Logic Tree Misfits

Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
Standard Deviation Summary
Constraint Summaries
Deformation Model
Scaling Relationship
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Segmentation Model

Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Mean Absolute Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits

Constraint	Average Mean Absolute Deviation	Best Fitting	Worst Fitting	Ratio to All Uncert-Weighted Constraints
All Uncertainty-Weighted Average	0.6050343	0.1904573	2.0336566	1.0
Uncertain Slip Rate	0.54232734	0.16885382	1.4526385	0.905222
Paleoseismic Event Rate	0.84874463	0.13932101	4.628871	1.3144169
Uncertain Parkfield	0.5059637	0.08367767	1.4879768	0.8153145
Uncertain MFD Equality	0.5959781	0.30682322	1.2574017	1.0792923
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates	0.53215784	0.16293707	1.4476666	0.88575435

Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit all uncertainthy-weighted constraints on average.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.1904573	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.20421124	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
3	0.20427187	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.20802432	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
5	0.2090355	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.8486599	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1797	1.8491007	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	None
1798	1.8956441	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1799	1.9129512	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1800	2.0336566	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Distribution of branch Mean Absolute Deviation values, averaged accross constraints:

Average branch choice values: A list of average fits across all uncertainthy-weighted constraints for each logic tree branch choice.

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	0.97993815	0.75285274	1.75552
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.62698036	0.5418009	0.82211876
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.600621	0.51746094	0.8924898
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.5473815	0.4391755	0.7704279
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.62252784	0.52406025	0.88108516
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.6214727	0.54630613	0.86147684
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.6089228	0.52668375	0.85991997
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.6018367	0.5221888	0.8416867
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.6102881	0.51612407	0.89420474
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.5663767	0.43486282	0.80549693
Width Limited, From Moment	0.621309	0.4896165	0.8296825
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	0.901893	0.84020466	1.0412642
b=0.25	0.7097562	0.626476	0.915862
b=0.5	0.5637631	0.44766527	0.82215804
b=0.75	0.46017587	0.32844207	0.75633365
b=1.0	0.3895835	0.2574166	0.70810527
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.57331234	0.49700218	0.71112067
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	0.80454797	0.5982467	1.5827912
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.4372426	0.252322	0.5885953
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.6002744	0.5089537	0.85325414
Low Segmentation	0.60364574	0.49705258	0.8430687
Middle Segmentation	0.60014325	0.49874634	0.84287053
None	0.6367643	0.5364679	0.86419004

Uncertain Slip Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Slip Rate constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.16885382	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.18278837	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
3	0.18462998	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
4	0.18550506	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
5	0.18580055	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.384173	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1797	1.4019433	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1798	1.4285715	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1799	1.4511077	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1800	1.4526385	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain Slip Rate misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	0.8111147	0.36797154	1.4526385
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.575945	0.19076587	1.2080307
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.5305568	0.18580055	1.1217737
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.48529854	0.16885382	0.91754836
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.55818516	0.18786204	1.2519687
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.5629467	0.1966284	1.4526385
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.5486545	0.18748024	1.4285715
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.54359543	0.18831542	1.4019433
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.543248	0.18278837	1.4511077
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.49350286	0.16885382	1.3649147
Width Limited, From Moment	0.5620165	0.2016852	1.3487283
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	0.8799251	0.615295	1.4526385
b=0.25	0.6606288	0.4449859	1.2655473
b=0.5	0.4944984	0.30821916	1.1018665
b=0.75	0.3770259	0.21858032	0.9766547
b=1.0	0.2995585	0.16885382	0.89250606
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.53158474	0.22390951	1.1719366
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	0.6251095	0.3165871	1.4526385
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.47028774	0.16885382	1.1114984
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.5361562	0.19397882	1.2965858
Low Segmentation	0.5417742	0.18278837	1.384173
Middle Segmentation	0.53747046	0.18875392	1.3527526
None	0.5765175	0.16885382	1.4526385

