Irvine Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Irvine, PGA

Primary	Comparison

Irvine, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
Comparison	0.60058594 (g)	0.32094836 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
Geologic	0.56764287 (g)	0.2928474 (g)
Evans	0.58166313 (g)	0.27873933 (g)
Pollitz	0.57116616 (g)	0.3013225 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.5618323 (g)	0.28866217 (g)
Zeng	0.6038708 (g)	0.308152 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.54485816 (g)	0.28562242 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.56593996 (g)	0.29329053 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.5934534 (g)	0.30305403 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.5744658 (g)	0.29113424 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.6041276 (g)	0.3093521 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.5856049 (g)	0.29848886 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
b=0.0	0.57109386 (g)	0.29266483 (g)
b=0.25	0.5771569 (g)	0.29593816 (g)
b=0.5	0.57982796 (g)	0.2977906 (g)
b=0.75	0.58126587 (g)	0.2988996 (g)
b=1.0	0.5815459 (g)	0.29897165 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
EvenFit	0.57494444 (g)	0.29531255 (g)
OverFit	0.5728765 (g)	0.29717246 (g)
UnderFit	0.5865934 (g)	0.29820946 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
None	0.57075727 (g)	0.29556856 (g)
LowSeg	0.56656975 (g)	0.29331565 (g)
MidSeg	0.5653397 (g)	0.2920623 (g)
HighSeg	0.5653996 (g)	0.29141364 (g)
Classic	0.6839881 (g)	0.33401796 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
PrefSeis	0.5772094 (g)	0.29635414 (g)
LowSeis	0.55690867 (g)	0.2840955 (g)
HighSeis	0.60295403 (g)	0.31197074 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
GK	0.5901672 (g)	0.304977 (g)
NN	0.5745682 (g)	0.29449403 (g)
Reas	0.56000406 (g)	0.28485298 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
Adaptive	0.54433554 (g)	0.27789783 (g)
Fixed	0.6220082 (g)	0.3233545 (g)

Irvine, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57817113 (g)	0.29688922 (g)
MMax7.3	0.5757714 (g)	0.2954037 (g)
MMax7.6	0.57812995 (g)	0.2968409 (g)
MMax7.9	0.58087474 (g)	0.29874754 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA

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Primary	Comparison

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
Comparison	0.40806615 (g)	0.20983736 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
Geologic	0.426114 (g)	0.22429049 (g)
Evans	0.40306327 (g)	0.21030061 (g)
Pollitz	0.43541607 (g)	0.23134544 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.4150888 (g)	0.2154812 (g)
Zeng	0.45549387 (g)	0.23671815 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.4084857 (g)	0.21407032 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.42362568 (g)	0.22187425 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.43895692 (g)	0.2295063 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.42440698 (g)	0.21952304 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.45677114 (g)	0.23871201 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.44221446 (g)	0.23073241 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
b=0.0	0.43633327 (g)	0.2252336 (g)
b=0.25	0.43637654 (g)	0.22655325 (g)
b=0.5	0.4346092 (g)	0.22694993 (g)
b=0.75	0.43064773 (g)	0.22618742 (g)
b=1.0	0.4255809 (g)	0.22442077 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
EvenFit	0.43084502 (g)	0.2253786 (g)
OverFit	0.42605862 (g)	0.22432813 (g)
UnderFit	0.44119403 (g)	0.22796474 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
None	0.4439703 (g)	0.22901565 (g)
LowSeg	0.43373492 (g)	0.22593777 (g)
MidSeg	0.42863205 (g)	0.22389488 (g)
HighSeg	0.4233829 (g)	0.22195819 (g)
Classic	0.45906073 (g)	0.23943134 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
PrefSeis	0.4320658 (g)	0.22541839 (g)
LowSeis	0.4233939 (g)	0.21946655 (g)
HighSeis	0.4453087 (g)	0.23438865 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
GK	0.43524036 (g)	0.2276075 (g)
NN	0.43215954 (g)	0.22547708 (g)
Reas	0.4288283 (g)	0.22310552 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
Adaptive	0.4267392 (g)	0.22217412 (g)
Fixed	0.44144103 (g)	0.23127036 (g)

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.43274078 (g)	0.2258654 (g)
MMax7.3	0.4290909 (g)	0.22330767 (g)
MMax7.6	0.4325372 (g)	0.22571151 (g)
MMax7.9	0.43790936 (g)	0.22957705 (g)

Irvine Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Table Of Contents

Irvine, PGA

Irvine, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

Irvine, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Irvine, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Irvine, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard