San Felipe Details

PropertyValue
Rupture Count5,722
Ruptures w/ Nonzero Rates5,230
Magnitude Range[6.42, 8.38]
Length Range[15, 1,469] km
Total Rate9.9955454E-5 /yr
Multi-Fault Rate5.401705E-5 /yr (54.04%)
Directly-Connected Faults9
All Co-Rupturing Faults100

Table Of Contents

Magnitude-Frequency Distribution

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Fault magnitude-frequency distributions. The left plot shows incremental rates (rates within each magnitude bin), and the right plot shows cumulative rates (rates at or above the given magnitude).

The smaller bottom panel shows the distribution of available ruptures with a green histogram and is not rate-weighted. It only shows the raw count of ruptures of various magnitudes available in the rupture set.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

NOTE: This solution has a distribution of magnitudes and rates for each ruptures, and is likely a branch-averaged solution. That full distribution for each rupture is used to construct the MFDs above, but only mean magnitudes are used in the lower panel showing available and utilized magnitudes, and thus there may be bins with nonzero rates in the top panel where no mgnitudes are shown in the bottom. The magnitude rage at the top of this page also only considers mean magnitudes.

Cumulative Rates and Recurrence Intervals Table

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MagnitudeParticipation RateRangeParticipation RI (yrs)Range
M≥6.29.9955454E-5[0.00E0, 3.07E-4]10,004.46[3,252.67, ∞]
M≥6.39.305339E-5[0.00E0, 2.84E-4]10,746.52[3,518.81, ∞]
M≥6.48.950422E-5[0.00E0, 2.51E-4]11,172.66[3,980.38, ∞]
M≥6.57.8930556E-5[0.00E0, 2.22E-4]12,669.36[4,497.8, ∞]
M≥6.67.479651E-5[0.00E0, 1.92E-4]13,369.61[5,203.87, ∞]
M≥6.76.792267E-5[0.00E0, 1.51E-4]14,722.62[6,605.68, ∞]
M≥6.86.168492E-5[0.00E0, 1.34E-4]16,211.42[7,435.35, ∞]
M≥6.95.641846E-5[0.00E0, 1.22E-4]17,724.7[8,205.56, ∞]
M≥74.953632E-5[0.00E0, 1.08E-4]20,187.21[9,297.4, ∞]
M≥7.14.2772386E-5[0.00E0, 9.18E-5]23,379.57[10,893.88, ∞]
M≥7.23.72715E-5[0.00E0, 8.63E-5]26,830.15[11,584.85, ∞]
M≥7.33.2346674E-5[0.00E0, 7.84E-5]30,915.08[12,750.39, ∞]
M≥7.42.6846246E-5[0.00E0, 6.92E-5]37,249.16[14,447.98, ∞]
M≥7.52.0656405E-5[0.00E0, 6.36E-5]48,411.13[15,732.5, ∞]
M≥7.61.4568692E-5[0.00E0, 6.36E-5]68,640.34[15,732.5, ∞]
M≥7.78.380283E-6[0.00E0, 5.16E-5]119,327.71[19,363.14, ∞]
M≥7.83.016032E-6[0.00E0, 2.64E-5]331,561.46[37,907.51, ∞]
M≥7.91.0998796E-6[0.00E0, 2.52E-5]909,190.42[39,614.94, ∞]
M≥87.9982374E-7[0.00E0, 2.52E-5]1,250,275.51[39,614.94, ∞]
M≥8.15.572671E-7[0.00E0, 2.52E-5]1,794,471.7[39,614.94, ∞]
M≥8.21.9205913E-7[0.00E0, 2.19E-5]5,206,729.73[45,599.64, ∞]
M≥8.39.7336E-8[0.00E0, 8.87E-6]10,273,691.48[112,688.76, ∞]
M≥8.45.246991E-8[0.00E0, 6.53E-6]19,058,541.91[153,045.61, ∞]
M≥8.57.817241E-9[0.00E0, 3.16E-6]127,922,375.81[316,957.2, ∞]

Individual Branch Nucleation MFDs

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Individual nucleation MFDs across 2250 logic tree branches. The individual branches with the highest and lowest total rate are highlighted, as are the mean and median models.

IncrementalCumulative
Incremental PlotCumulative Plot

Along-Strike Values

(top)

Along-strike plot

Moment-Rates and b-Values

(top)

Along-strike plot

Length Distributions

(top)

Fault rupture length distributions. The top panel shows the raw count of ruptures in which San Felipe participates in the rupture set as a function of rupture length. The bottom two panels show the rate-weighted distribution (i.e., the distribution of lengths in the solution). The middle panel is plotted with a linear scale, and the bottom paney a logarithmic scale.

Length Hist

Rupture Examples

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The following table includes example ruptures, selected at various percentiles from the rate-weighted rupture length distribution. So, for example, the rupture with length closest to the median length (again, rate-weighted) is plotted in the first column ('p50 Example'). The longest participating rupture is plotted last ('p100 Example').

It is important to note that the rupture examples here may not be representative, and may have negligible rates. They are included for illustration purposes only.

p50 Example

p75 Example

p90 Example

Rupture 128867Rupture 471978Rupture 308955

p97.5 Example

p99 Example

p100 Example

Rupture 458362Rupture 458272Rupture 247880

Connectivity

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Map

Nearby Sections

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Fault Section
Murrieta Hot Springs, 0.95 km away
San Jacinto (Borrego), 1.37 km away
San Jacinto (Superstition Mountain), 2.46 km away
Earthquake Valley (north), 3.17 km away
Earthquake Valley (center), 4.92 km away
Extra, 7.81 km away
Superstition Hills, 8.12 km away
Earthquake Valley (south), 8.34 km away
Elsinore (Temecula), 8.62 km away
Elsinore (Julian), 9.37 km away
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek), 9.79 km away
Elmore Ranch, 11.02 km away
San Jacinto (Clark), 14.41 km away
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains), 14.76 km away

Murrieta Hot Springs, 0.95 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist0.95 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist0.95 km
Co-rupture Count1,101
Co-rupture Rate2.47753E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.73, 7.80]

San Jacinto (Borrego), 1.37 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist3.28 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist4.99 km
Co-rupture Count412
Co-rupture Rate8.774306E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.67, 8.09]

San Jacinto (Superstition Mountain), 2.46 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist2.46 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist2.46 km
Co-rupture Count336
Co-rupture Rate1.0402602E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.65, 7.80]

Earthquake Valley (north), 3.17 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist3.17 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist3.72 km
Co-rupture Count202
Co-rupture Rate1.12941625E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.83, 7.72]

Earthquake Valley (center), 4.92 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist4.92 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist6.36 km
Co-rupture Count180
Co-rupture Rate6.2885465E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.78, 7.72]

Extra, 7.81 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist7.81 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist7.81 km
Co-rupture Count3,058
Co-rupture Rate1.9070967E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.72, 8.38]

Superstition Hills, 8.12 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count152
Co-rupture Rate3.7793177E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.95, 7.80]

Earthquake Valley (south), 8.34 km away

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NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist8.34 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist9.41 km
Co-rupture Count93
Co-rupture Rate4.9998453E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.69, 7.72]

Elsinore (Temecula), 8.62 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count1,600
Co-rupture Rate2.3693598E-5
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.89, 7.86]

Elsinore (Julian), 9.37 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist9.63 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist11.09 km
Co-rupture Count647
Co-rupture Rate2.5523664E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.89, 7.86]

San Jacinto (Coyote Creek), 9.79 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?true
Min Co-Rupture Dist9.79 km
Min Rate-Weighted Dist9.82 km
Co-rupture Count627
Co-rupture Rate8.908516E-6
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.76, 8.09]

Elmore Ranch, 11.02 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?false
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count0
Co-rupture RateN/A

San Jacinto (Clark), 14.41 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count70
Co-rupture Rate2.9790212E-7
Co-rupture Mag Range[6.96, 7.82]

Elsinore (Coyote Mountains), 14.76 km away

(back to table)

NSHM23
Connected?true
Directly Connected?false
Co-rupture Count15
Co-rupture Rate2.0124974E-8
Co-rupture Mag Range[7.42, 7.53]