
All Co-Rupturing Faults99

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

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Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

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MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥6.62.5365342E-4[0.00E0, 2.15E-3]3,942.39[464.25, ∞]
M≥6.72.3671318E-4[0.00E0, 1.63E-3]4,224.52[614.25, ∞]
M≥6.82.0701725E-4[0.00E0, 1.63E-3]4,830.52[614.25, ∞]
M≥6.91.9069205E-4[0.00E0, 8.53E-4]5,244.06[1,172.47, ∞]
M≥71.73758E-4[0.00E0, 8.53E-4]5,755.13[1,172.47, ∞]
M≥7.11.5119486E-4[0.00E0, 5.42E-4]6,613.98[1,843.57, ∞]
M≥7.21.352717E-4[0.00E0, 5.42E-4]7,392.53[1,843.57, ∞]
M≥7.31.2617151E-4[0.00E0, 5.42E-4]7,925.72[1,844.3, ∞]
M≥7.41.1546381E-4[0.00E0, 5.42E-4]8,660.72[1,844.3, ∞]
M≥7.59.536008E-5[0.00E0, 4.13E-4]10,486.57[2,424.18, ∞]
M≥7.66.451844E-5[0.00E0, 3.29E-4]15,499.44[3,036.08, ∞]
M≥7.74.781457E-5[0.00E0, 2.71E-4]20,914.13[3,694.25, ∞]
M≥7.84.144094E-5[0.00E0, 2.52E-4]24,130.73[3,961.02, ∞]
M≥7.93.363835E-5[0.00E0, 2.50E-4]29,727.98[4,000, ∞]
M≥82.5272157E-5[0.00E0, 2.50E-4]39,569.24[4,000, ∞]
M≥8.18.795449E-6[0.00E0, 1.38E-4]113,695.17[7,267.44, ∞]
M≥8.21.9189536E-6[0.00E0, 6.15E-5]521,117.33[16,258.05, ∞]
M≥8.34.603134E-7[0.00E0, 4.66E-5]2,172,432.92[21,445.42, ∞]
M≥8.41.2711695E-7[0.00E0, 3.58E-5]7,866,771.65[27,970.46, ∞]
M≥8.54.881848E-9[0.00E0, 6.20E-6]204,840,474.83[161,238.31, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

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Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

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Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

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Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

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Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which North Frontal (east) participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

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The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example

Rupture 178950Rupture 177178Rupture 360366

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 447667Rupture 439305Rupture 247832

Connectivity

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Map

Nearby Sections

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Fault Section
Helendale - Lockhart (south), 0.51 km away
Lenwood - Lockhart - Old Woman Springs, 1.18 km away
North Frontal (west), 1.95 km away
Lake Peak, 4.47 km away
Mission Creek, 5.03 km away
Johnson Valley (north), 5.35 km away
Mill Creek (San Andreas, north branch), 6.46 km away
Kickapoo, 6.55 km away
Pinto Mountain, 6.95 km away
Homestead Valley, 8.73 km away
Morongo Valley, 8.78 km away
San Andreas (San Bernardino, south), 14.28 km away
San Gorgonio Pass, 14.43 km away

Helendale - Lockhart (south), 0.51 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.51 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.51 km
Co-rupture Count425
Co-rupture Rate7.990781E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.90, 8.14]

Lenwood - Lockhart - Old Woman Springs, 1.18 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.18 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist1.18 km
Co-rupture Count414
Co-rupture Rate5.0957395E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.50, 8.32]

North Frontal (west), 1.95 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist1.95 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist1.95 km
Co-rupture Count903
Co-rupture Rate8.599261E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.05, 8.36]

Lake Peak, 4.47 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist4.47 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist4.47 km
Co-rupture Count1,583
Co-rupture Rate3.263039E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.91, 8.33]

Mission Creek, 5.03 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.03 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.23 km
Co-rupture Count2,202
Co-rupture Rate3.5769335E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.99, 8.36]

Johnson Valley (north), 5.35 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist5.35 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist5.35 km
Co-rupture Count2,087
Co-rupture Rate2.3845047E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.95, 8.36]

Mill Creek (San Andreas, north branch), 6.46 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count4,567
Co-rupture Rate5.4767337E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.14, 8.36]

Kickapoo, 6.55 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count22
Co-rupture Rate3.868219E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.09, 7.84]

Pinto Mountain, 6.95 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count16
Co-rupture Rate3.889974E-8
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.25, 7.82]

Homestead Valley, 8.73 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist8.73 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist8.77 km
Co-rupture Count749
Co-rupture Rate3.2173022E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.96, 8.33]

Morongo Valley, 8.78 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?false
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count0
Co-rupture RateN/A

San Andreas (San Bernardino, south), 14.28 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count543
Co-rupture Rate8.801661E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.18, 8.29]

San Gorgonio Pass, 14.43 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count162
Co-rupture Rate1.3688965E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.80, 8.32]