Santa Cruz Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Santa Cruz, PGA
Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA

Santa Cruz, PGA

Primary	Comparison

Santa Cruz, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
Comparison	0.6955867 (g)	0.40618345 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
Geologic	0.72345406 (g)	0.42317122 (g)
Evans	0.801443 (g)	0.4594307 (g)
Pollitz	0.7393512 (g)	0.4309427 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.73452437 (g)	0.42074817 (g)
Zeng	0.82325757 (g)	0.47191632 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.73511547 (g)	0.42176768 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.75965565 (g)	0.43608582 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.7885104 (g)	0.45552707 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.7539239 (g)	0.43285903 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.77557224 (g)	0.4459659 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.7713812 (g)	0.44411683 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
b=0.0	0.7601454 (g)	0.4316318 (g)
b=0.25	0.7637298 (g)	0.43602303 (g)
b=0.5	0.7659268 (g)	0.4396456 (g)
b=0.75	0.766089 (g)	0.4430832 (g)
b=1.0	0.7659983 (g)	0.44647458 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
EvenFit	0.7650863 (g)	0.43968603 (g)
OverFit	0.7619762 (g)	0.43991852 (g)
UnderFit	0.76616883 (g)	0.43891478 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
None	0.7717723 (g)	0.4359073 (g)
LowSeg	0.7683018 (g)	0.4381183 (g)
MidSeg	0.76511353 (g)	0.43861845 (g)
HighSeg	0.75759596 (g)	0.4373507 (g)
Classic	0.76751614 (g)	0.45375547 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
PrefSeis	0.763574 (g)	0.4389881 (g)
LowSeis	0.7462649 (g)	0.42684048 (g)
HighSeis	0.78620577 (g)	0.45444277 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
GK	0.7582185 (g)	0.43398783 (g)
NN	0.7725314 (g)	0.44633213 (g)
Reas	0.76012725 (g)	0.43646526 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
Adaptive	0.7313723 (g)	0.41557944 (g)
Fixed	0.8070462 (g)	0.47175038 (g)

Santa Cruz, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.76440805 (g)	0.43951076 (g)
MMax7.3	0.762098 (g)	0.43797228 (g)
MMax7.6	0.764383 (g)	0.43947846 (g)
MMax7.9	0.76690316 (g)	0.44129673 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA

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Primary	Comparison

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
Comparison	0.5350307 (g)	0.28015667 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
Geologic	0.5638594 (g)	0.29820517 (g)
Evans	0.6140788 (g)	0.32429186 (g)
Pollitz	0.5795254 (g)	0.30875555 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.55461526 (g)	0.28645223 (g)
Zeng	0.65564287 (g)	0.34481955 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.5616421 (g)	0.29085207 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.58922386 (g)	0.30744207 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.61726123 (g)	0.32743204 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.5865698 (g)	0.30639455 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.60769576 (g)	0.31854305 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.60764 (g)	0.31943256 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
b=0.0	0.6028566 (g)	0.30855078 (g)
b=0.25	0.6017698 (g)	0.31122532 (g)
b=0.5	0.59852904 (g)	0.31304732 (g)
b=0.75	0.59167576 (g)	0.31384045 (g)
b=1.0	0.58329874 (g)	0.3135723 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
EvenFit	0.5963061 (g)	0.3121806 (g)
OverFit	0.5904133 (g)	0.31057456 (g)
UnderFit	0.5998901 (g)	0.31361192 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
None	0.61091757 (g)	0.3079335 (g)
LowSeg	0.6052504 (g)	0.31182206 (g)
MidSeg	0.59904027 (g)	0.31236398 (g)
HighSeg	0.586735 (g)	0.3110123 (g)
Classic	0.5782326 (g)	0.31831175 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
PrefSeis	0.594883 (g)	0.31155628 (g)
LowSeis	0.5867708 (g)	0.30430448 (g)
HighSeis	0.6076309 (g)	0.32195717 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
GK	0.5942155 (g)	0.3106393 (g)
NN	0.5973506 (g)	0.3139388 (g)
Reas	0.59456414 (g)	0.31135443 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
Adaptive	0.5892297 (g)	0.3064339 (g)
Fixed	0.60471624 (g)	0.31988585 (g)

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5955445 (g)	0.31211194 (g)
MMax7.3	0.5918544 (g)	0.30896518 (g)
MMax7.6	0.5953988 (g)	0.3119871 (g)
MMax7.9	0.60032827 (g)	0.31618172 (g)

Santa Cruz Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Table Of Contents

Santa Cruz, PGA

Santa Cruz, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

Santa Cruz, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Santa Cruz, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Santa Cruz, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard