Concord Logic Tree Hazard Curves

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Concord, PGA
Concord, 1.0s SA

Concord, PGA

Primary	Comparison

Concord, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.81496304 (g)	0.4134128 (g)
Comparison	1.225996 (g)	0.60115886 (g)

Concord, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.81496304 (g)	0.4134128 (g)
Geologic	0.8982565 (g)	0.45040503 (g)
Evans	0.7064692 (g)	0.36455727 (g)
Pollitz	0.92559433 (g)	0.48875245 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.7724374 (g)	0.3858371 (g)
Zeng	0.752196 (g)	0.39312363 (g)

Concord, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.81496304 (g)	0.4134128 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.7365711 (g)	0.36744136 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.8007938 (g)	0.40451622 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.86570096 (g)	0.4478693 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.82878256 (g)	0.42490157 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.8347652 (g)	0.42248362 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.8081014 (g)	0.40748546 (g)

Concord, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.81496304 (g)	0.4134128 (g)
b=0.0	0.77576584 (g)	0.38469827 (g)
b=0.25	0.7933743 (g)	0.39802718 (g)
b=0.5	0.81273925 (g)	0.41194057 (g)
b=0.75	0.83262527 (g)	0.42606774 (g)
b=1.0	0.8536889 (g)	0.4417488 (g)

Concord, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.81496304 (g)	0.4134128 (g)
EvenFit	0.8116815 (g)	0.4132424 (g)
OverFit	0.8265137 (g)	0.42172757 (g)
UnderFit	0.80647343 (g)	0.40486956 (g)

Concord, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.81496304 (g)	0.4134128 (g)
None	0.75369203 (g)	0.36128566 (g)
LowSeg	0.7792266 (g)	0.38745776 (g)
MidSeg	0.7851573 (g)	0.39628136 (g)
HighSeg	0.8056396 (g)	0.41639188 (g)
Classic	1.0045408 (g)	0.53276366 (g)

Concord, 1.0s SA

Primary	Comparison

Concord, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.57873535 (g)	0.29367226 (g)
Comparison	0.729429 (g)	0.3658903 (g)

Concord, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57873535 (g)	0.29367226 (g)
Geologic	0.62597483 (g)	0.31214237 (g)
Evans	0.5257141 (g)	0.26772663 (g)
Pollitz	0.63433826 (g)	0.32977977 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.53819805 (g)	0.26770544 (g)
Zeng	0.5659972 (g)	0.29554522 (g)

Concord, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57873535 (g)	0.29367226 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.5425896 (g)	0.27006656 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.57491016 (g)	0.29040113 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.6072052 (g)	0.31321988 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.5757715 (g)	0.29373127 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.5973999 (g)	0.3031863 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.5708775 (g)	0.28972268 (g)

Concord, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57873535 (g)	0.29367226 (g)
b=0.0	0.569647 (g)	0.284091 (g)
b=0.25	0.57387304 (g)	0.2886621 (g)
b=0.5	0.57934713 (g)	0.2941212 (g)
b=0.75	0.58335567 (g)	0.29821488 (g)
b=1.0	0.586972 (g)	0.3022973 (g)

Concord, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57873535 (g)	0.29367226 (g)
EvenFit	0.57650167 (g)	0.29375422 (g)
OverFit	0.58249396 (g)	0.29531574 (g)
UnderFit	0.5772276 (g)	0.29189697 (g)

Concord, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.57873535 (g)	0.29367226 (g)
None	0.5780302 (g)	0.27655727 (g)
LowSeg	0.57786024 (g)	0.287425 (g)
MidSeg	0.5734052 (g)	0.2888062 (g)
HighSeg	0.5713084 (g)	0.2943072 (g)
Classic	0.6149653 (g)	0.3284913 (g)