Paleoseismic Event Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Paleoseismic Event Rate constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.13932101	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.15255882	Geologic	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
3	0.1529493	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
4	0.170002	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
5	0.17178725	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	4.24587	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1797	4.2547526	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	OverFit	None
1798	4.353697	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.5	OverFit	None
1799	4.479205	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	None
1800	4.628871	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Paleoseismic Event Rate misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	1.75552	0.3418305	4.628871
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.82211876	0.15255882	2.0007496
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.8924898	0.23864831	2.012968
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.7704279	0.13932101	1.7430357
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.88108516	0.20735025	2.0796428
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.86147684	0.17328861	3.651473
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.85991997	0.17509428	4.082387
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.8416867	0.170002	3.5418527
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.89420474	0.18800642	4.628871
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.80549693	0.13932101	3.6403725
Width Limited, From Moment	0.8296825	0.17178725	3.4686189
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.0412642	0.17509428	4.628871
b=0.25	0.915862	0.17857769	4.479205
b=0.5	0.82215804	0.18053356	4.353697
b=0.75	0.75633365	0.1731003	4.2547526
b=1.0	0.70810527	0.13932101	4.187099
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.71112067	0.33658323	2.2716892
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.5827912	1.3006363	4.628871
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.252322	0.13932101	0.40271485
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.85325414	0.18219994	3.9670577
Low Segmentation	0.8430687	0.1529493	4.24587
Middle Segmentation	0.84287053	0.17509428	4.041319
None	0.86419004	0.13932101	4.628871

Uncertain Parkfield, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Parkfield constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.08367767	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.09669521	Geologic	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
3	0.0996761	Zeng	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.10231469	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
5	0.10481213	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.3843598	Zeng	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1797	1.3964916	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1798	1.3973365	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1799	1.4127876	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1800	1.4879768	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain Parkfield misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	0.75285274	0.28138417	1.4879768
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.5418009	0.09669521	1.275169
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.5225368	0.12040089	1.2794659
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.4391755	0.08367767	1.370735
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.52406025	0.0996761	1.3843598
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.54630613	0.12182155	1.4879768
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.52668375	0.113295496	1.3964916
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.5221888	0.11855193	1.4127876
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.51612407	0.11027703	1.3973365
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.43486282	0.08367767	1.3459324
Width Limited, From Moment	0.4896165	0.10231469	1.3024077
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	0.8698185	0.50628996	1.4879768
b=0.25	0.626476	0.33024186	1.2604574
b=0.5	0.44766527	0.20586033	1.0389171
b=0.75	0.32844207	0.11762129	0.8574501
b=1.0	0.2574166	0.08367767	0.77448916
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.49700218	0.16027267	1.1909126
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	0.6104511	0.22970895	1.4879768
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.41043776	0.08367767	1.173002
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.5089537	0.15246966	1.2644603
Low Segmentation	0.49705258	0.10481213	1.3732102
Middle Segmentation	0.49874634	0.12057235	1.3364736
None	0.5364679	0.08367767	1.4879768

Uncertain MFD Equality, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain MFD Equality constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.30682322	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
2	0.31603795	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
3	0.32480922	Pollitz	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
4	0.3251762	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
5	0.32529157	Pollitz	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.232611	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1797	1.2349546	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1798	1.2392647	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1799	1.2547356	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1800	1.2574017	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg

Uncertain MFD Equality misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	0.8140678	0.4617187	1.2574017
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.62900794	0.36068287	1.1194217
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.54006064	0.30682322	0.88613397
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.5647796	0.34324804	0.92215276
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.6006887	0.3533294	1.0154207
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.58457756	0.3441049	1.227948
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.5729526	0.32480922	1.2392647
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.56976324	0.32529157	1.2349546
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.5663225	0.30682322	1.2574017
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.6126893	0.3635799	1.2026411
Width Limited, From Moment	0.6695634	0.38283288	1.1936735
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	0.84020466	0.68137836	1.2574017
b=0.25	0.69266635	0.54775953	1.1186781
b=0.5	0.571391	0.44545966	0.99449044
b=0.75	0.4760484	0.36760023	0.89033675
b=1.0	0.3995801	0.30682322	0.77407706
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.6010924	0.3368258	1.1397715
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	0.5982467	0.33456746	1.2574017
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.5885953	0.30682322	1.1194217
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.57687587	0.30682322	1.1150724
Low Segmentation	0.6051067	0.3251762	1.2574017
Middle Segmentation	0.59408957	0.31603795	1.2017761
None	0.6406933	0.33928794	1.2547356

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.16293707	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.17142466	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
3	0.17226288	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.17439881	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
5	0.1746371	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.3571424	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1797	1.3972833	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1798	1.4180415	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1799	1.4362326	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1800	1.4476666	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	0.7661354	0.33569756	1.4476666
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.56602913	0.18010242	1.1971617
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.51746094	0.17226288	1.090836
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.477226	0.16293707	0.91822433
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.54862	0.18255143	1.2438614
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.55205643	0.18764403	1.4476666
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.5364031	0.17711726	1.4180415
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.53194916	0.1782369	1.3972833
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.5315411	0.17142466	1.4362326
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.4853315	0.16293707	1.3571424
Width Limited, From Moment	0.5556659	0.19614707	1.3480296
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	0.8782526	0.6180508	1.4476666
b=0.25	0.6531477	0.44386324	1.2348152
b=0.5	0.4831026	0.30162182	1.0232251
b=0.75	0.3630293	0.2146744	0.853949
b=1.0	0.28325704	0.16293707	0.7528635
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.5257619	0.21790493	1.1639493
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	0.60614145	0.28754362	1.4476666
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.46457022	0.16293707	1.1035055
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.52613205	0.1824393	1.2075788
Low Segmentation	0.53122663	0.17142466	1.351893
Middle Segmentation	0.5275395	0.17595933	1.2707528
None	0.5659528	0.16293707	1.4476666

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	5.1022994E-6	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
2	5.1653133E-6	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
3	5.1712864E-6	Zeng	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
4	5.420907E-6	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
5	5.514769E-6	Zeng	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.3246332E-4	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.25	OverFit	MidSeg
1797	1.3401061E-4	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.25	OverFit	HighSeg
1798	1.3631003E-4	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.5	OverFit	HighSeg
1799	1.3706437E-4	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.75	OverFit	HighSeg
1800	1.4228893E-4	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	7.256213E-5	2.3310451E-5	1.4228893E-4
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	3.1476517E-5	5.587605E-6	6.9756585E-5
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	5.376786E-5	5.8561154E-6	1.3086866E-4
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	2.9979527E-5	5.1022994E-6	6.026552E-5
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	4.5222365E-5	5.1712864E-6	1.2500846E-4
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	4.5043995E-5	6.1814335E-6	1.4228893E-4
LogA+4.2, From Moment	4.0175768E-5	5.1712864E-6	1.3190448E-4
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	4.3953292E-5	6.086467E-6	1.3136203E-4
LogA+4.3, From Moment	3.780381E-5	5.1022994E-6	1.2947185E-4
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	3.2700886E-5	5.5940927E-6	1.1964932E-4
Width Limited, From Moment	2.8329276E-5	5.1653133E-6	9.195969E-5
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	4.092829E-5	1.2472504E-5	1.313262E-4
b=0.25	4.061343E-5	9.088904E-6	1.3401061E-4
b=0.5	3.8579114E-5	6.6832604E-6	1.3631003E-4
b=0.75	3.5534365E-5	5.631507E-6	1.3706437E-4
b=1.0	3.4350654E-5	5.1022994E-6	1.4228893E-4
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	3.9448496E-5	1.633399E-5	7.395927E-5
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	6.204489E-5	2.3275827E-5	1.4228893E-4
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	1.2510127E-5	5.1022994E-6	5.5866458E-5
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	3.945365E-5	5.1022994E-6	1.4228893E-4
Low Segmentation	3.6856592E-5	5.631507E-6	1.2776155E-4
Middle Segmentation	3.8113536E-5	5.6217405E-6	1.3246332E-4
None	3.559579E-5	6.7621213E-6	1.2565491E-4

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.0	Geologic	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
2	3.5432937E-16	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	MidSeg
3	1.0809944E-14	Geologic	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
4	1.9077398E-14	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
5	2.924115E-14	Pollitz	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1346	2.0697941E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=0.5	OverFit	HighSeg
1347	2.0733837E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=0.5	OverFit	HighSeg
1348	2.11393E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=0.75	OverFit	HighSeg
1349	2.415758E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1350	2.5773519E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	3.206063E-10	1.0056827E-12	2.5773519E-9
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	3.3281756E-11	0.0	2.7871486E-10
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.2813995E-11	2.924115E-14	6.7565724E-11
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	1.110815E-11	3.5432937E-16	6.534405E-11
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	2.2803594E-11	7.987031E-14	1.1429427E-10
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	2.642091E-11	7.681439E-14	1.9639332E-9
LogA+4.2, From Moment	2.7544043E-11	1.9077398E-14	1.5712248E-9
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	2.4531674E-11	3.5432937E-16	2.0100253E-9
LogA+4.3, From Moment	2.5807122E-11	6.9978725E-14	1.2243729E-9
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	2.4109608E-11	0.0	2.415758E-9
Width Limited, From Moment	3.3240202E-11	1.3349769E-13	2.5773519E-9
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	5.566167E-11	1.555393E-12	1.989319E-9
b=0.25	3.155809E-11	4.196834E-13	2.050566E-9
b=0.5	1.94537E-11	1.9597282E-13	2.0733837E-9
b=0.75	1.527619E-11	1.3349769E-13	2.11393E-9
b=1.0	1.27616485E-11	0.0	2.5773519E-9
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.9222537E-11	1.9077398E-14	2.133152E-10
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	4.068642E-11	0.0	2.5773519E-9
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	2.0917821E-11	9.861413E-14	2.7871486E-10
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	3.399258E-11	7.744443E-14	2.5773519E-9
Low Segmentation	1.8542147E-11	0.0	1.2124256E-9
Middle Segmentation	2.5492015E-11	3.5432937E-16	1.7595997E-9
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	6.4348674E-12	Zeng	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	MidSeg
2	4.9952056E-11	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=1.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
3	5.0221775E-11	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.75	OverFit	MidSeg
4	5.940483E-11	Zeng	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
5	6.8992395E-11	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
446	1.70166E-8	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	MidSeg
447	1.8053553E-8	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
448	2.2595712E-8	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	MidSeg
449	2.3635945E-8	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
450	2.3916966E-8	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	UnderFit	MidSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	7.1187956E-10	4.9952056E-11	4.03414E-9
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	4.0655435E-9	1.2398611E-10	1.8053553E-8
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	7.2218964E-9	2.081771E-9	2.3916966E-8
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	9.952906E-10	6.8992395E-11	4.2331028E-9
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	8.012328E-10	6.4348674E-12	3.841303E-9
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.8397032E-9	4.9952056E-11	1.0653379E-8
LogA+4.2, From Moment	2.414414E-9	5.940483E-11	1.4847142E-8
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.7575823E-9	6.4348674E-12	1.031978E-8
LogA+4.3, From Moment	3.373465E-9	8.870891E-11	2.3916966E-8
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	2.1362367E-9	7.097485E-11	1.2454197E-8
Width Limited, From Moment	1.8221074E-9	7.8627736E-11	1.0492724E-8
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	5.2949654E-9	8.186289E-10	2.3916966E-8
b=0.25	2.8776832E-9	2.6668057E-10	1.5961328E-8
b=0.5	1.5570084E-9	7.159358E-11	1.0435919E-8
b=0.75	8.79449E-10	5.0221775E-11	6.1370224E-9
b=1.0	5.104846E-10	6.4348674E-12	3.881876E-9
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	2.1911937E-9	4.9952056E-11	2.3635945E-8
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	2.2109115E-9	6.4348674E-12	2.2595712E-8
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	2.2696491E-9	6.8992395E-11	2.3916966E-8
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Low Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Middle Segmentation	2.2239182E-9	6.4348674E-12	2.3916966E-8
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	1.9911531E-12	Zeng	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	UnderFit	LowSeg
2	2.3026052E-12	Zeng	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
3	6.0077594E-12	Zeng	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
4	8.474582E-12	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
5	1.250223E-11	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.75	EvenFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
446	7.677449E-9	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
447	7.774227E-9	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
448	7.938605E-9	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
449	8.91229E-9	Pollitz	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
450	9.9917035E-9	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	4.8372917E-10	1.250223E-11	2.7150204E-9
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.7370745E-9	3.3995484E-11	7.938605E-9
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	2.6997216E-9	4.3146786E-10	9.9917035E-9
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	3.0864564E-10	8.474582E-12	1.4633502E-9
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	3.2411213E-10	1.9911531E-12	1.733481E-9
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	7.237556E-10	3.7683013E-11	5.059069E-9
LogA+4.2, From Moment	9.604105E-10	6.0077594E-12	8.91229E-9
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	6.657493E-10	8.474582E-12	4.407135E-9
LogA+4.3, From Moment	1.3760738E-9	1.9911531E-12	9.9917035E-9
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	8.340593E-10	4.422738E-11	6.037515E-9
Width Limited, From Moment	7.1859635E-10	5.7731646E-11	5.4341043E-9
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	2.2216655E-9	2.6883806E-10	9.9917035E-9
b=0.25	1.1471599E-9	8.748511E-11	6.6689174E-9
b=0.5	4.999509E-10	3.7683013E-11	3.34934E-9
b=0.75	3.0964908E-10	1.9911531E-12	3.2335692E-9
b=1.0	2.2044527E-10	2.3026052E-12	2.5410056E-9
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	8.7870167E-10	2.3026052E-12	7.774227E-9
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	9.2583513E-10	1.3511321E-11	9.9917035E-9
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	8.3478563E-10	1.9911531E-12	8.91229E-9
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Low Segmentation	8.7977414E-10	1.9911531E-12	9.9917035E-9
Middle Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	1.6940722E-10	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
2	2.0776268E-10	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
3	2.5509625E-10	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	EvenFit	HighSeg
4	2.8089545E-10	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
5	2.843962E-10	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	EvenFit	HighSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
446	1.6594359E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	HighSeg
447	1.6684281E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
448	1.9210174E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
449	2.0166107E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	HighSeg
450	2.0774276E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	EvenFit	HighSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	3.4453296E-9	1.6940722E-10	1.6867645E-8
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	2.6536819E-8	1.0172088E-9	1.2364575E-7
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	7.566416E-8	1.7577083E-8	2.0774276E-7
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	1.0516624E-8	2.8597948E-9	3.2192364E-8
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	6.995716E-9	4.7836973E-10	2.3484574E-8
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.6763119E-8	4.4378207E-10	1.3403393E-7
LogA+4.2, From Moment	2.190244E-8	4.2895698E-10	1.6684281E-7
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.597924E-8	2.0776268E-10	1.2928821E-7
LogA+4.3, From Moment	2.8510883E-8	7.922803E-10	2.0774276E-7
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.5741053E-8	1.6940722E-10	1.282642E-7
Width Limited, From Moment	1.285663E-8	2.8089545E-10	9.1237375E-8
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	4.3014673E-8	3.2532699E-9	2.0774276E-7
b=0.25	2.4140645E-8	1.1143039E-9	1.6594359E-7
b=0.5	1.31104665E-8	7.126466E-10	1.0327303E-7
b=0.75	8.016248E-9	3.5062697E-10	7.517478E-8
b=1.0	4.845771E-9	1.6940722E-10	4.5490136E-8
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.8673312E-8	2.5509625E-10	2.0774276E-7
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.8599964E-8	1.6940722E-10	2.0166107E-7
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	1.8603407E-8	2.8089545E-10	1.9210174E-7
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.8625562E-8	1.6940722E-10	2.0774276E-7
Low Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Middle Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Standard Deviation Summary

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Standard Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits

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Constraint	Average Standard Deviation	Best Fitting	Worst Fitting	Ratio to All Uncert-Weighted Constraints
All Uncertainty-Weighted Average	1.1206807	0.35717797	4.8875604	1.0
Uncertain Slip Rate	1.2657913	0.4192203	8.70197	1.1443132
Paleoseismic Event Rate	1.7066029	0.19279963	10.338562	1.3057269
Uncertain Parkfield	0.5059637	0.08367767	1.4879768	0.46049643
Uncertain MFD Equality	1.0324739	0.562884	4.8316526	1.0485636
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates	1.0925715	0.39724088	3.3488238	1.0408999

Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit all uncertainthy-weighted constraints on average.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.35717797	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
2	0.3599081	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
3	0.3693227	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.3709332	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
5	0.3723921	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	4.6828628	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	OverFit	LowSeg
1797	4.685984	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	None
1798	4.7153177	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.5	OverFit	LowSeg
1799	4.717512	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	OverFit	None
1800	4.8875604	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Distribution of branch Standard Deviation values, averaged accross constraints:

Average branch choice values: A list of average fits across all uncertainthy-weighted constraints for each logic tree branch choice.

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	2.2126818	0.75285274	3.972784
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.2183766	0.5418009	1.6978129
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.1103095	0.5225368	1.7215072
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.9945665	0.4391755	1.5896323
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	1.1017596	0.52406025	1.6853529
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.116811	0.54630613	1.7120489
LogA+4.2, From Moment	1.1232344	0.52668375	1.7192166
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.0957137	0.5221888	1.696854
LogA+4.3, From Moment	1.1574343	0.51612407	1.7505596
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.097828	0.43486282	1.6753211
Width Limited, From Moment	1.1330626	0.4896165	1.6856173
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.4898163	0.8698185	1.8439463
b=0.25	1.2309332	0.626476	1.7499092
b=0.5	1.049799	0.44766527	1.6870089
b=0.75	0.947916	0.32844207	1.6453544
b=1.0	0.884939	0.2574166	1.6067957
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.9444365	0.49700218	1.0878457
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.6847242	0.6104511	3.723596
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.7328813	0.35495466	1.0170723
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.1155672	0.5089537	1.7226627
Low Segmentation	1.1151298	0.49705258	1.6919762
Middle Segmentation	1.1166668	0.49874634	1.7032406
None	1.1591647	0.5364679	1.6977638

Uncertain Slip Rate, Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Slip Rate constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.4192203	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
2	0.43110543	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
3	0.4335873	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
4	0.43892017	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
5	0.4405629	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	7.088245	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1797	7.7470007	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	MidSeg
1798	7.750696	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1799	8.0808	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1800	8.70197	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain Slip Rate misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	2.8653438	1.0308865	7.088245
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.4515166	0.45899963	8.70197
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.2322589	0.50093067	2.0677023
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	1.0563118	0.4192203	1.8479666
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	1.23278	0.46423066	2.1159697
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.2088273	0.45630854	5.24262
LogA+4.2, From Moment	1.2994915	0.4335873	6.2336
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.1934254	0.43892017	5.1539955
LogA+4.3, From Moment	1.4495624	0.4192203	8.70197
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.2694076	0.44632083	5.9911313
Width Limited, From Moment	1.1740336	0.5027124	5.3016953
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.5757504	1.090605	5.93778
b=0.25	1.3066845	0.8714156	6.1486197
b=0.5	1.1337577	0.6891495	6.4667864
b=0.75	1.1307698	0.54253495	6.8165507
b=1.0	1.1819942	0.4192203	8.70197
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.0878457	0.6246634	2.4764059
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.8006593	0.90010804	8.70197
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.9088689	0.4192203	1.966476
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.2681737	0.47478047	7.750696
Low Segmentation	1.2538208	0.4192203	8.0808
Middle Segmentation	1.2589397	0.44334137	7.7470007
None	1.3031398	0.43110543	8.70197

Paleoseismic Event Rate, Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Paleoseismic Event Rate constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.19279963	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.2151324	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
3	0.22425504	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.22521153	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
5	0.22958939	Geologic	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	10.324241	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.5	OverFit	HighSeg
1797	10.3255625	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1798	10.326259	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	HighSeg
1799	10.333148	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1800	10.338562	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	OverFit	HighSeg

Paleoseismic Event Rate misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	3.972784	0.44847178	10.338562
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.6978129	0.22958939	4.150683
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.7215072	0.3478882	3.8632162
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	1.5896323	0.19279963	3.74457
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	1.6853529	0.29087064	3.8484662
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.7120489	0.23784007	9.063851
LogA+4.2, From Moment	1.7192166	0.2455545	9.754805
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.696854	0.22521153	8.953756
LogA+4.3, From Moment	1.7505596	0.23439921	10.338562
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.6753211	0.19279963	9.204251
Width Limited, From Moment	1.6856173	0.22425504	8.885064
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.8439463	0.2598411	10.3255625
b=0.25	1.7499092	0.26734304	10.326259
b=0.5	1.6870089	0.2718678	10.324241
b=0.75	1.6453544	0.236979	10.338562
b=1.0	1.6067957	0.19279963	10.333148
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.041258	0.7342154	2.90097
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	3.723596	3.4718573	10.338562
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.35495466	0.19279963	0.72231656
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.7226627	0.2598411	10.338562
Low Segmentation	1.6919762	0.2151324	9.696672
Middle Segmentation	1.7032406	0.24663159	9.9577465
None	1.6977638	0.19279963	9.62722

Uncertain Parkfield, Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Parkfield constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.08367767	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
2	0.09669521	Geologic	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
3	0.0996761	Zeng	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.10231469	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
5	0.10481213	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	1.3843598	Zeng	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1797	1.3964916	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1798	1.3973365	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1799	1.4127876	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1800	1.4879768	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain Parkfield misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	0.75285274	0.28138417	1.4879768
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	0.5418009	0.09669521	1.275169
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	0.5225368	0.12040089	1.2794659
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.4391755	0.08367767	1.370735
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	0.52406025	0.0996761	1.3843598
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	0.54630613	0.12182155	1.4879768
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.52668375	0.113295496	1.3964916
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.5221888	0.11855193	1.4127876
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.51612407	0.11027703	1.3973365
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	0.43486282	0.08367767	1.3459324
Width Limited, From Moment	0.4896165	0.10231469	1.3024077
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	0.8698185	0.50628996	1.4879768
b=0.25	0.626476	0.33024186	1.2604574
b=0.5	0.44766527	0.20586033	1.0389171
b=0.75	0.32844207	0.11762129	0.8574501
b=1.0	0.2574166	0.08367767	0.77448916
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	0.49700218	0.16027267	1.1909126
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	0.6104511	0.22970895	1.4879768
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.41043776	0.08367767	1.173002
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	0.5089537	0.15246966	1.2644603
Low Segmentation	0.49705258	0.10481213	1.3732102
Middle Segmentation	0.49874634	0.12057235	1.3364736
None	0.5364679	0.08367767	1.4879768

Uncertain MFD Equality, Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain MFD Equality constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.562884	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
2	0.57928234	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
3	0.5819089	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
4	0.59119993	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
5	0.59526116	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	4.1864433	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.25	OverFit	None
1797	4.3963184	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1798	4.4926534	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	OverFit	None
1799	4.499358	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	None
1800	4.8316526	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain MFD Equality misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	1.7860553	0.8427796	4.8316526
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.1091609	0.63028616	1.9638708
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.0053464	0.562884	1.6587949
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.9361704	0.5819089	1.5089
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	1.0261524	0.6220579	1.7150116
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.0075427	0.6314224	3.7504628
LogA+4.2, From Moment	0.99085015	0.5958114	4.3963184
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	0.9837776	0.5954211	3.5897563
LogA+4.3, From Moment	0.9870752	0.562884	4.8316526
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.0753148	0.68558925	3.8391922
Width Limited, From Moment	1.1502832	0.70436114	3.613017
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.4778782	1.212787	4.8316526
b=0.25	1.1781193	0.9707739	4.499358
b=0.5	0.97122365	0.7916098	4.143703
b=0.75	0.82475793	0.6673125	4.4926534
b=1.0	0.7103906	0.562884	3.8917165
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.0363106	0.61931807	2.33171
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.044039	0.6001655	4.8316526
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	1.0170723	0.562884	2.1757348
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.0046979	0.562884	2.4891157
Low Segmentation	1.0456995	0.59526116	3.847889
Middle Segmentation	1.0222576	0.57928234	3.193357
None	1.1200005	0.61192966	4.8316526

