Monterey Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Monterey, PGA

Primary	Comparison

Monterey, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
Comparison	0.6366634 (g)	0.3328029 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
Geologic	0.6415767 (g)	0.348371 (g)
Evans	0.71438295 (g)	0.37737545 (g)
Pollitz	0.6608954 (g)	0.34692487 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.6913728 (g)	0.35675794 (g)
Zeng	0.82393175 (g)	0.41927677 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.683858 (g)	0.35857287 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.71588403 (g)	0.37141237 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.75734085 (g)	0.38957208 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.71253943 (g)	0.36836752 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.7365223 (g)	0.38025752 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.7298781 (g)	0.37644702 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
b=0.0	0.6878158 (g)	0.35880768 (g)
b=0.25	0.71010005 (g)	0.3684063 (g)
b=0.5	0.72336483 (g)	0.37395433 (g)
b=0.75	0.73721975 (g)	0.38026488 (g)
b=1.0	0.7546053 (g)	0.3888785 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
EvenFit	0.72311014 (g)	0.37411082 (g)
OverFit	0.7207649 (g)	0.37248823 (g)
UnderFit	0.725058 (g)	0.37562704 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
None	0.7110338 (g)	0.36905187 (g)
LowSeg	0.7072102 (g)	0.36715585 (g)
MidSeg	0.70946383 (g)	0.36785448 (g)
HighSeg	0.7122366 (g)	0.36795998 (g)
Classic	0.8250784 (g)	0.42701492 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
PrefSeis	0.7223264 (g)	0.37341377 (g)
LowSeis	0.70415103 (g)	0.35758454 (g)
HighSeis	0.74393296 (g)	0.3926684 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
GK	0.7088709 (g)	0.36298844 (g)
NN	0.73434734 (g)	0.38294232 (g)
Reas	0.72732085 (g)	0.37755248 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
Adaptive	0.647292 (g)	0.3189131 (g)
Fixed	0.80857015 (g)	0.43686065 (g)

Monterey, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.7229833 (g)	0.37407625 (g)
MMax7.3	0.7205843 (g)	0.37143007 (g)
MMax7.6	0.7229004 (g)	0.37400582 (g)
MMax7.9	0.72600555 (g)	0.37723583 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA

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Primary	Comparison

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
Comparison	0.45023888 (g)	0.22537531 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
Geologic	0.4632964 (g)	0.2423395 (g)
Evans	0.5013074 (g)	0.25509706 (g)
Pollitz	0.46841013 (g)	0.24361736 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.47718072 (g)	0.23744436 (g)
Zeng	0.5987981 (g)	0.29413012 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.48072731 (g)	0.24246757 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.50975364 (g)	0.25500602 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.54061306 (g)	0.27024856 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.5084663 (g)	0.25446215 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.52807504 (g)	0.263061 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.5256126 (g)	0.26202288 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
b=0.0	0.50746715 (g)	0.25311002 (g)
b=0.25	0.51631933 (g)	0.2575232 (g)
b=0.5	0.5186732 (g)	0.25890824 (g)
b=0.75	0.5186603 (g)	0.25960892 (g)
b=1.0	0.5194975 (g)	0.26064876 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
EvenFit	0.51629287 (g)	0.25790754 (g)
OverFit	0.5120811 (g)	0.25507277 (g)
UnderFit	0.5199649 (g)	0.2609341 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
None	0.52468055 (g)	0.25572306 (g)
LowSeg	0.5153011 (g)	0.25510028 (g)
MidSeg	0.5115306 (g)	0.2553752 (g)
HighSeg	0.50523067 (g)	0.25458398 (g)
Classic	0.5523102 (g)	0.28234342 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
PrefSeis	0.5153552 (g)	0.25725815 (g)
LowSeis	0.50557846 (g)	0.24763219 (g)
HighSeis	0.5302292 (g)	0.2710666 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
GK	0.51338404 (g)	0.2552638 (g)
NN	0.5184959 (g)	0.26029336 (g)
Reas	0.5168753 (g)	0.2586916 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
Adaptive	0.5049928 (g)	0.24747308 (g)
Fixed	0.53159076 (g)	0.2719569 (g)

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.51614404 (g)	0.2579848 (g)
MMax7.3	0.5106752 (g)	0.25336125 (g)
MMax7.6	0.51587284 (g)	0.25781247 (g)
MMax7.9	0.52354556 (g)	0.26380053 (g)

Monterey Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Table Of Contents

Monterey, PGA

Monterey, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

Monterey, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Monterey, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Monterey, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard