Logic Tree Misfits
Table Of Contents
- Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Mean Absolute Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
- Uncertain Slip Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Paleoseismic Event Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Parkfield, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Uncertain MFD Equality, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Standard Deviation Summary
- Standard Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
- Uncertain Slip Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
- Paleoseismic Event Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Parkfield, Standard Deviation Summary
- Uncertain MFD Equality, Standard Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Standard Deviation Summary
- Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Standard Deviation Summary
- Constraint Summaries
- Deformation Model
- Deformation Model Average Constraint Fits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Deformation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Deformation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Scaling Relationship
- Scaling Relationship Average Constraint Fits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value Average Constraint Fits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Average Constraint Fits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Segmentation Model
- Segmentation Model Average Constraint Fits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Mean Absolute Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
(top)
| Constraint | Average Mean Absolute Deviation | Best Fitting | Worst Fitting | Ratio to All Uncert-Weighted Constraints |
|---|
| All Uncertainty-Weighted Average | 0.6461332 | 0.1904573 | 5.7130976 | 1.0 |
| Uncertain Slip Rate | 0.63749987 | 0.09303206 | 8.765086 | 0.9641552 |
| Paleoseismic Event Rate | 0.8886855 | 0.13932101 | 7.5097566 | 1.2954133 |
| Uncertain Parkfield | 0.53690624 | 0.08367767 | 2.8459044 | 0.81572264 |
| Uncertain MFD Equality | 0.6034911 | 0.22252028 | 1.6681908 | 1.0440422 |
| Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates | 0.5640832 | 0.0914383 | 8.468192 | 0.8806667 |
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit all uncertainthy-weighted constraints on average.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.1904573 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.20421124 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 0.20427187 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.20802432 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 0.2090355 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 5.3178563 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 5.411479 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 5.4546638 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 5.475655 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 5.7130976 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Distribution of branch Mean Absolute Deviation values, averaged accross constraints:
Average branch choice values: A list of average fits across all uncertainthy-weighted constraints for each logic tree branch choice.
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.2356874 | 0.8129133 | 1.8632611 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.66080505 | 0.55491495 | 0.8561789 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.6437774 | 0.53894615 | 0.9455064 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.57586503 | 0.4447607 | 0.8026771 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.66822225 | 0.57309884 | 0.9259894 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.6645411 | 0.5842356 | 0.90338033 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.649913 | 0.5596277 | 0.8996236 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.64379495 | 0.5570155 | 0.8836203 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.6511716 | 0.54511476 | 0.93816185 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.60915196 | 0.46204302 | 0.8445252 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.65822643 | 0.5122047 | 0.8628018 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.8958845 | 0.82230085 | 1.0794506 |
| b=0.25 | 0.75985086 | 0.656976 | 0.951671 |
| b=0.5 | 0.6163015 | 0.47643244 | 0.8617384 |
| b=0.75 | 0.5142625 | 0.3579468 | 0.7983787 |
| b=1.0 | 0.44436663 | 0.28866833 | 0.75218886 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.6135508 | 0.5221618 | 0.7496373 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.86311626 | 0.6254776 | 1.6635836 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.4617325 | 0.25283563 | 0.5746594 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.016023 | 0.6711086 | 1.4940525 |
| High Segmentation | 0.6002744 | 0.5089537 | 0.85325414 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.60364574 | 0.49705258 | 0.8430687 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.60014325 | 0.49874634 | 0.84287053 |
| None | 0.6367643 | 0.5364679 | 0.86419004 |
Uncertain Slip Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Slip Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.09303206 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.09492485 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.096550584 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.09818054 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.098471455 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 8.631187 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 8.633295 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 8.654773 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 8.670765 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.25 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 8.765086 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Slip Rate misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.5234245 | 0.36797154 | 8.765086 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.66765606 | 0.11065651 | 1.9089992 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.60468245 | 0.12251657 | 1.634978 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.5642912 | 0.09303206 | 1.6183239 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.63904065 | 0.11935407 | 1.7481121 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.655996 | 0.10088824 | 8.631187 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.6426106 | 0.096550584 | 8.633295 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.63833094 | 0.098471455 | 8.617644 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.63755655 | 0.09492485 | 8.654773 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.59425634 | 0.09303206 | 8.551084 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.6562486 | 0.09818054 | 8.765086 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.8252136 | 0.09303206 | 8.57244 |
| b=0.25 | 0.77512336 | 0.4449859 | 8.765086 |
| b=0.5 | 0.62477237 | 0.30821916 | 8.319533 |
| b=0.75 | 0.51736057 | 0.21858032 | 7.8265243 |
| b=1.0 | 0.44502935 | 0.16885382 | 7.294347 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.62741685 | 0.12547779 | 8.670765 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.71677446 | 0.17687397 | 8.765086 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.5683082 | 0.09303206 | 8.628428 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.4940525 | 0.09303206 | 8.765086 |
| High Segmentation | 0.5361562 | 0.19397882 | 1.2965858 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.5417742 | 0.18278837 | 1.384173 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.53747046 | 0.18875392 | 1.3527526 |
| None | 0.5765175 | 0.16885382 | 1.4526385 |
Paleoseismic Event Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Paleoseismic Event Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.13932101 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.15255882 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.1529493 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 0.16145581 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.16593993 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 7.2061105 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 7.239374 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 7.275869 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 7.3175297 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 7.5097566 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Paleoseismic Event Rate misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.8632611 | 0.3418305 | 7.5097566 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.8561789 | 0.15255882 | 2.6596859 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.9455064 | 0.23864831 | 3.169482 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.8026771 | 0.13932101 | 2.5191598 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.9259894 | 0.20735025 | 3.0656087 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.90338033 | 0.17328861 | 5.745202 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.8996236 | 0.17509428 | 6.3532724 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.8836203 | 0.170002 | 5.4976563 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.93816185 | 0.16145581 | 7.5097566 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.8445252 | 0.13932101 | 5.834758 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.8628018 | 0.17178725 | 4.8802953 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.0794506 | 0.17315291 | 7.5097566 |
| b=0.25 | 0.951671 | 0.17221889 | 7.3175297 |
| b=0.5 | 0.8617384 | 0.17055848 | 7.275869 |
| b=0.75 | 0.7983787 | 0.16593993 | 7.239374 |
| b=1.0 | 0.75218886 | 0.13932101 | 7.2061105 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.7496373 | 0.33658323 | 2.731312 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.6635836 | 1.3006363 | 7.5097566 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.25283563 | 0.13932101 | 0.40271485 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.2481536 | 0.16145581 | 7.5097566 |
| High Segmentation | 0.85325414 | 0.18219994 | 3.9670577 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.8430687 | 0.1529493 | 4.24587 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.84287053 | 0.17509428 | 4.041319 |
| None | 0.86419004 | 0.13932101 | 4.628871 |
Uncertain Parkfield, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Parkfield constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.08367767 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.09669521 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.0996761 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.10231469 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.10481213 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 2.764309 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 2.7702003 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 2.8066537 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 2.8182228 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 2.8459044 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Parkfield misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 0.8129133 | 0.28138417 | 2.8459044 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.55491495 | 0.09669521 | 1.5158418 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.565431 | 0.12040089 | 2.3018987 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.4447607 | 0.08367767 | 1.370735 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.590038 | 0.0996761 | 2.8182228 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.58543164 | 0.12182155 | 2.8459044 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5596277 | 0.113295496 | 2.560542 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5570155 | 0.11855193 | 2.6427746 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.54511476 | 0.11027703 | 2.3694806 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.46204302 | 0.08367767 | 2.622732 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.5122047 | 0.10231469 | 2.1621203 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.9045076 | 0.407035 | 2.8459044 |
| b=0.25 | 0.656976 | 0.26852578 | 2.8066537 |
| b=0.5 | 0.47643244 | 0.17220907 | 2.7702003 |
| b=0.75 | 0.3579468 | 0.11762129 | 2.764309 |
| b=1.0 | 0.28866833 | 0.08367767 | 2.7581487 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.5221618 | 0.16027267 | 1.7001337 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.6754761 | 0.22970895 | 2.8459044 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.4130808 | 0.08367767 | 1.580911 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.8153891 | 0.12272578 | 2.8459044 |
| High Segmentation | 0.5089537 | 0.15246966 | 1.2644603 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.49705258 | 0.10481213 | 1.3732102 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.49874634 | 0.12057235 | 1.3364736 |
| None | 0.5364679 | 0.08367767 | 1.4879768 |
Uncertain MFD Equality, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain MFD Equality constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.22252028 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.22976042 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.23853138 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.24370728 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.25495255 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 1.5950888 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 1.5995916 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 1.6092008 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 1.6456168 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 1.6681908 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain MFD Equality misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 0.82617724 | 0.3798443 | 1.6681908 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.6376338 | 0.29462257 | 1.2396057 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.5643209 | 0.29967234 | 1.3984085 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.5621715 | 0.22252028 | 0.9230664 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.61294454 | 0.26665488 | 1.3206196 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.593662 | 0.24370728 | 1.6681908 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5824143 | 0.22976042 | 1.6092008 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5786845 | 0.23853138 | 1.5995916 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.5783859 | 0.22252028 | 1.6456168 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.61828506 | 0.25495255 | 1.5950888 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.6695151 | 0.27398983 | 1.5243385 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.8479499 | 0.5082132 | 1.6681908 |
| b=0.25 | 0.69755256 | 0.38992777 | 1.4309094 |
| b=0.5 | 0.5785346 | 0.3240587 | 1.3026788 |
| b=0.75 | 0.4845038 | 0.2648155 | 1.1457198 |
| b=1.0 | 0.40891483 | 0.22252028 | 0.9873341 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.6103364 | 0.3368258 | 1.3468447 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.6254776 | 0.33456746 | 1.6681908 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.5746594 | 0.22252028 | 1.1194217 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.6711086 | 0.22252028 | 1.6681908 |
| High Segmentation | 0.57687587 | 0.30682322 | 1.1150724 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.6051067 | 0.3251762 | 1.2574017 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.59408957 | 0.31603795 | 1.2017761 |
| None | 0.6406933 | 0.33928794 | 1.2547356 |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.0914383 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.09257771 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.095109686 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.09560247 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.096662216 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 8.448314 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 8.4537325 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 8.4580345 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 8.465129 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 8.468192 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.1526607 | 0.33569756 | 8.468192 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.58764154 | 0.106172554 | 1.3193102 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.53894615 | 0.13683403 | 1.2185386 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.5054247 | 0.0914383 | 1.2802198 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.57309884 | 0.10682722 | 1.343173 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.5842356 | 0.0986287 | 8.465129 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.56528896 | 0.095109686 | 8.4580345 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5613235 | 0.09560247 | 8.448314 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.55663913 | 0.09257771 | 8.468192 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.5266503 | 0.0914383 | 8.4537325 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.59036183 | 0.096662216 | 8.424602 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.82230085 | 0.0914383 | 8.468192 |
| b=0.25 | 0.7179314 | 0.44386324 | 5.118119 |
| b=0.5 | 0.5400295 | 0.30162182 | 4.169433 |
| b=0.75 | 0.41312256 | 0.2146744 | 3.472318 |
| b=1.0 | 0.32703182 | 0.16293707 | 2.9454675 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.5582017 | 0.12042289 | 8.363065 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.6342695 | 0.15154257 | 8.468192 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.49977854 | 0.0914383 | 8.334724 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.8514115 | 0.0914383 | 8.468192 |
| High Segmentation | 0.52613205 | 0.1824393 | 1.2075788 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.53122663 | 0.17142466 | 1.351893 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.5275395 | 0.17595933 | 1.2707528 |
| None | 0.5659528 | 0.16293707 | 1.4476666 |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 5.1022994E-6 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 2 | 5.1653133E-6 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 5.1712864E-6 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 5.420907E-6 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 5.514769E-6 | Zeng | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 2.658812E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 2.6598366E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 2.669686E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 2.7170387E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 2.7760465E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 7.717085E-5 | 2.3310451E-5 | 2.3383516E-4 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 3.648358E-5 | 5.587605E-6 | 1.9131163E-4 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 5.8512207E-5 | 5.8561154E-6 | 2.7760465E-4 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 3.2344E-5 | 5.1022994E-6 | 1.2280206E-4 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 5.0583305E-5 | 5.1712864E-6 | 2.7170387E-4 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 4.9844246E-5 | 6.1814335E-6 | 2.432623E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 4.470484E-5 | 5.1712864E-6 | 2.3139107E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 4.9953156E-5 | 6.086467E-6 | 2.7760465E-4 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 4.0758427E-5 | 5.1022994E-6 | 1.7935125E-4 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 3.5901445E-5 | 5.5940927E-6 | 1.7083152E-4 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 3.231906E-5 | 5.1653133E-6 | 1.784492E-4 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 4.337611E-5 | 1.2472504E-5 | 2.2540185E-4 |
| b=0.25 | 4.5365847E-5 | 9.088904E-6 | 2.6568165E-4 |
| b=0.5 | 4.3227745E-5 | 6.6832604E-6 | 2.658812E-4 |
| b=0.75 | 4.0239232E-5 | 5.631507E-6 | 2.669686E-4 |
| b=1.0 | 3.902538E-5 | 5.1022994E-6 | 2.7760465E-4 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.3133743E-5 | 1.633399E-5 | 1.386243E-4 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 6.993583E-5 | 2.3275827E-5 | 2.7760465E-4 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.3671018E-5 | 5.1022994E-6 | 1.0215146E-4 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 8.0458085E-5 | 1.3124786E-5 | 2.7760465E-4 |
| High Segmentation | 3.945365E-5 | 5.1022994E-6 | 1.4228893E-4 |
| Low Segmentation | 3.6856592E-5 | 5.631507E-6 | 1.2776155E-4 |
| Middle Segmentation | 3.8113536E-5 | 5.6217405E-6 | 1.3246332E-4 |
| None | 3.559579E-5 | 6.7621213E-6 | 1.2565491E-4 |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=0.5 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | EvenFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 1796 | 2.4851792E-9 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 1797 | 2.5773519E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1798 | 2.8326121E-9 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 1799 | 2.8964553E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 1800 | 3.1178296E-9 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 3.0624886E-10 | 5.5478636E-13 | 2.5773519E-9 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 4.9731056E-11 | 0.0 | 2.3184283E-9 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 3.2877853E-11 | 2.924115E-14 | 2.8964553E-9 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.8471365E-11 | 0.0 | 7.949857E-10 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 8.618586E-11 | 0.0 | 3.1178296E-9 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 5.0986666E-11 | 0.0 | 3.1178296E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 5.0475776E-11 | 0.0 | 1.5712248E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 5.919117E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4851792E-9 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 4.9445368E-11 | 0.0 | 2.3571034E-9 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 5.242531E-11 | 0.0 | 2.8326121E-9 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 6.8529245E-11 | 0.0 | 2.5773519E-9 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 9.128627E-11 | 0.0 | 2.8326121E-9 |
| b=0.25 | 6.326499E-11 | 0.0 | 2.2972837E-9 |
| b=0.5 | 5.0035764E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4851792E-9 |
| b=0.75 | 3.3719073E-11 | 0.0 | 2.8964553E-9 |
| b=1.0 | 3.7571852E-11 | 0.0 | 3.1178296E-9 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.4091966E-11 | 0.0 | 2.8964553E-9 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 8.949351E-11 | 0.0 | 3.1178296E-9 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 3.1941297E-11 | 0.0 | 1.6971501E-9 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.8104225E-10 | 0.0 | 3.1178296E-9 |
| High Segmentation | 3.399258E-11 | 7.744443E-14 | 2.5773519E-9 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.8542147E-11 | 0.0 | 1.2124256E-9 |
| Middle Segmentation | 2.5492015E-11 | 3.5432937E-16 | 1.7595997E-9 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 6.4348674E-12 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 2 | 4.9952056E-11 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 3 | 5.0221775E-11 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 4 | 5.940483E-11 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 5 | 6.8992395E-11 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 1.70166E-8 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 447 | 1.8053553E-8 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 448 | 2.2595712E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 449 | 2.3635945E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 450 | 2.3916966E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 7.1187956E-10 | 4.9952056E-11 | 4.03414E-9 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 4.0655435E-9 | 1.2398611E-10 | 1.8053553E-8 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 7.2218964E-9 | 2.081771E-9 | 2.3916966E-8 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 9.952906E-10 | 6.8992395E-11 | 4.2331028E-9 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 8.012328E-10 | 6.4348674E-12 | 3.841303E-9 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.8397032E-9 | 4.9952056E-11 | 1.0653379E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 2.414414E-9 | 5.940483E-11 | 1.4847142E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.7575823E-9 | 6.4348674E-12 | 1.031978E-8 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 3.373465E-9 | 8.870891E-11 | 2.3916966E-8 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 2.1362367E-9 | 7.097485E-11 | 1.2454197E-8 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.8221074E-9 | 7.8627736E-11 | 1.0492724E-8 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 5.2949654E-9 | 8.186289E-10 | 2.3916966E-8 |
| b=0.25 | 2.8776832E-9 | 2.6668057E-10 | 1.5961328E-8 |
| b=0.5 | 1.5570084E-9 | 7.159358E-11 | 1.0435919E-8 |
| b=0.75 | 8.79449E-10 | 5.0221775E-11 | 6.1370224E-9 |
| b=1.0 | 5.104846E-10 | 6.4348674E-12 | 3.881876E-9 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 2.1911937E-9 | 4.9952056E-11 | 2.3635945E-8 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 2.2109115E-9 | 6.4348674E-12 | 2.2595712E-8 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 2.2696491E-9 | 6.8992395E-11 | 2.3916966E-8 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | 2.2239182E-9 | 6.4348674E-12 | 2.3916966E-8 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.9911531E-12 | Zeng | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 2.3026052E-12 | Zeng | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 6.0077594E-12 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 8.474582E-12 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 1.250223E-11 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 7.677449E-9 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 447 | 7.774227E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 448 | 7.938605E-9 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 449 | 8.91229E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 450 | 9.9917035E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 4.8372917E-10 | 1.250223E-11 | 2.7150204E-9 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.7370745E-9 | 3.3995484E-11 | 7.938605E-9 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 2.6997216E-9 | 4.3146786E-10 | 9.9917035E-9 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 3.0864564E-10 | 8.474582E-12 | 1.4633502E-9 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 3.2411213E-10 | 1.9911531E-12 | 1.733481E-9 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 7.237556E-10 | 3.7683013E-11 | 5.059069E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 9.604105E-10 | 6.0077594E-12 | 8.91229E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 6.657493E-10 | 8.474582E-12 | 4.407135E-9 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.3760738E-9 | 1.9911531E-12 | 9.9917035E-9 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 8.340593E-10 | 4.422738E-11 | 6.037515E-9 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 7.1859635E-10 | 5.7731646E-11 | 5.4341043E-9 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 2.2216655E-9 | 2.6883806E-10 | 9.9917035E-9 |
| b=0.25 | 1.1471599E-9 | 8.748511E-11 | 6.6689174E-9 |
| b=0.5 | 4.999509E-10 | 3.7683013E-11 | 3.34934E-9 |
| b=0.75 | 3.0964908E-10 | 1.9911531E-12 | 3.2335692E-9 |
| b=1.0 | 2.2044527E-10 | 2.3026052E-12 | 2.5410056E-9 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 8.7870167E-10 | 2.3026052E-12 | 7.774227E-9 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 9.2583513E-10 | 1.3511321E-11 | 9.9917035E-9 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 8.3478563E-10 | 1.9911531E-12 | 8.91229E-9 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | 8.7977414E-10 | 1.9911531E-12 | 9.9917035E-9 |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.6940722E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 2 | 2.0776268E-10 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 2.5509625E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 2.8089545E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 2.843962E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 1.6594359E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 447 | 1.6684281E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 448 | 1.9210174E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 449 | 2.0166107E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 450 | 2.0774276E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 3.4453296E-9 | 1.6940722E-10 | 1.6867645E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 2.6536819E-8 | 1.0172088E-9 | 1.2364575E-7 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 7.566416E-8 | 1.7577083E-8 | 2.0774276E-7 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.0516624E-8 | 2.8597948E-9 | 3.2192364E-8 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 6.995716E-9 | 4.7836973E-10 | 2.3484574E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.6763119E-8 | 4.4378207E-10 | 1.3403393E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 2.190244E-8 | 4.2895698E-10 | 1.6684281E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.597924E-8 | 2.0776268E-10 | 1.2928821E-7 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 2.8510883E-8 | 7.922803E-10 | 2.0774276E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.5741053E-8 | 1.6940722E-10 | 1.282642E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.285663E-8 | 2.8089545E-10 | 9.1237375E-8 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 4.3014673E-8 | 3.2532699E-9 | 2.0774276E-7 |
| b=0.25 | 2.4140645E-8 | 1.1143039E-9 | 1.6594359E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 1.31104665E-8 | 7.126466E-10 | 1.0327303E-7 |
| b=0.75 | 8.016248E-9 | 3.5062697E-10 | 7.517478E-8 |
| b=1.0 | 4.845771E-9 | 1.6940722E-10 | 4.5490136E-8 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.8673312E-8 | 2.5509625E-10 | 2.0774276E-7 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.8599964E-8 | 1.6940722E-10 | 2.0166107E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.8603407E-8 | 2.8089545E-10 | 1.9210174E-7 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | 1.8625562E-8 | 1.6940722E-10 | 2.0774276E-7 |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Standard Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
(top)
| Constraint | Average Standard Deviation | Best Fitting | Worst Fitting | Ratio to All Uncert-Weighted Constraints |
|---|
| All Uncertainty-Weighted Average | 1.214948 | 0.35717797 | 44.51626 | 1.0 |
| Uncertain Slip Rate | 1.5171787 | 0.4192203 | 103.18648 | 1.1869597 |
| Paleoseismic Event Rate | 1.7422243 | 0.19279963 | 11.149801 | 1.2918692 |
| Uncertain Parkfield | 0.53690624 | 0.08367767 | 2.8459044 | 0.46663588 |
| Uncertain MFD Equality | 1.055267 | 0.4673334 | 4.8316526 | 1.032023 |
| Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates | 1.223164 | 0.39724088 | 103.1198 | 1.0225123 |
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit all uncertainthy-weighted constraints on average.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.35717797 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 0.3599081 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.3693227 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.3709332 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.3723921 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 44.27236 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 44.326603 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 44.350346 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 44.354015 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 44.51626 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Distribution of branch Standard Deviation values, averaged accross constraints:
Average branch choice values: A list of average fits across all uncertainthy-weighted constraints for each logic tree branch choice.
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 5.145287 | 0.8129133 | 11.144232 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.2498655 | 0.55491495 | 1.7261198 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.1617517 | 0.565431 | 1.767318 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.0212952 | 0.4447607 | 1.6211257 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.1478833 | 0.590038 | 1.7270437 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.2141609 | 0.58543164 | 1.7462324 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.2176032 | 0.5596277 | 1.753629 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.1923561 | 0.5570155 | 1.7345555 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.2501955 | 0.54511476 | 1.7901131 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.1907989 | 0.46204302 | 1.7089933 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.2245736 | 0.5122047 | 1.7198228 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.5553164 | 0.9045076 | 1.878564 |
| b=0.25 | 1.3350176 | 0.656976 | 1.7819554 |
| b=0.5 | 1.1538391 | 0.47643244 | 1.7221189 |
| b=0.75 | 1.0488454 | 0.3579468 | 1.6824687 |
| b=1.0 | 0.9817216 | 0.28866833 | 1.6460148 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.043887 | 0.5221618 | 1.3519167 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.7865193 | 0.6754761 | 3.7735908 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.81443787 | 0.35705388 | 1.1860007 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.0633543 | 0.8153891 | 3.779665 |
| High Segmentation | 1.1155672 | 0.5089537 | 1.7226627 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.1151298 | 0.49705258 | 1.6919762 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.1166668 | 0.49874634 | 1.7032406 |
| None | 1.1591647 | 0.5364679 | 1.6977638 |
Uncertain Slip Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Slip Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.4192203 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 0.43110543 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.4335873 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 0.4359534 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.43698385 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 103.1597 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 103.16395 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 103.16451 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 103.17357 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 103.18648 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Slip Rate misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 11.144232 | 1.0308865 | 103.18648 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.5587604 | 0.45899963 | 8.70197 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.3322623 | 0.50093067 | 2.7718658 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.1252 | 0.4192203 | 2.1305816 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.3199104 | 0.46423066 | 2.637377 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.4647459 | 0.4499937 | 103.16451 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.5472096 | 0.4335873 | 103.17357 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.450116 | 0.43892017 | 103.1597 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.6856308 | 0.4192203 | 103.18648 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.5192391 | 0.4359534 | 103.16395 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.4361306 | 0.44425398 | 103.149765 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.7003943 | 0.4359534 | 103.18648 |
| b=0.25 | 1.5901904 | 0.8714156 | 89.22895 |
| b=0.5 | 1.4277023 | 0.6891495 | 85.38586 |
| b=0.75 | 1.416157 | 0.54253495 | 81.07293 |
| b=1.0 | 1.4514494 | 0.4192203 | 76.34243 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.3519167 | 0.5157208 | 103.13081 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 2.0136187 | 0.77086705 | 103.18648 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.1860007 | 0.4192203 | 103.12746 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 3.779665 | 0.4359534 | 103.18648 |
| High Segmentation | 1.2681737 | 0.47478047 | 7.750696 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.2538208 | 0.4192203 | 8.0808 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.2589397 | 0.44334137 | 7.7470007 |
| None | 1.3031398 | 0.43110543 | 8.70197 |
Paleoseismic Event Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Paleoseismic Event Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.19279963 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.2151324 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 0.22425504 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.22521153 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.22958939 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 11.019393 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 11.1106205 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 11.12195 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 11.1383295 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 11.149801 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Paleoseismic Event Rate misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 4.0316772 | 0.44847178 | 11.149801 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.7261198 | 0.22958939 | 4.368807 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.767318 | 0.3478882 | 4.6665764 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.6211257 | 0.19279963 | 4.210481 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.7270437 | 0.29087064 | 4.754081 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.7462324 | 0.23784007 | 9.791887 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.753629 | 0.2455545 | 10.18525 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.7345555 | 0.22521153 | 9.596704 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.7901131 | 0.23439921 | 11.149801 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.7089933 | 0.19279963 | 9.816563 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.7198228 | 0.22425504 | 9.400284 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.878564 | 0.24651161 | 11.019393 |
| b=0.25 | 1.7819554 | 0.25670958 | 11.1106205 |
| b=0.5 | 1.7221189 | 0.25496867 | 11.12195 |
| b=0.75 | 1.6824687 | 0.236979 | 11.1383295 |
| b=1.0 | 1.6460148 | 0.19279963 | 11.149801 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.0960283 | 0.7342154 | 3.4890654 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 3.7735908 | 3.4718573 | 11.149801 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.35705388 | 0.19279963 | 0.72231656 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.0628173 | 0.24643143 | 11.149801 |
| High Segmentation | 1.7226627 | 0.2598411 | 10.338562 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.6919762 | 0.2151324 | 9.696672 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.7032406 | 0.24663159 | 9.9577465 |
| None | 1.6977638 | 0.19279963 | 9.62722 |
Uncertain Parkfield, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Parkfield constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.08367767 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.09669521 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.0996761 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.10231469 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.10481213 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 2.764309 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 2.7702003 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 2.8066537 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 2.8182228 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 2.8459044 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Parkfield misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 0.8129133 | 0.28138417 | 2.8459044 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.55491495 | 0.09669521 | 1.5158418 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.565431 | 0.12040089 | 2.3018987 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.4447607 | 0.08367767 | 1.370735 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.590038 | 0.0996761 | 2.8182228 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.58543164 | 0.12182155 | 2.8459044 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5596277 | 0.113295496 | 2.560542 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5570155 | 0.11855193 | 2.6427746 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.54511476 | 0.11027703 | 2.3694806 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.46204302 | 0.08367767 | 2.622732 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.5122047 | 0.10231469 | 2.1621203 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.9045076 | 0.407035 | 2.8459044 |
| b=0.25 | 0.656976 | 0.26852578 | 2.8066537 |
| b=0.5 | 0.47643244 | 0.17220907 | 2.7702003 |
| b=0.75 | 0.3579468 | 0.11762129 | 2.764309 |
| b=1.0 | 0.28866833 | 0.08367767 | 2.7581487 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.5221618 | 0.16027267 | 1.7001337 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.6754761 | 0.22970895 | 2.8459044 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.4130808 | 0.08367767 | 1.580911 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.8153891 | 0.12272578 | 2.8459044 |
| High Segmentation | 0.5089537 | 0.15246966 | 1.2644603 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.49705258 | 0.10481213 | 1.3732102 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.49874634 | 0.12057235 | 1.3364736 |
| None | 0.5364679 | 0.08367767 | 1.4879768 |
Uncertain MFD Equality, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain MFD Equality constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.4673334 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.49265334 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.51106066 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.51295197 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.5279361 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 4.1864433 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.25 | OverFit | None |
| 2247 | 4.3963184 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | None |
| 2248 | 4.4926534 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | OverFit | None |
| 2249 | 4.499358 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | None |
| 2250 | 4.8316526 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | None |
Uncertain MFD Equality misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.7817854 | 0.7613456 | 4.8316526 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.135567 | 0.61398554 | 2.5289025 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.0425473 | 0.562884 | 2.369244 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.95154256 | 0.4673334 | 1.7799733 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.0515201 | 0.54021937 | 2.3820589 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.0306599 | 0.51106066 | 3.7504628 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.0180084 | 0.49265334 | 4.3963184 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.0085292 | 0.51295197 | 3.5897563 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.022817 | 0.4673334 | 4.8316526 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.0972598 | 0.5279361 | 3.8391922 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.1543275 | 0.5452862 | 3.613017 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.5033128 | 1.105799 | 4.8316526 |
| b=0.25 | 1.1980622 | 0.83981943 | 4.499358 |
| b=0.5 | 0.99333066 | 0.68536943 | 4.143703 |
| b=0.75 | 0.84799963 | 0.55436933 | 4.4926534 |
| b=1.0 | 0.73362935 | 0.4673334 | 3.8917165 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.0575074 | 0.61931807 | 2.5200753 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.1019273 | 0.6001655 | 4.8316526 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.0063661 | 0.4673334 | 2.1757348 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.2604036 | 0.4673334 | 3.0058773 |
| High Segmentation | 1.0046979 | 0.562884 | 2.4891157 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.0456995 | 0.59526116 | 3.847889 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.0222576 | 0.57928234 | 3.193357 |
| None | 1.1200005 | 0.61192966 | 4.8316526 |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.39724088 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 0.4010004 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.4046037 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.40718794 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 0.40863642 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 103.11855 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 103.118576 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 103.11873 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 103.11976 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 103.1198 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 7.9558268 | 0.7157877 | 103.1198 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.2739656 | 0.46969426 | 2.759774 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.1011999 | 0.41437998 | 2.19633 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.963847 | 0.39724088 | 1.6700444 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.0509044 | 0.41817665 | 2.1657236 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.2437346 | 0.42371857 | 103.118576 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.2095414 | 0.40863642 | 103.11815 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.2115647 | 0.41498837 | 103.11762 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.207302 | 0.39724088 | 103.11873 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.1664591 | 0.4010004 | 103.1198 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.3003824 | 0.4456851 | 103.11976 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.7898037 | 0.43982938 | 103.1198 |
| b=0.25 | 1.4479038 | 0.87662375 | 66.11551 |
| b=0.5 | 1.1496115 | 0.66539794 | 59.06316 |
| b=0.75 | 0.939655 | 0.5036459 | 54.283127 |
| b=1.0 | 0.7888461 | 0.39724088 | 50.880108 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.1918207 | 0.50308025 | 103.11855 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.3679833 | 0.60560167 | 103.11813 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.1096879 | 0.39724088 | 103.1198 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.3984962 | 0.43982938 | 103.1198 |
| High Segmentation | 1.073348 | 0.44792008 | 2.9920032 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.0871 | 0.39724088 | 3.0903602 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.1001495 | 0.42680034 | 3.008576 |
| None | 1.1384511 | 0.4010004 | 3.3488238 |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.0416995E-5 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 2 | 1.135573E-5 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 1.1424812E-5 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 1.1564313E-5 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 1.1777873E-5 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 6.0718175E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 6.879423E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 6.9308345E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 7.172029E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 7.260003E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.7554645E-4 | 5.7127774E-5 | 5.145518E-4 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 7.387562E-5 | 1.2866043E-5 | 4.142558E-4 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.2400348E-4 | 1.4222587E-5 | 7.260003E-4 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 7.900396E-5 | 1.0416995E-5 | 4.1321528E-4 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.0421797E-4 | 1.1564313E-5 | 6.0718175E-4 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.00608726E-4 | 1.3236736E-5 | 5.503371E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 9.568477E-5 | 1.1777873E-5 | 5.8778666E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.0524516E-4 | 1.319744E-5 | 7.260003E-4 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 9.493837E-5 | 1.2597426E-5 | 4.5253063E-4 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 7.8957164E-5 | 1.0416995E-5 | 4.7296277E-4 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 7.218513E-5 | 1.135573E-5 | 5.958377E-4 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 9.235688E-5 | 2.4480094E-5 | 4.7723175E-4 |
| b=0.25 | 9.514186E-5 | 2.2799557E-5 | 6.879423E-4 |
| b=0.5 | 9.1715054E-5 | 1.5973765E-5 | 6.9308345E-4 |
| b=0.75 | 8.8492176E-5 | 1.1424812E-5 | 7.172029E-4 |
| b=1.0 | 8.864346E-5 | 1.0416995E-5 | 7.260003E-4 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 9.0821704E-5 | 3.0390538E-5 | 4.1093864E-4 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.5143053E-4 | 3.806742E-5 | 7.260003E-4 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 3.1557425E-5 | 1.0416995E-5 | 2.4463792E-4 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.0875584E-4 | 2.9296327E-5 | 7.260003E-4 |
| High Segmentation | 8.153027E-5 | 1.135573E-5 | 4.016253E-4 |
| Low Segmentation | 7.531494E-5 | 1.1424812E-5 | 4.0146234E-4 |
| Middle Segmentation | 7.853308E-5 | 1.0416995E-5 | 4.0201354E-4 |
| None | 7.312311E-5 | 1.29904865E-5 | 3.859208E-4 |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=0.5 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | EvenFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 1796 | 8.779146E-8 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.5 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1797 | 8.8229555E-8 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.75 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1798 | 8.99182E-8 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.5 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1799 | 9.799722E-8 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1800 | 1.0035142E-7 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.2855892E-8 | 8.303282E-12 | 1.0035142E-7 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.3368137E-9 | 0.0 | 3.55705E-8 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 7.996232E-10 | 1.9527574E-12 | 4.5539117E-8 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 4.5646606E-10 | 0.0 | 8.355997E-9 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.7248071E-9 | 0.0 | 4.8605738E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.3456869E-9 | 0.0 | 7.96894E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.3108875E-9 | 0.0 | 7.357765E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.4108875E-9 | 0.0 | 8.37626E-8 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.2522968E-9 | 0.0 | 6.433156E-8 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.3167181E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0035142E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.5635232E-9 | 0.0 | 9.799722E-8 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 2.278456E-9 | 0.0 | 8.37626E-8 |
| b=0.25 | 1.5167612E-9 | 0.0 | 7.6807375E-8 |
| b=0.5 | 1.2053065E-9 | 0.0 | 8.99182E-8 |
| b=0.75 | 9.11193E-10 | 0.0 | 8.8229555E-8 |
| b=1.0 | 9.2161645E-10 | 0.0 | 1.0035142E-7 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 9.654958E-10 | 0.0 | 4.5539117E-8 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 2.2836812E-9 | 0.0 | 1.0035142E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 8.508229E-10 | 0.0 | 2.4035845E-8 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 3.8435837E-9 | 0.0 | 4.8605738E-8 |
| High Segmentation | 1.216761E-9 | 5.2599093E-12 | 1.0035142E-7 |
| Low Segmentation | 7.6767837E-10 | 0.0 | 7.357765E-8 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.0902588E-9 | 2.4089187E-14 | 8.0656726E-8 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.4293208E-10 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 2 | 7.6422096E-10 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 3 | 9.2964736E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 4 | 1.0151427E-9 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 5 | 1.1071305E-9 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.5 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 4.4211967E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 447 | 4.6250224E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 448 | 5.266569E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 449 | 5.725508E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 450 | 6.0725245E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.2720844E-8 | 7.6422096E-10 | 7.608161E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 7.401868E-8 | 2.408686E-9 | 3.2418842E-7 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.9153065E-7 | 5.0225182E-8 | 6.0725245E-7 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.8521812E-8 | 1.4058247E-9 | 7.3940974E-8 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.1889061E-8 | 1.4293208E-10 | 5.344127E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 3.9018133E-8 | 7.6422096E-10 | 2.840273E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 4.9639205E-8 | 1.5981371E-9 | 3.7348144E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 3.5438724E-8 | 1.4293208E-10 | 2.9859783E-7 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 6.8406045E-8 | 1.4991169E-9 | 6.0725245E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 4.0388812E-8 | 9.2964736E-10 | 2.9751942E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 3.4428304E-8 | 1.1472704E-9 | 2.1153699E-7 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.0143648E-7 | 1.0543909E-8 | 6.0725245E-7 |
| b=0.25 | 5.7381303E-8 | 3.7033203E-9 | 4.6250224E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 3.2160816E-8 | 1.1071305E-9 | 2.847992E-7 |
| b=0.75 | 1.9324313E-8 | 9.2964736E-10 | 1.7225979E-7 |
| b=1.0 | 1.2463118E-8 | 1.4293208E-10 | 1.0587118E-7 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.3622016E-8 | 7.6422096E-10 | 5.266569E-7 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 4.435313E-8 | 1.4293208E-10 | 5.725508E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 4.568447E-8 | 9.2964736E-10 | 6.0725245E-7 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | 4.4553204E-8 | 1.4293208E-10 | 6.0725245E-7 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 4.8931272E-11 | Zeng | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 6.777799E-11 | Zeng | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 1.8541005E-10 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 2.0444045E-10 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 2.1834905E-10 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 1.2761654E-7 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 447 | 1.3727158E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 448 | 1.4443648E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 449 | 1.6588767E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 450 | 1.6963453E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 9.034595E-9 | 2.1834905E-10 | 4.4936343E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 2.750186E-8 | 7.278951E-10 | 1.2761654E-7 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 5.824483E-8 | 7.686731E-9 | 1.6963453E-7 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 4.83927E-9 | 1.8541005E-10 | 1.7642565E-8 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 5.6202967E-9 | 4.8931272E-11 | 2.7768888E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.2748656E-8 | 7.117338E-10 | 1.1630716E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.742678E-8 | 2.0444045E-10 | 1.6588767E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.2088709E-8 | 1.8541005E-10 | 8.084062E-8 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 2.386902E-8 | 4.8931272E-11 | 1.6963453E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.404043E-8 | 6.1735017E-10 | 1.1898218E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.1853345E-8 | 8.316913E-10 | 1.2097452E-7 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 3.5358298E-8 | 3.5160743E-9 | 1.6963453E-7 |
| b=0.25 | 1.9236648E-8 | 1.6381497E-9 | 1.3727158E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 9.620573E-9 | 6.1735017E-10 | 7.089004E-8 |
| b=0.75 | 6.9157173E-9 | 4.8931272E-11 | 9.591557E-8 |
| b=1.0 | 5.5578804E-9 | 6.777799E-11 | 7.286805E-8 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.5236154E-8 | 6.777799E-11 | 1.4443648E-7 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.6190905E-8 | 2.5525387E-10 | 1.6963453E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.4586412E-8 | 4.8931272E-11 | 1.6588767E-7 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | 1.5337823E-8 | 4.8931272E-11 | 1.6963453E-7 |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 2.9709253E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 2 | 4.048848E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 4.5672617E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 4.7578137E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 4.871256E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 4.9772357E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 447 | 5.1302613E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 448 | 5.4151424E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 449 | 5.751904E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 450 | 5.9683375E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 5.6463698E-8 | 2.9709253E-9 | 2.018846E-7 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 5.6947295E-7 | 1.3932309E-8 | 2.7325596E-6 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 2.3591701E-6 | 5.942799E-7 | 5.9683375E-6 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 2.3622138E-7 | 9.419913E-8 | 5.9375463E-7 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 8.6389065E-8 | 1.250585E-8 | 2.6774984E-7 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 4.135423E-7 | 9.605751E-9 | 4.0956415E-6 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 5.3230315E-7 | 8.786176E-9 | 4.9772357E-6 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 3.9361476E-7 | 6.3829186E-9 | 3.8202415E-6 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 6.677627E-7 | 1.8856978E-8 | 5.9683375E-6 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 3.3740312E-7 | 2.9709253E-9 | 3.9631213E-6 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 3.0234114E-7 | 4.5672617E-9 | 2.86602E-6 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 9.54074E-7 | 5.8953432E-8 | 5.9683375E-6 |
| b=0.25 | 5.770968E-7 | 1.4140575E-8 | 5.1302613E-6 |
| b=0.5 | 3.2625843E-7 | 1.0005409E-8 | 3.2785888E-6 |
| b=0.75 | 2.1294272E-7 | 4.871256E-9 | 2.5219458E-6 |
| b=1.0 | 1.3543394E-7 | 2.9709253E-9 | 1.5332656E-6 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.424742E-7 | 4.048848E-9 | 5.9683375E-6 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 4.4061196E-7 | 2.9709253E-9 | 5.751904E-6 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 4.4039743E-7 | 4.5672617E-9 | 5.4151424E-6 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | 4.411612E-7 | 2.9709253E-9 | 5.9683375E-6 |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Constraint Summaries
(top)
Constraint Weights
(top)
| Constraint Name | Average Weight | Range | Weight Distribution |
|---|
| Uncertain Slip Rate | 1.6986549 | [1.1261897, 2.2331934] |  |
| Paleoseismic Event Rate | 11.014258 | [0.05, 53.863304] |  |
| Uncertain Parkfield | 6.7600627 | [0.1, 40.36543] |  |
| Uncertain MFD Equality | 2.9554021 | [2.0410087, 4.1058407] |  |
| Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates | 0.91141105 | [0.47778696, 1.4583733] |  |
| Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) | 10000.0 | [10000.0, 10000.0] | (N/A) |
| Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models | 100000.0 | [100000.0, 100000.0] | (N/A) |
| Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] | 100000.0 | [100000.0, 100000.0] | (N/A) |
| Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] | 100000.0 | [100000.0, 100000.0] | (N/A) |
Uncertain Slip Rate Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.5171787 | Average: -0.12618645 | Average: 0.63749987 | Average: 1.529854 |
| Range: [0.4192203, 103.18648] | Range: [-0.6095563, 7.679594] | Range: [0.09303206, 8.765086] | Range: [0.4209007, 103.46253] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Paleoseismic Event Rate Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.7422243 | Average: -0.22878654 | Average: 0.8886855 | Average: 1.7598243 |
| Range: [0.19279963, 11.149801] | Range: [-6.9338007, 0.77270716] | Range: [0.13932101, 7.5097566] | Range: [0.20629925, 12.934328] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Uncertain Parkfield Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 0.53690624 | Average: -0.53690624 | Average: 0.53690624 | Average: 0.53690624 |
| Range: [0.08367767, 2.8459044] | Range: [-2.8459044, -0.08367767] | Range: [0.08367767, 2.8459044] | Range: [0.08367767, 2.8459044] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Uncertain MFD Equality Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.055267 | Average: -0.028496906 | Average: 0.6034911 | Average: 1.0565339 |
| Range: [0.4673334, 4.8316526] | Range: [-0.50035787, 0.37999913] | Range: [0.22252028, 1.6681908] | Range: [0.4666898, 4.8339806] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.223164 | Average: 0.2573933 | Average: 0.5640832 | Average: 1.2554283 |
| Range: [0.39724088, 103.1198] | Range: [-0.025821172, 7.7132506] | Range: [0.0914383, 8.468192] | Range: [0.40152314, 103.39618] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 9.126989E-5 | Average: -8.119631E-6 | Average: 4.2246862E-5 | Average: 9.161332E-5 |
| Range: [1.0416995E-5, 7.260003E-4] | Range: [-3.5164147E-5, 4.6874724E-5] | Range: [5.1022994E-6, 2.7760465E-4] | Range: [1.0758461E-5, 7.250825E-4] |
 |  |  |  |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.3666667E-9 | Average: 5.517559E-11 | Average: 5.517559E-11 | Average: 1.3672078E-9 |
| Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7] | Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7] |
 |  |  |  |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 4.4553204E-8 | Average: 2.2239182E-9 | Average: 2.2239182E-9 | Average: 4.459259E-8 |
| Range: [1.4293208E-10, 6.0725245E-7] | Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8] | Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8] | Range: [1.4301563E-10, 6.07463E-7] |
| | | |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.5337823E-8 | Average: 8.7977414E-10 | Average: 8.7977414E-10 | Average: 1.5357664E-8 |
| Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6963453E-7] | Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9] | Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9] | Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6985541E-7] |
| | | |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 4.411612E-7 | Average: 1.8625562E-8 | Average: 1.8625562E-8 | Average: 4.4141004E-7 |
| Range: [2.9709253E-9, 5.9683375E-6] | Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7] | Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7] | Range: [2.9744478E-9, 5.9694617E-6] |
| | | |
(top)
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Deformation Model choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| Evans | Standard Deviation | 5.145287 |
| Geologic | Standard Deviation | 1.2498655 |
| Pollitz | Standard Deviation | 1.1617517 |
| Shen-Bird | Standard Deviation | 1.0212952 |
| Zeng | Standard Deviation | 1.1478833 |
| Evans | Mean | -0.23442414 |
| Geologic | Mean | -0.13017829 |
| Pollitz | Mean | -0.13629325 |
| Shen-Bird | Mean | -0.11877793 |
| Zeng | Mean | -0.14109164 |
| Evans | Mean Absolute Deviation | 1.2356874 |
| Geologic | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.66080505 |
| Pollitz | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6437774 |
| Shen-Bird | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.57586503 |
| Zeng | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.66822225 |
| Evans | RMSE | 5.21579 |
| Geologic | RMSE | 1.2623953 |
| Pollitz | RMSE | 1.171743 |
| Shen-Bird | RMSE | 1.0326728 |
| Zeng | RMSE | 1.1593002 |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 11.144232 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5587604 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3322623 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1252 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3199104 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.0308865, 103.18648] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.45899963, 8.70197] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.50093067, 2.7718658] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 2.1305816] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.46423066, 2.637377] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.5790391 | Average Mean: -0.17050283 | Average Mean: -0.11856839 | Average Mean: -0.10014703 | Average Mean: -0.1621999 |
| Mean Range: [-0.52239996, 7.679594] | Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.13468249] | Mean Range: [-0.42329168, 0.11002581] | Mean Range: [-0.35337085, 0.12768464] | Mean Range: [-0.5981648, 0.039053693] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5234245 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.66765606 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.60468245 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5642912 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.63904065 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.36797154, 8.765086] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11065651, 1.9089992] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12251657, 1.634978] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09303206, 1.6183239] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11935407, 1.7481121] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 11.179938 | Average RMSE: 1.5749462 | Average RMSE: 1.3404483 | Average RMSE: 1.1334194 | Average RMSE: 1.3338728 |
| RMSE Range: [1.0381088, 103.46253] | RMSE Range: [0.46144113, 8.701988] | RMSE Range: [0.50268817, 2.7728229] | RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 2.1304142] | RMSE Range: [0.4667488, 2.638336] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.0316772 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7261198 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.767318 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6211257 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7270437 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.44847178, 11.149801] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22958939, 4.368807] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3478882, 4.6665764] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 4.210481] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.29087064, 4.754081] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -1.4767 | Average Mean: -0.15120718 | Average Mean: -0.2060713 | Average Mean: -0.26715037 | Average Mean: -0.18114018 |
| Mean Range: [-6.9338007, -0.10635482] | Mean Range: [-0.82123834, 0.6842583] | Mean Range: [-1.1033274, 0.76497096] | Mean Range: [-0.9957598, 0.15608957] | Mean Range: [-1.1537187, 0.77270716] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8632611 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8561789 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.9455064 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8026771 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.9259894 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3418305, 7.5097566] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15255882, 2.6596859] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.23864831, 3.169482] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 2.5191598] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.20735025, 3.0656087] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.2799206 | Average RMSE: 1.7373525 | Average RMSE: 1.7760308 | Average RMSE: 1.6395899 | Average RMSE: 1.7367594 |
| RMSE Range: [0.5221759, 12.934328] | RMSE Range: [0.2297963, 4.377751] | RMSE Range: [0.355144, 4.733171] | RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 4.2457275] | RMSE Range: [0.30447632, 4.8498883] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.8129133 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.55491495 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.565431 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.4447607 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.590038 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.28138417, 2.8459044] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.09669521, 1.5158418] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.12040089, 2.3018987] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.370735] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0996761, 2.8182228] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.8129133 | Average Mean: -0.55491495 | Average Mean: -0.565431 | Average Mean: -0.4447607 | Average Mean: -0.590038 |
| Mean Range: [-2.8459044, -0.28138417] | Mean Range: [-1.5158418, -0.09669521] | Mean Range: [-2.3018987, -0.12040089] | Mean Range: [-1.370735, -0.08367767] | Mean Range: [-2.8182228, -0.0996761] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8129133 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.55491495 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.565431 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4447607 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.590038 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.28138417, 2.8459044] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09669521, 1.5158418] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12040089, 2.3018987] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.370735] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0996761, 2.8182228] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.8129133 | Average RMSE: 0.55491495 | Average RMSE: 0.565431 | Average RMSE: 0.4447607 | Average RMSE: 0.590038 |
| RMSE Range: [0.28138417, 2.8459044] | RMSE Range: [0.09669521, 1.5158418] | RMSE Range: [0.12040089, 2.3018987] | RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.370735] | RMSE Range: [0.0996761, 2.8182228] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7817854 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.135567 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0425473 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.95154256 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0515201 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.7613456, 4.8316526] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.61398554, 2.5289025] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 2.369244] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4673334, 1.7799733] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.54021937, 2.3820589] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.19887613 | Average Mean: -0.051865947 | Average Mean: -0.038349073 | Average Mean: -0.006493619 | Average Mean: -0.018401107 |
| Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.32946908] | Mean Range: [-0.24163176, 0.18720485] | Mean Range: [-0.1733831, 0.32028717] | Mean Range: [-0.11641451, 0.14283124] | Mean Range: [-0.17769064, 0.37999913] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.82617724 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6376338 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5643209 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5621715 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.61294454 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3798443, 1.6681908] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.29462257, 1.2396057] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.29967234, 1.3984085] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22252028, 0.9230664] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.26665488, 1.3206196] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.7984241 | Average RMSE: 1.1376611 | Average RMSE: 1.0439311 | Average RMSE: 0.9516554 | Average RMSE: 1.0522794 |
| RMSE Range: [0.7605212, 4.8339806] | RMSE Range: [0.6130795, 2.528544] | RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 2.364793] | RMSE Range: [0.4666898, 1.7767799] | RMSE Range: [0.54003453, 2.3776288] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 7.9558268 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2739656 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1011999 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.963847 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0509044 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.7157877, 103.1198] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.46969426, 2.759774] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41437998, 2.19633] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 1.6700444] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41817665, 2.1657236] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.73732954 | Average Mean: 0.2775995 | Average Mean: 0.2469535 | Average Mean: 0.22466207 | Average Mean: 0.24632096 |
| Mean Range: [0.08041189, 7.7132506] | Mean Range: [-9.719231E-4, 0.76391846] | Mean Range: [0.017317029, 0.7716487] | Mean Range: [0.0068116235, 0.63660306] | Mean Range: [-0.025821172, 0.833326] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.1526607 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.58764154 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53894615 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5054247 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.57309884 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33569756, 8.468192] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.106172554, 1.3193102] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13683403, 1.2185386] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0914383, 1.2802198] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10682722, 1.343173] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 8.007754 | Average RMSE: 1.3071018 | Average RMSE: 1.1328737 | Average RMSE: 0.99393857 | Average RMSE: 1.0835516 |
| RMSE Range: [0.7271937, 103.39618] | RMSE Range: [0.4759151, 2.8467946] | RMSE Range: [0.41829768, 2.3277528] | RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 1.7390397] | RMSE Range: [0.42081496, 2.3203337] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7554645E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.387562E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2400348E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.900396E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0421797E-4 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [5.7127774E-5, 5.145518E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.2866043E-5, 4.142558E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4222587E-5, 7.260003E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 4.1321528E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1564313E-5, 6.0718175E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -1.4702321E-5 | Average Mean: -7.3733763E-6 | Average Mean: -4.043627E-6 | Average Mean: -7.766452E-6 | Average Mean: -9.686726E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.5164147E-5, -2.987173E-6] | Mean Range: [-2.58436E-5, 5.702664E-6] | Mean Range: [-1.970217E-5, 4.6874724E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.8821201E-5, 3.1178195E-6] | Mean Range: [-3.200949E-5, 1.8600125E-5] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.717085E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.648358E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.8512207E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.2344E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.0583305E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3310451E-5, 2.3383516E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.587605E-6, 1.9131163E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.8561154E-6, 2.7760465E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.2280206E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1712864E-6, 2.7170387E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.7589293E-4 | Average RMSE: 7.4244206E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.2398853E-4 | Average RMSE: 7.930085E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.04676925E-4 |
| RMSE Range: [5.7188212E-5, 5.148442E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.309201E-5, 4.1372943E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.4370167E-5, 7.250825E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 4.1324578E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.15438725E-5, 6.0614786E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2855892E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3368137E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.996232E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.5646606E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7248071E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [8.303282E-12, 1.0035142E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.55705E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.9527574E-12, 4.5539117E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.355997E-9] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 4.8605738E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 3.0624886E-10 | Average Mean: 4.9731056E-11 | Average Mean: 3.2877853E-11 | Average Mean: 1.8471365E-11 | Average Mean: 8.618586E-11 |
| Mean Range: [5.5478636E-13, 2.5773519E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.3184283E-9] | Mean Range: [2.924115E-14, 2.8964553E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 7.949857E-10] | Mean Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.0624886E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9731056E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.2877853E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8471365E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.618586E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.5478636E-13, 2.5773519E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.3184283E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.924115E-14, 2.8964553E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 7.949857E-10] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.28582744E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.3374158E-9 | Average RMSE: 7.998114E-10 | Average RMSE: 4.5677323E-10 | Average RMSE: 1.7255058E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [8.303282E-12, 1.0036964E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 3.557434E-8] | RMSE Range: [1.952765E-12, 4.553942E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.376941E-9] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 4.8607742E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2720844E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.401868E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9153065E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.8521812E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1889061E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [7.6422096E-10, 7.608161E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.408686E-9, 3.2418842E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [5.0225182E-8, 6.0725245E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4058247E-9, 7.3940974E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 5.344127E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 7.1187956E-10 | Average Mean: 4.0655435E-9 | Average Mean: 7.2218964E-9 | Average Mean: 9.952906E-10 | Average Mean: 8.012328E-10 |
| Mean Range: [4.9952056E-11, 4.03414E-9] | Mean Range: [1.2398611E-10, 1.8053553E-8] | Mean Range: [2.081771E-9, 2.3916966E-8] | Mean Range: [6.8992395E-11, 4.2331028E-9] | Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.841303E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.1187956E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.0655435E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.2218964E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.952906E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.012328E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.9952056E-11, 4.03414E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2398611E-10, 1.8053553E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.081771E-9, 2.3916966E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.8992395E-11, 4.2331028E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.841303E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2735749E-8 | Average RMSE: 7.409986E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.9158587E-7 | Average RMSE: 1.8541563E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.19116885E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [7.6550694E-10, 7.615414E-8] | RMSE Range: [2.410843E-9, 3.2455188E-7] | RMSE Range: [5.0247838E-8, 6.07463E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.4069144E-9, 7.403039E-8] | RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 5.348305E-8] |
| | | | |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.034595E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.750186E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.824483E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.83927E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.6202967E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.1834905E-10, 4.4936343E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [7.278951E-10, 1.2761654E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [7.686731E-9, 1.6963453E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.8541005E-10, 1.7642565E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 2.7768888E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 4.8372917E-10 | Average Mean: 1.7370745E-9 | Average Mean: 2.6997216E-9 | Average Mean: 3.0864564E-10 | Average Mean: 3.2411213E-10 |
| Mean Range: [1.250223E-11, 2.7150204E-9] | Mean Range: [3.3995484E-11, 7.938605E-9] | Mean Range: [4.3146786E-10, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Range: [8.474582E-12, 1.4633502E-9] | Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 1.733481E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.8372917E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.7370745E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.6997216E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.0864564E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.2411213E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.250223E-11, 2.7150204E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.3995484E-11, 7.938605E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.3146786E-10, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.474582E-12, 1.4633502E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 1.733481E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.043813E-9 | Average RMSE: 2.7546145E-8 | Average RMSE: 5.828437E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.8475766E-9 | Average RMSE: 5.62755E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [2.186074E-10, 4.4997858E-8] | RMSE Range: [7.283745E-10, 1.2780822E-7] | RMSE Range: [7.695516E-9, 1.6985541E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.8552364E-10, 1.7695555E-8] | RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 2.7810973E-8] |
| | | | |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 5.6463698E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.6947295E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.3591701E-6 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.3622138E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.6389065E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 2.018846E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.3932309E-8, 2.7325596E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [5.942799E-7, 5.9683375E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [9.419913E-8, 5.9375463E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.250585E-8, 2.6774984E-7] |
| | | | |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 3.4453296E-9 | Average Mean: 2.6536819E-8 | Average Mean: 7.566416E-8 | Average Mean: 1.0516624E-8 | Average Mean: 6.995716E-9 |
| Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.6867645E-8] | Mean Range: [1.0172088E-9, 1.2364575E-7] | Mean Range: [1.7577083E-8, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Range: [2.8597948E-9, 3.2192364E-8] | Mean Range: [4.7836973E-10, 2.3484574E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.4453296E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.6536819E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.566416E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.0516624E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.995716E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.6867645E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.0172088E-9, 1.2364575E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.7577083E-8, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8597948E-9, 3.2192364E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.7836973E-10, 2.3484574E-8] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 5.6547293E-8 | Average RMSE: 5.6986613E-7 | Average RMSE: 2.3594027E-6 | Average RMSE: 2.3636355E-7 | Average RMSE: 8.664172E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 2.0218607E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.3970501E-8, 2.734216E-6] | RMSE Range: [5.942918E-7, 5.9694617E-6] | RMSE Range: [9.421296E-8, 5.943792E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.2509779E-8, 2.685185E-7] |
| | | | |
Scaling Relationship
(top)
Scaling Relationship Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Scaling Relationship choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| LogA+4.1 | Standard Deviation | 1.2141609 |
| LogA+4.2 | Standard Deviation | 1.2176032 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | Standard Deviation | 1.1923561 |
| LogA+4.3 | Standard Deviation | 1.2501955 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | Standard Deviation | 1.1907989 |
| WdthLmtd | Standard Deviation | 1.2245736 |
| LogA+4.1 | Mean | -0.1219905 |
| LogA+4.2 | Mean | -0.1464265 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | Mean | -0.12321281 |
| LogA+4.3 | Mean | -0.16899444 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | Mean | -0.11740881 |
| WdthLmtd | Mean | -0.117546305 |
| LogA+4.1 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6645411 |
| LogA+4.2 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.649913 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.64379495 |
| LogA+4.3 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6511716 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.60915196 |
| WdthLmtd | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.65822643 |
| LogA+4.1 | RMSE | 1.2246978 |
| LogA+4.2 | RMSE | 1.2311248 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | RMSE | 1.2025795 |
| LogA+4.3 | RMSE | 1.2735147 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | RMSE | 1.1984283 |
| WdthLmtd | RMSE | 1.2359111 |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.4647459 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5472096 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.450116 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6856308 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5192391 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4361306 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.4499937, 103.16451] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4335873, 103.17357] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.43892017, 103.1597] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 103.18648] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4359534, 103.16395] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.44425398, 103.149765] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.16109866 | Average Mean: -0.12469857 | Average Mean: -0.13982067 | Average Mean: -0.094311416 | Average Mean: -0.09109392 | Average Mean: -0.14609544 |
| Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 7.5798273] | Mean Range: [-0.5408218, 7.6320186] | Mean Range: [-0.56723297, 7.589882] | Mean Range: [-0.5178865, 7.679594] | Mean Range: [-0.42615274, 7.630861] | Mean Range: [-0.5010505, 7.5827518] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.655996 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6426106 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.63833094 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.63755655 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59425634 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6562486 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10088824, 8.631187] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.096550584, 8.633295] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.098471455, 8.617644] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09492485, 8.654773] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09303206, 8.551084] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09818054, 8.765086] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.4812042 | Average RMSE: 1.5596198 | Average RMSE: 1.4638913 | Average RMSE: 1.6958332 | Average RMSE: 1.5278322 | Average RMSE: 1.450744 |
| RMSE Range: [0.45061007, 103.433266] | RMSE Range: [0.4355685, 103.44614] | RMSE Range: [0.44117558, 103.4292] | RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 103.46253] | RMSE Range: [0.43617573, 103.436455] | RMSE Range: [0.44468728, 103.41877] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7462324 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.753629 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7345555 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7901131 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7089933 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7198228 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.23784007, 9.791887] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.2455545, 10.18525] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22521153, 9.596704] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.23439921, 11.149801] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 9.816563] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22425504, 9.400284] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.09757289 | Average Mean: -0.28358516 | Average Mean: -0.1450668 | Average Mean: -0.4556255 | Average Mean: -0.20412983 | Average Mean: -0.1867391 |
| Mean Range: [-3.958312, 0.77270716] | Mean Range: [-5.500953, 0.23137853] | Mean Range: [-4.0142603, 0.56290793] | Mean Range: [-6.9338007, -0.031736966] | Mean Range: [-4.5728674, 0.30123836] | Mean Range: [-3.5399902, 0.4849748] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.90338033 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8996236 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8836203 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.93816185 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8445252 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8628018 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17328861, 5.745202] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17509428, 6.3532724] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.170002, 5.4976563] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16145581, 7.5097566] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 5.834758] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17178725, 4.8802953] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.7471361 | Average RMSE: 1.7730428 | Average RMSE: 1.7378877 | Average RMSE: 1.8582597 | Average RMSE: 1.7147994 | Average RMSE: 1.72782 |
| RMSE Range: [0.24245909, 10.46235] | RMSE Range: [0.27074152, 11.4442425] | RMSE Range: [0.23556937, 10.2965555] | RMSE Range: [0.2462347, 12.934328] | RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 10.742424] | RMSE Range: [0.24307498, 9.939538] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.58543164 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5596277 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5570155 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.54511476 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.46204302 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5122047 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.12182155, 2.8459044] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.113295496, 2.560542] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11855193, 2.6427746] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11027703, 2.3694806] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 2.622732] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.10231469, 2.1621203] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.58543164 | Average Mean: -0.5596277 | Average Mean: -0.5570155 | Average Mean: -0.54511476 | Average Mean: -0.46204302 | Average Mean: -0.5122047 |
| Mean Range: [-2.8459044, -0.12182155] | Mean Range: [-2.560542, -0.113295496] | Mean Range: [-2.6427746, -0.11855193] | Mean Range: [-2.3694806, -0.11027703] | Mean Range: [-2.622732, -0.08367767] | Mean Range: [-2.1621203, -0.10231469] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.58543164 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5596277 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5570155 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54511476 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.46204302 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5122047 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12182155, 2.8459044] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.113295496, 2.560542] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11855193, 2.6427746] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11027703, 2.3694806] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 2.622732] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10231469, 2.1621203] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.58543164 | Average RMSE: 0.5596277 | Average RMSE: 0.5570155 | Average RMSE: 0.54511476 | Average RMSE: 0.46204302 | Average RMSE: 0.5122047 |
| RMSE Range: [0.12182155, 2.8459044] | RMSE Range: [0.113295496, 2.560542] | RMSE Range: [0.11855193, 2.6427746] | RMSE Range: [0.11027703, 2.3694806] | RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 2.622732] | RMSE Range: [0.10231469, 2.1621203] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0306599 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0180084 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0085292 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.022817 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0972598 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1543275 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.51106066, 3.7504628] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.49265334, 4.3963184] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.51295197, 3.5897563] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4673334, 4.8316526] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5279361, 3.8391922] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5452862, 3.613017] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.03282725 | Average Mean: -0.029724834 | Average Mean: -0.03252907 | Average Mean: -0.025758417 | Average Mean: -0.03787694 | Average Mean: -0.012264928 |
| Mean Range: [-0.49635974, 0.37999913] | Mean Range: [-0.49671516, 0.25934055] | Mean Range: [-0.50035244, 0.31714565] | Mean Range: [-0.49382526, 0.21887134] | Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.18720485] | Mean Range: [-0.49596846, 0.23182005] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.593662 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5824143 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5786845 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5783859 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.61828506 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6695151 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.24370728, 1.6681908] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22976042, 1.6092008] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.23853138, 1.5995916] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22252028, 1.6456168] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.25495255, 1.5950888] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.27398983, 1.5243385] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.0322542 | Average RMSE: 1.0192585 | Average RMSE: 1.009908 | Average RMSE: 1.0239627 | Average RMSE: 1.0986495 | Average RMSE: 1.155171 |
| RMSE Range: [0.5103208, 3.7573323] | RMSE Range: [0.49193117, 4.4004436] | RMSE Range: [0.5121894, 3.5959318] | RMSE Range: [0.4666898, 4.8339806] | RMSE Range: [0.5275161, 3.8456933] | RMSE Range: [0.54506946, 3.6114001] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2437346 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2095414 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2115647 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.207302 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1664591 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3003824 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.42371857, 103.118576] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.40863642, 103.11815] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41498837, 103.11762] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 103.11873] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4010004, 103.1198] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4456851, 103.11976] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.2669779 | Average Mean: 0.26550382 | Average Mean: 0.25836796 | Average Mean: 0.27583793 | Average Mean: 0.20809963 | Average Mean: 0.26957268 |
| Mean Range: [0.004651732, 7.6865315] | Mean Range: [-0.011718171, 7.700382] | Mean Range: [-0.025821172, 7.6940136] | Mean Range: [0.00824805, 7.7132506] | Mean Range: [0.0041139927, 7.67197] | Mean Range: [-0.015417408, 7.6548605] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5842356 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.56528896 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5613235 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.55663913 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5266503 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59036183 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0986287, 8.465129] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.095109686, 8.4580345] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09560247, 8.448314] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09257771, 8.468192] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0914383, 8.4537325] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.096662216, 8.424602] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2774628 | Average RMSE: 1.2440752 | Average RMSE: 1.2441953 | Average RMSE: 1.2444034 | Average RMSE: 1.1888175 | Average RMSE: 1.333616 |
| RMSE Range: [0.42826676, 103.393456] | RMSE Range: [0.4134657, 103.39409] | RMSE Range: [0.41778812, 103.3931] | RMSE Range: [0.4034296, 103.39618] | RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 103.393814] | RMSE Range: [0.44655466, 103.3911] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.00608726E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.568477E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0524516E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.493837E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.8957164E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.218513E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.3236736E-5, 5.503371E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1777873E-5, 5.8778666E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.319744E-5, 7.260003E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.2597426E-5, 4.5253063E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 4.7296277E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.135573E-5, 5.958377E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -8.561726E-6 | Average Mean: -8.461692E-6 | Average Mean: -8.116933E-6 | Average Mean: -9.670988E-6 | Average Mean: -7.775879E-6 | Average Mean: -6.13057E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.0491377E-5, 2.6919957E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.9083043E-5, 1.4563004E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.5164147E-5, 2.30364E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.32897E-5, 4.5711963E-6] | Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 1.8926527E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.372938E-5, 4.6874724E-5] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9844246E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.470484E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9953156E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.0758427E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.5901445E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.231906E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.1814335E-6, 2.432623E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1712864E-6, 2.3139107E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.086467E-6, 2.7760465E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.7935125E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.5940927E-6, 1.7083152E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1653133E-6, 1.784492E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.00938836E-4 | Average RMSE: 9.6009375E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.0551799E-4 | Average RMSE: 9.534246E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.93434E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.252788E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [1.3516869E-5, 5.5002305E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.1929466E-5, 5.8688776E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.34247875E-5, 7.250825E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.2721155E-5, 4.517378E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 4.7250564E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.1628563E-5, 5.966283E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.3456869E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3108875E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4108875E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2522968E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3167181E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5635232E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 7.96894E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 7.357765E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.37626E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 6.433156E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.799722E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 5.0986666E-11 | Average Mean: 5.0475776E-11 | Average Mean: 5.919117E-11 | Average Mean: 4.9445368E-11 | Average Mean: 5.242531E-11 | Average Mean: 6.8529245E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 1.5712248E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4851792E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.3571034E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.8326121E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.0986666E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.0475776E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.919117E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9445368E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.242531E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.8529245E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.5712248E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4851792E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.3571034E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.8326121E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.3460829E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.3114281E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.4113192E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.2527382E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.3172946E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.5643838E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 7.9702176E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 7.357961E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.377716E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 6.433602E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.8020514E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.9018133E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.9639205E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.5438724E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.8406045E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.0388812E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.4428304E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [7.6422096E-10, 2.840273E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.5981371E-9, 3.7348144E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 2.9859783E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4991169E-9, 6.0725245E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [9.2964736E-10, 2.9751942E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1472704E-9, 2.1153699E-7] |
| | | | | |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.8397032E-9 | Average Mean: 2.414414E-9 | Average Mean: 1.7575823E-9 | Average Mean: 3.373465E-9 | Average Mean: 2.1362367E-9 | Average Mean: 1.8221074E-9 |
| Mean Range: [4.9952056E-11, 1.0653379E-8] | Mean Range: [5.940483E-11, 1.4847142E-8] | Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 1.031978E-8] | Mean Range: [8.870891E-11, 2.3916966E-8] | Mean Range: [7.097485E-11, 1.2454197E-8] | Mean Range: [7.8627736E-11, 1.0492724E-8] |
| | | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8397032E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.414414E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.7575823E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.373465E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.1362367E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8221074E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.9952056E-11, 1.0653379E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.940483E-11, 1.4847142E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 1.031978E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.870891E-11, 2.3916966E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.097485E-11, 1.2454197E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.8627736E-11, 1.0492724E-8] |
| | | | | |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.904662E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.9680125E-8 | Average RMSE: 3.5469274E-8 | Average RMSE: 6.846434E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.043081E-8 | Average RMSE: 3.4464364E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [7.6550694E-10, 2.8408832E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.5985557E-9, 3.7358853E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 2.986481E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.5010626E-9, 6.07463E-7] | RMSE Range: [9.319335E-10, 2.9765246E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.1496083E-9, 2.1164878E-7] |
| | | | | |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2748656E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.742678E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2088709E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.386902E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.404043E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1853345E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [7.117338E-10, 1.1630716E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.0444045E-10, 1.6588767E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.8541005E-10, 8.084062E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6963453E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [6.1735017E-10, 1.1898218E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [8.316913E-10, 1.2097452E-7] |
| | | | | |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 7.237556E-10 | Average Mean: 9.604105E-10 | Average Mean: 6.657493E-10 | Average Mean: 1.3760738E-9 | Average Mean: 8.340593E-10 | Average Mean: 7.1859635E-10 |
| Mean Range: [3.7683013E-11, 5.059069E-9] | Mean Range: [6.0077594E-12, 8.91229E-9] | Mean Range: [8.474582E-12, 4.407135E-9] | Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Range: [4.422738E-11, 6.037515E-9] | Mean Range: [5.7731646E-11, 5.4341043E-9] |
| | | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.237556E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.604105E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.657493E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.3760738E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.340593E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.1859635E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.7683013E-11, 5.059069E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.0077594E-12, 8.91229E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.474582E-12, 4.407135E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.422738E-11, 6.037515E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.7731646E-11, 5.4341043E-9] |
| | | | | |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2764574E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.7447178E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.2102716E-8 | Average RMSE: 2.389962E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.4060288E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.1871609E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [7.1278794E-10, 1.1634922E-7] | RMSE Range: [2.0444045E-10, 1.6605536E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.8552364E-10, 8.084462E-8] | RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6985541E-7] | RMSE Range: [6.1866645E-10, 1.1908394E-7] | RMSE Range: [8.333693E-10, 1.2103816E-7] |
| | | | | |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.135423E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.3230315E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.9361476E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.677627E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.3740312E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.0234114E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [9.605751E-9, 4.0956415E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [8.786176E-9, 4.9772357E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [6.3829186E-9, 3.8202415E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.8856978E-8, 5.9683375E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 3.9631213E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.5672617E-9, 2.86602E-6] |
| | | | | |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.6763119E-8 | Average Mean: 2.190244E-8 | Average Mean: 1.597924E-8 | Average Mean: 2.8510883E-8 | Average Mean: 1.5741053E-8 | Average Mean: 1.285663E-8 |
| Mean Range: [4.4378207E-10, 1.3403393E-7] | Mean Range: [4.2895698E-10, 1.6684281E-7] | Mean Range: [2.0776268E-10, 1.2928821E-7] | Mean Range: [7.922803E-10, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.282642E-7] | Mean Range: [2.8089545E-10, 9.1237375E-8] |
| | | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.6763119E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.190244E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.597924E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8510883E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5741053E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.285663E-8 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.4378207E-10, 1.3403393E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.2895698E-10, 1.6684281E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.0776268E-10, 1.2928821E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.922803E-10, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.282642E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8089545E-10, 9.1237375E-8] |
| | | | | |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.1373653E-7 | Average RMSE: 5.325693E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.9380063E-7 | Average RMSE: 6.6814334E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.3768774E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.025227E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [9.61178E-9, 4.0961254E-6] | RMSE Range: [8.792784E-9, 4.9779546E-6] | RMSE Range: [6.3834955E-9, 3.820835E-6] | RMSE Range: [1.8865336E-8, 5.9694617E-6] | RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 3.9635424E-6] | RMSE Range: [4.573888E-9, 2.866276E-6] |
| | | | | |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
(top)
Supra-Seismogenic b-value Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Supra-Seismogenic b-value choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| b=0.0 | Standard Deviation | 1.5553164 |
| b=0.25 | Standard Deviation | 1.3350176 |
| b=0.5 | Standard Deviation | 1.1538391 |
| b=0.75 | Standard Deviation | 1.0488454 |
| b=1.0 | Standard Deviation | 0.9817216 |
| b=0.0 | Mean | -0.21509294 |
| b=0.25 | Mean | -0.15739198 |
| b=0.5 | Mean | -0.1184015 |
| b=0.75 | Mean | -0.09271239 |
| b=1.0 | Mean | -0.07938399 |
| b=0.0 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.8958845 |
| b=0.25 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.75985086 |
| b=0.5 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6163015 |
| b=0.75 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.5142625 |
| b=1.0 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.44436663 |
| b=0.0 | RMSE | 1.5828452 |
| b=0.25 | RMSE | 1.3519597 |
| b=0.5 | RMSE | 1.163733 |
| b=0.75 | RMSE | 1.0546857 |
| b=1.0 | RMSE | 0.98532337 |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7003943 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5901904 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4277023 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.416157 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4514494 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.4359534, 103.18648] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.8714156, 89.22895] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.6891495, 85.38586] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.54253495, 81.07293] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 76.34243] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.28272146 | Average Mean: -0.1766634 | Average Mean: -0.102596834 | Average Mean: -0.0509394 | Average Mean: -0.018011127 |
| Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 7.679594] | Mean Range: [-0.4257997, 7.4095297] | Mean Range: [-0.27822933, 6.989056] | Mean Range: [-0.20054203, 6.5265102] | Mean Range: [-0.15120634, 6.0268464] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8252136 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.77512336 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.62477237 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.51736057 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.44502935 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09303206, 8.57244] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.4449859, 8.765086] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30821916, 8.319533] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.21858032, 7.8265243] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 7.294347] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.7325935 | Average RMSE: 1.6070242 | Average RMSE: 1.4358987 | Average RMSE: 1.420097 | Average RMSE: 1.4536572 |
| RMSE Range: [0.43617573, 103.46253] | RMSE Range: [0.8796537, 89.528] | RMSE Range: [0.6934575, 85.6637] | RMSE Range: [0.5445559, 81.32787] | RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 76.57305] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.878564 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7819554 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7221189 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6824687 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6460148 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.24651161, 11.019393] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.25670958, 11.1106205] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.25496867, 11.12195] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.236979, 11.1383295] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 11.149801] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.27502528 | Average Mean: -0.25261405 | Average Mean: -0.2265871 | Average Mean: -0.20297943 | Average Mean: -0.18672688 |
| Mean Range: [-6.9338007, 0.77270716] | Mean Range: [-6.6885586, 0.60443777] | Mean Range: [-6.6541553, 0.55907774] | Mean Range: [-6.6168685, 0.5377882] | Mean Range: [-6.584632, 0.5186263] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.0794506 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.951671 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8617384 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7983787 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.75218886 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17315291, 7.5097566] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17221889, 7.3175297] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17055848, 7.275869] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16593993, 7.239374] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 7.2061105] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.9086344 | Average RMSE: 1.8045026 | Average RMSE: 1.738072 | Average RMSE: 1.6936357 | Average RMSE: 1.6542766 |
| RMSE Range: [0.2547081, 12.934328] | RMSE Range: [0.26149878, 12.881701] | RMSE Range: [0.2580301, 12.873481] | RMSE Range: [0.23555648, 12.868165] | RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 12.861381] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.9045076 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.656976 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.47643244 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.3579468 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.28866833 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.407035, 2.8459044] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.26852578, 2.8066537] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.17220907, 2.7702003] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11762129, 2.764309] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 2.7581487] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.9045076 | Average Mean: -0.656976 | Average Mean: -0.47643244 | Average Mean: -0.3579468 | Average Mean: -0.28866833 |
| Mean Range: [-2.8459044, -0.407035] | Mean Range: [-2.8066537, -0.26852578] | Mean Range: [-2.7702003, -0.17220907] | Mean Range: [-2.764309, -0.11762129] | Mean Range: [-2.7581487, -0.08367767] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.9045076 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.656976 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.47643244 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.3579468 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.28866833 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.407035, 2.8459044] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.26852578, 2.8066537] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17220907, 2.7702003] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11762129, 2.764309] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 2.7581487] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.9045076 | Average RMSE: 0.656976 | Average RMSE: 0.47643244 | Average RMSE: 0.3579468 | Average RMSE: 0.28866833 |
| RMSE Range: [0.407035, 2.8459044] | RMSE Range: [0.26852578, 2.8066537] | RMSE Range: [0.17220907, 2.7702003] | RMSE Range: [0.11762129, 2.764309] | RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 2.7581487] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.5033128 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1980622 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.99333066 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.84799963 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.73362935 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.105799, 4.8316526] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.83981943, 4.499358] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.68536943, 4.143703] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.55436933, 4.4926534] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4673334, 3.8917165] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.09745662 | Average Mean: -0.032892957 | Average Mean: -0.007949413 | Average Mean: -9.992938E-4 | Average Mean: -0.0031862508 |
| Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.37999913] | Mean Range: [-0.37397346, 0.32946908] | Mean Range: [-0.2810773, 0.2996767] | Mean Range: [-0.21126626, 0.2217939] | Mean Range: [-0.16373126, 0.21887134] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8479499 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.69755256 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5785346 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4845038 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.40891483 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.5082132, 1.6681908] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.38992777, 1.4309094] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3240587, 1.3026788] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2648155, 1.1457198] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22252028, 0.9873341] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.5077773 | Average RMSE: 1.1994644 | Average RMSE: 0.99380934 | Average RMSE: 0.848068 | Average RMSE: 0.73355085 |
| RMSE Range: [1.1038563, 4.8339806] | RMSE Range: [0.8399546, 4.497295] | RMSE Range: [0.68428445, 4.1419907] | RMSE Range: [0.5534929, 4.491965] | RMSE Range: [0.4666898, 3.8902864] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7898037 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4479038 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1496115 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.939655 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.7888461 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.43982938, 103.1198] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.87662375, 66.11551] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.66539794, 59.06316] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5036459, 54.283127] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 50.880108] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.4842462 | Average Mean: 0.33218643 | Average Mean: 0.2215583 | Average Mean: 0.14930302 | Average Mean: 0.09967262 |
| Mean Range: [0.023618959, 7.7132506] | Mean Range: [0.016404659, 4.203907] | Mean Range: [0.012807688, 3.3875358] | Mean Range: [0.0040535824, 2.7900732] | Mean Range: [-0.025821172, 2.3311944] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.82230085 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7179314 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5400295 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.41312256 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.32703182 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0914383, 8.468192] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.44386324, 5.118119] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30162182, 4.169433] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2146744, 3.472318] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 2.9454675] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.860713 | Average RMSE: 1.4918312 | Average RMSE: 1.1744525 | Average RMSE: 0.9536812 | Average RMSE: 0.7964638 |
| RMSE Range: [0.44050443, 103.39618] | RMSE Range: [0.9008633, 66.24304] | RMSE Range: [0.6742879, 59.154877] | RMSE Range: [0.5061351, 54.34987] | RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 50.92888] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.235688E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.514186E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.1715054E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.8492176E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.864346E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.4480094E-5, 4.7723175E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.2799557E-5, 6.879423E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.5973765E-5, 6.9308345E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1424812E-5, 7.172029E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 7.260003E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -9.183953E-6 | Average Mean: -8.420577E-6 | Average Mean: -8.043605E-6 | Average Mean: -7.6170545E-6 | Average Mean: -7.332966E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.32897E-5, 3.1532413E-6] | Mean Range: [-3.444037E-5, 2.9446102E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.1877353E-5, 3.7986694E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.369621E-5, 4.552094E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.5164147E-5, 4.6874724E-5] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.337611E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.5365847E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3227745E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.0239232E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.902538E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2472504E-5, 2.2540185E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [9.088904E-6, 2.6568165E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.6832604E-6, 2.658812E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.631507E-6, 2.669686E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 2.7760465E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.273162E-5 | Average RMSE: 9.548159E-5 | Average RMSE: 9.206078E-5 | Average RMSE: 8.88305E-5 | Average RMSE: 8.896213E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [2.488175E-5, 4.7689598E-4] | RMSE Range: [2.3182858E-5, 6.870488E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.6189399E-5, 6.9214765E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.1547797E-5, 7.162576E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 7.250825E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.278456E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5167612E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2053065E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.11193E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.2161645E-10 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.37626E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 7.6807375E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.99182E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.8229555E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 9.128627E-11 | Average Mean: 6.326499E-11 | Average Mean: 5.0035764E-11 | Average Mean: 3.3719073E-11 | Average Mean: 3.7571852E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 2.8326121E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.2972837E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4851792E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.8964553E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.128627E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.326499E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.0035764E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.3719073E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.7571852E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.8326121E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.2972837E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4851792E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.8964553E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.2797035E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.5174043E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.205714E-9 | Average RMSE: 9.113926E-10 | Average RMSE: 9.218246E-10 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.377716E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 7.682643E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.99323E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.824533E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0143648E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.7381303E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.2160816E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9324313E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2463118E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.0543909E-8, 6.0725245E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [3.7033203E-9, 4.6250224E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1071305E-9, 2.847992E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [9.2964736E-10, 1.7225979E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 1.0587118E-7] |
| | | | |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 5.2949654E-9 | Average Mean: 2.8776832E-9 | Average Mean: 1.5570084E-9 | Average Mean: 8.79449E-10 | Average Mean: 5.104846E-10 |
| Mean Range: [8.186289E-10, 2.3916966E-8] | Mean Range: [2.6668057E-10, 1.5961328E-8] | Mean Range: [7.159358E-11, 1.0435919E-8] | Mean Range: [5.0221775E-11, 6.1370224E-9] | Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.881876E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.2949654E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8776832E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5570084E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.79449E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.104846E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.186289E-10, 2.3916966E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.6668057E-10, 1.5961328E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.159358E-11, 1.0435919E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.0221775E-11, 6.1370224E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.881876E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.0153686E-7 | Average RMSE: 5.7432832E-8 | Average RMSE: 3.2187163E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.9337326E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.246876E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [1.0570887E-8, 6.07463E-7] | RMSE Range: [3.7112395E-9, 4.6257932E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.108969E-9, 2.848541E-7] | RMSE Range: [9.319335E-10, 1.7227501E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 1.0588404E-7] |
| | | | |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.5358298E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9236648E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.620573E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.9157173E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.5578804E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [3.5160743E-9, 1.6963453E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.6381497E-9, 1.3727158E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [6.1735017E-10, 7.089004E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 9.591557E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [6.777799E-11, 7.286805E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.2216655E-9 | Average Mean: 1.1471599E-9 | Average Mean: 4.999509E-10 | Average Mean: 3.0964908E-10 | Average Mean: 2.2044527E-10 |
| Mean Range: [2.6883806E-10, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Range: [8.748511E-11, 6.6689174E-9] | Mean Range: [3.7683013E-11, 3.34934E-9] | Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 3.2335692E-9] | Mean Range: [2.3026052E-12, 2.5410056E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2216655E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.1471599E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.999509E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.0964908E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2044527E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.6883806E-10, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.748511E-11, 6.6689174E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.7683013E-11, 3.34934E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 3.2335692E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3026052E-12, 2.5410056E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.5414853E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.926363E-8 | Average RMSE: 9.629879E-9 | Average RMSE: 6.9199393E-9 | Average RMSE: 5.560019E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [3.5306458E-9, 1.6985541E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.6397778E-9, 1.3737427E-7] | RMSE Range: [6.1866645E-10, 7.091637E-8] | RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 9.5926566E-8] | RMSE Range: [6.778784E-11, 7.288089E-8] |
| | | | |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.54074E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.770968E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.2625843E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.1294272E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3543394E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [5.8953432E-8, 5.9683375E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4140575E-8, 5.1302613E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0005409E-8, 3.2785888E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.871256E-9, 2.5219458E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 1.5332656E-6] |
| | | | |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 4.3014673E-8 | Average Mean: 2.4140645E-8 | Average Mean: 1.31104665E-8 | Average Mean: 8.016248E-9 | Average Mean: 4.845771E-9 |
| Mean Range: [3.2532699E-9, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Range: [1.1143039E-9, 1.6594359E-7] | Mean Range: [7.126466E-10, 1.0327303E-7] | Mean Range: [3.5062697E-10, 7.517478E-8] | Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 4.5490136E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3014673E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.4140645E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.31104665E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.016248E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.845771E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.2532699E-9, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.1143039E-9, 1.6594359E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.126466E-10, 1.0327303E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.5062697E-10, 7.517478E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 4.5490136E-8] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.547343E-7 | Average RMSE: 5.774069E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.2641455E-7 | Average RMSE: 2.13022E-7 | Average RMSE: 1.3547238E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [5.901726E-8, 5.9694617E-6] | RMSE Range: [1.4178216E-8, 5.130804E-6] | RMSE Range: [1.002637E-8, 3.2788469E-6] | RMSE Range: [4.886276E-9, 2.5220136E-6] | RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 1.5333005E-6] |
| | | | |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
(top)
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| EvenFit | Standard Deviation | 1.043887 |
| OverFit | Standard Deviation | 1.7865193 |
| UnderFit | Standard Deviation | 0.81443787 |
| EvenFit | Mean | -0.1328884 |
| OverFit | Mean | -0.1817244 |
| UnderFit | Mean | -0.08317688 |
| EvenFit | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6135508 |
| OverFit | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.86311626 |
| UnderFit | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.4617325 |
| EvenFit | RMSE | 1.0601928 |
| OverFit | RMSE | 1.796322 |
| UnderFit | RMSE | 0.82661337 |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.3519167 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.0136187 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1860007 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.5157208, 103.13081] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.77086705, 103.18648] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 103.12746] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.13642381 | Average Mean: -0.113215275 | Average Mean: -0.12892024 |
| Mean Range: [-0.5231254, 7.501863] | Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 7.679594] | Mean Range: [-0.52239996, 7.470509] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.62741685 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.71677446 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5683082 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12547779, 8.670765] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17687397, 8.765086] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09303206, 8.628428] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.3651335 | Average RMSE: 2.0251064 | Average RMSE: 1.1993223 |
| RMSE Range: [0.51592726, 103.392334] | RMSE Range: [0.7723584, 103.46253] | RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 103.387245] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0960283 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.7735908 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.35705388 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.7342154, 3.4890654] | Standard Deviation Range: [3.4718573, 11.149801] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 0.72231656] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.22109845 | Average Mean: -0.40248275 | Average Mean: -0.06277844 |
| Mean Range: [-2.411731, 0.6842583] | Mean Range: [-6.9338007, 0.77270716] | Mean Range: [-0.33063275, 0.31085745] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7496373 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.6635836 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.25283563 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33658323, 2.731312] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3006363, 7.5097566] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 0.40271485] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.132513 | Average RMSE: 3.7701356 | Average RMSE: 0.3768243 |
| RMSE Range: [0.7278194, 4.1308923] | RMSE Range: [3.4516091, 12.934328] | RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 0.716354] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.5221618 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.6754761 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.4130808 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.16027267, 1.7001337] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22970895, 2.8459044] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.580911] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.5221618 | Average Mean: -0.6754761 | Average Mean: -0.4130808 |
| Mean Range: [-1.7001337, -0.16027267] | Mean Range: [-2.8459044, -0.22970895] | Mean Range: [-1.580911, -0.08367767] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5221618 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6754761 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4130808 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16027267, 1.7001337] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22970895, 2.8459044] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.580911] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.5221618 | Average RMSE: 0.6754761 | Average RMSE: 0.4130808 |
| RMSE Range: [0.16027267, 1.7001337] | RMSE Range: [0.22970895, 2.8459044] | RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.580911] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0575074 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1019273 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0063661 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.61931807, 2.5200753] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.6001655, 4.8316526] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4673334, 2.1757348] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.032341447 | Average Mean: -0.02077857 | Average Mean: -0.0323707 |
| Mean Range: [-0.49596846, 0.1892439] | Mean Range: [-0.4856699, 0.37999913] | Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.10203007] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6103364 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6254776 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5746594 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3368258, 1.3468447] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33456746, 1.6681908] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22252028, 1.1194217] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.058755 | Average RMSE: 1.1032171 | Average RMSE: 1.0076298 |
| RMSE Range: [0.61950785, 2.5184817] | RMSE Range: [0.6008697, 4.8339806] | RMSE Range: [0.4666898, 2.2034883] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.1918207 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3679833 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1096879 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.50308025, 103.11855] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.60560167, 103.11813] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 103.1198] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.24758346 | Average Mean: 0.3033307 | Average Mean: 0.2212658 |
| Mean Range: [-9.719231E-4, 7.5994043] | Mean Range: [-0.025821172, 7.7132506] | Mean Range: [0.0020499136, 7.5688295] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5582017 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6342695 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49977854 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12042289, 8.363065] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15154257, 8.468192] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0914383, 8.334724] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2224008 | Average RMSE: 1.4076746 | Average RMSE: 1.1362097 |
| RMSE Range: [0.50623596, 103.387924] | RMSE Range: [0.6081577, 103.39618] | RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 103.38756] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.0821704E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5143053E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.1557425E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [3.0390538E-5, 4.1093864E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [3.806742E-5, 7.260003E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 2.4463792E-4] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -9.076969E-6 | Average Mean: -1.22629E-5 | Average Mean: -3.0190247E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-2.0017074E-5, 2.3631947E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.5164147E-5, 4.6874724E-5] | Mean Range: [-1.34842385E-5, 1.2697424E-5] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3133743E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.993583E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.3671018E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.633399E-5, 1.386243E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3275827E-5, 2.7760465E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.0215146E-4] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.12695E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.5180947E-4 | Average RMSE: 3.176101E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [3.1126732E-5, 4.1056573E-4] | RMSE Range: [3.8589962E-5, 7.250825E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 2.443182E-4] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.654958E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.2836812E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.508229E-10 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 4.5539117E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4035845E-8] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 4.4091966E-11 | Average Mean: 8.949351E-11 | Average Mean: 3.1941297E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 2.8964553E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 1.6971501E-9] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.4091966E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.949351E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.1941297E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.8964553E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.6971501E-9] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.660098E-10 | Average RMSE: 2.2843614E-9 | Average RMSE: 8.512523E-10 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 4.553942E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 2.4047301E-8] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.3622016E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.435313E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.568447E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [7.6422096E-10, 5.266569E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 5.725508E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [9.2964736E-10, 6.0725245E-7] |
| | |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.1911937E-9 | Average Mean: 2.2109115E-9 | Average Mean: 2.2696491E-9 |
| Mean Range: [4.9952056E-11, 2.3635945E-8] | Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.2595712E-8] | Mean Range: [6.8992395E-11, 2.3916966E-8] |
| | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.1911937E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2109115E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2696491E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.9952056E-11, 2.3635945E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.2595712E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.8992395E-11, 2.3916966E-8] |
| | |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.3661313E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.439195E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.5724505E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [7.6550694E-10, 5.2696134E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 5.727511E-7] | RMSE Range: [9.319335E-10, 6.07463E-7] |
| | |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.5236154E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6190905E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4586412E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [6.777799E-11, 1.4443648E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.5525387E-10, 1.6963453E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6588767E-7] |
| | |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 8.7870167E-10 | Average Mean: 9.2583513E-10 | Average Mean: 8.3478563E-10 |
| Mean Range: [2.3026052E-12, 7.774227E-9] | Mean Range: [1.3511321E-11, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 8.91229E-9] |
| | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.7870167E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.2583513E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.3478563E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3026052E-12, 7.774227E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3511321E-11, 9.9917035E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 8.91229E-9] |
| | |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.5256227E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.62116E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.4605166E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [6.778784E-11, 1.4458327E-7] | RMSE Range: [2.5550112E-10, 1.6985541E-7] | RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6605536E-7] |
| | |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.424742E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.4061196E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.4039743E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [4.048848E-9, 5.9683375E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 5.751904E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.5672617E-9, 5.4151424E-6] |
| | |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.8673312E-8 | Average Mean: 1.8599964E-8 | Average Mean: 1.8603407E-8 |
| Mean Range: [2.5509625E-10, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0166107E-7] | Mean Range: [2.8089545E-10, 1.9210174E-7] |
| | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8673312E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8599964E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8603407E-8 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.5509625E-10, 2.0774276E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0166107E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8089545E-10, 1.9210174E-7] |
| | |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.4272352E-7 | Average RMSE: 4.4086087E-7 | Average RMSE: 4.406457E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [4.0551003E-9, 5.9694617E-6] | RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 5.7530387E-6] | RMSE Range: [4.573888E-9, 5.4162892E-6] |
| | |
Segmentation Model
(top)
Segmentation Model Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Segmentation Model choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| Classic | Standard Deviation | 2.0633543 |
| HighSeg | Standard Deviation | 1.1155672 |
| LowSeg | Standard Deviation | 1.1151298 |
| MidSeg | Standard Deviation | 1.1166668 |
| None | Standard Deviation | 1.1591647 |
| Classic | Mean | -0.13457075 |
| HighSeg | Mean | -0.13216363 |
| LowSeg | Mean | -0.1316617 |
| MidSeg | Mean | -0.13049167 |
| None | Mean | -0.14010558 |
| Classic | Mean Absolute Deviation | 1.016023 |
| HighSeg | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6002744 |
| LowSeg | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.60364574 |
| MidSeg | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.60014325 |
| None | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6367643 |
| Classic | RMSE | 2.0691407 |
| HighSeg | RMSE | 1.1282067 |
| LowSeg | RMSE | 1.1290729 |
| MidSeg | RMSE | 1.1294467 |
| None | RMSE | 1.176847 |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.779665 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2681737 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2538208 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2589397 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3031398 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.4359534, 103.18648] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.47478047, 7.750696] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 8.0808] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.44334137, 7.7470007] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.43110543, 8.70197] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.10456156 | Average Mean: -0.14477853 | Average Mean: -0.15300933 | Average Mean: -0.14610429 | Average Mean: -0.1877589 |
| Mean Range: [-0.13418998, 7.679594] | Mean Range: [-0.44286904, 0.37503687] | Mean Range: [-0.5171687, 0.39253706] | Mean Range: [-0.50597304, 0.38102612] | Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.40444437] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.4940525 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5361562 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5417742 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53747046 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5765175 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09303206, 8.765086] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.19397882, 1.2965858] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18278837, 1.384173] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18875392, 1.3527526] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 1.4526385] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.7851417 | Average RMSE: 1.2802933 | Average RMSE: 1.2677028 | Average RMSE: 1.2715771 | Average RMSE: 1.3223825 |
| RMSE Range: [0.43617573, 103.46253] | RMSE Range: [0.47684258, 7.750957] | RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 8.081198] | RMSE Range: [0.44511652, 7.7474027] | RMSE Range: [0.43295503, 8.701988] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.0628173 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7226627 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6919762 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7032406 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6977638 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.24643143, 11.149801] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.2598411, 10.338562] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.2151324, 9.696672] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.24663159, 9.9577465] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 9.62722] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.10687988 | Average Mean: -0.21158575 | Average Mean: -0.26319855 | Average Mean: -0.2417145 | Average Mean: -0.29468772 |
| Mean Range: [-6.9338007, 0.77270716] | Mean Range: [-3.5458496, 0.44123018] | Mean Range: [-3.865692, 0.12226047] | Mean Range: [-3.6493754, 0.2521986] | Mean Range: [-4.264887, 0.076953836] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.2481536 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.85325414 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8430687 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.84287053 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.86419004 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16145581, 7.5097566] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18219994, 3.9670577] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1529493, 4.24587] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17509428, 4.041319] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 4.628871] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.0832036 | Average RMSE: 1.7363186 | Average RMSE: 1.7117127 | Average RMSE: 1.7190038 | Average RMSE: 1.7256467 |
| RMSE Range: [0.2462347, 12.934328] | RMSE Range: [0.273489, 10.828287] | RMSE Range: [0.22235815, 10.356615] | RMSE Range: [0.25115624, 10.520067] | RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 10.449282] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.8153891 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5089537 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.49705258 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.49874634 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5364679 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.12272578, 2.8459044] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.15246966, 1.2644603] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.10481213, 1.3732102] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.12057235, 1.3364736] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.8153891 | Average Mean: -0.5089537 | Average Mean: -0.49705258 | Average Mean: -0.49874634 | Average Mean: -0.5364679 |
| Mean Range: [-2.8459044, -0.12272578] | Mean Range: [-1.2644603, -0.15246966] | Mean Range: [-1.3732102, -0.10481213] | Mean Range: [-1.3364736, -0.12057235] | Mean Range: [-1.4879768, -0.08367767] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8153891 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5089537 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49705258 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49874634 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5364679 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12272578, 2.8459044] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15246966, 1.2644603] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10481213, 1.3732102] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12057235, 1.3364736] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.8153891 | Average RMSE: 0.5089537 | Average RMSE: 0.49705258 | Average RMSE: 0.49874634 | Average RMSE: 0.5364679 |
| RMSE Range: [0.12272578, 2.8459044] | RMSE Range: [0.15246966, 1.2644603] | RMSE Range: [0.10481213, 1.3732102] | RMSE Range: [0.12057235, 1.3364736] | RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2604036 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0046979 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0456995 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0222576 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1200005 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.4673334, 3.0058773] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 2.4891157] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.59526116, 3.847889] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.57928234, 3.193357] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.61192966, 4.8316526] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.031817306 | Average Mean: -0.0658346 | Average Mean: -0.017401736 | Average Mean: -0.036807727 | Average Mean: 0.025944076 |
| Mean Range: [-0.2536891, 0.37999913] | Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.0063248673] | Mean Range: [-0.49159336, 0.062830046] | Mean Range: [-0.49207658, 0.027532032] | Mean Range: [-0.40817532, 0.12401518] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6711086 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.57687587 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6051067 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59408957 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6406933 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22252028, 1.6681908] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30682322, 1.1150724] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3251762, 1.2574017] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.31603795, 1.2017761] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33928794, 1.2547356] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2602904 | Average RMSE: 1.0073483 | Average RMSE: 1.046194 | Average RMSE: 1.0233923 | Average RMSE: 1.1204398 |
| RMSE Range: [0.4666898, 3.002594] | RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 2.5201037] | RMSE Range: [0.5951096, 3.8459404] | RMSE Range: [0.5791527, 3.2080262] | RMSE Range: [0.6121375, 4.8339806] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.3984962 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.073348 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0871 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1001495 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1384511 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.43982938, 103.1198] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.44792008, 2.9920032] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 3.0903602] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.42680034, 3.008576] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4010004, 3.3488238] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.11303639 | Average Mean: 0.27033445 | Average Mean: 0.27235368 | Average Mean: 0.27091452 | Average Mean: 0.29244256 |
| Mean Range: [-0.025821172, 7.7132506] | Mean Range: [0.056001473, 0.73457] | Mean Range: [0.038752884, 0.8824673] | Mean Range: [0.04544216, 0.81566894] | Mean Range: [0.021174643, 0.99866575] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8514115 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.52613205 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53122663 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5275395 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5659528 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0914383, 8.468192] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1824393, 1.2075788] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17142466, 1.351893] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17595933, 1.2707528] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 1.4476666] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.4016786 | Average RMSE: 1.1081198 | Average RMSE: 1.1227026 | Average RMSE: 1.1345142 | Average RMSE: 1.1792977 |
| RMSE Range: [0.44050443, 103.39618] | RMSE Range: [0.45503595, 3.0805893] | RMSE Range: [0.4034296, 3.1567094] | RMSE Range: [0.43347412, 3.1169186] | RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 3.4942656] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.0875584E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.153027E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.531494E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.853308E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.312311E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.9296327E-5, 7.260003E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.135573E-5, 4.016253E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1424812E-5, 4.0146234E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 4.0201354E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.29904865E-5, 3.859208E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: -5.1174325E-6 | Average Mean: -8.573549E-6 | Average Mean: -8.359593E-6 | Average Mean: -8.738765E-6 | Average Mean: -7.4227496E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.5164147E-5, 4.6874724E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.1673404E-5, 9.172846E-7] | Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 4.7266465E-7] | Mean Range: [-3.2529602E-5, 6.0923213E-7] | Mean Range: [-3.1941323E-5, 1.6773947E-6] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.0458085E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.945365E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.6856592E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.8113536E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.559579E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3124786E-5, 2.7760465E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.4228893E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.631507E-6, 1.2776155E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.6217405E-6, 1.3246332E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.7621213E-6, 1.2565491E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.0866083E-4 | Average RMSE: 8.190844E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.57204E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.895242E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.344903E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [2.9282483E-5, 7.250825E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.15438725E-5, 4.0192826E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.1547797E-5, 4.017795E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 4.0229506E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.3206535E-5, 3.864001E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.8435837E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.216761E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.6767837E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0902588E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 4.8605738E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [5.2599093E-12, 1.0035142E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 7.357765E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.4089187E-14, 8.0656726E-8] |
 |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.8104225E-10 | Average Mean: 3.399258E-11 | Average Mean: 1.8542147E-11 | Average Mean: 2.5492015E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Mean Range: [7.744443E-14, 2.5773519E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 1.2124256E-9] | Mean Range: [3.5432937E-16, 1.7595997E-9] |
 |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8104225E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.399258E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8542147E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.5492015E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.1178296E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.744443E-14, 2.5773519E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.2124256E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.5432937E-16, 1.7595997E-9] |
 |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.846411E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.2171335E-9 | Average RMSE: 7.67838E-10 | Average RMSE: 1.0904608E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 4.8607742E-8] | RMSE Range: [5.25991E-12, 1.0036964E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 7.357961E-8] | RMSE Range: [2.4089187E-14, 8.066719E-8] |
 |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.4553204E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 6.0725245E-7] |
|
Mean
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.2239182E-9 |
| Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8] |
|
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2239182E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8] |
|
RMSE
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.459259E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 6.07463E-7] |
|
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.5337823E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6963453E-7] |
|
Mean
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 8.7977414E-10 |
| Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9] |
|
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.7977414E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9] |
|
RMSE
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.5357664E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6985541E-7] |
|
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.411612E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 5.9683375E-6] |
|
Mean
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.8625562E-8 |
| Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7] |
|
Mean Absolute Deviation
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8625562E-8 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7] |
|
RMSE
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.4141004E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 5.9694617E-6] |
|