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.39724088	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
2	0.4010004	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
3	0.4046037	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	UnderFit	None
4	0.40718794	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
5	0.40863642	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	2.9920032	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1797	3.008576	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	MidSeg
1798	3.0779612	Evans	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	OverFit	None
1799	3.0903602	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.5	OverFit	LowSeg
1800	3.3488238	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	None

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	1.6863728	0.7157877	3.3488238
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.2915919	0.46969426	2.759774
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.0698979	0.41437998	2.19633
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	0.95154256	0.39724088	1.6519388
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	1.0404524	0.41817665	2.1657236
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.10933	0.42371857	2.8990746
LogA+4.2, From Moment	1.0799298	0.40863642	3.0779612
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.0823227	0.41498837	2.7843318
LogA+4.3, From Moment	1.0838505	0.39724088	3.3488238
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.0342336	0.4010004	2.9445596
Width Limited, From Moment	1.1657624	0.46778828	2.8552427
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.681688	1.137381	3.3488238
b=0.25	1.2934772	0.87662375	2.9675846
b=0.5	1.0093391	0.66539794	3.0903602
b=0.75	0.81025547	0.5036459	2.9819903
b=1.0	0.66809803	0.39724088	2.8034177
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.0597663	0.50308025	2.6916115
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.2448756	0.6380001	3.3488238
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	0.97307277	0.39724088	2.6570983
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.073348	0.44792008	2.9920032
Low Segmentation	1.0871	0.39724088	3.0903602
Middle Segmentation	1.1001495	0.42680034	3.008576
None	1.1384511	0.4010004	3.3488238

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	1.0416995E-5	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
2	1.135573E-5	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
3	1.1424812E-5	Shen-Bird	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=0.75	UnderFit	LowSeg
4	1.1564313E-5	Zeng	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
5	1.1777873E-5	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	UnderFit	MidSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1796	3.859208E-4	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	None
1797	3.9016365E-4	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	OverFit	HighSeg
1798	4.0146234E-4	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
1799	4.016253E-4	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1800	4.0201354E-4	Evans	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	OverFit	MidSeg

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	1.6566689E-4	5.7127774E-5	4.0201354E-4
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	5.9644844E-5	1.2866043E-5	1.189477E-4
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.0687274E-4	1.4222587E-5	2.7272163E-4
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	6.975318E-5	1.0416995E-5	1.9924721E-4
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	8.9137684E-5	1.1564313E-5	2.3461782E-4
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	8.690146E-5	1.3236736E-5	3.3176533E-4
LogA+4.2, From Moment	8.244327E-5	1.1777873E-5	3.239273E-4
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	8.783107E-5	1.319744E-5	3.1119792E-4
LogA+4.3, From Moment	8.620456E-5	1.2597426E-5	4.0201354E-4
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	6.833165E-5	1.0416995E-5	2.8889568E-4
Width Limited, From Moment	5.7583347E-5	1.135573E-5	1.9822658E-4
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	8.431228E-5	2.4480094E-5	3.5274343E-4
b=0.25	8.1501275E-5	2.2799557E-5	3.7162023E-4
b=0.5	7.766165E-5	1.5973765E-5	3.800569E-4
b=0.75	7.3851246E-5	1.1424812E-5	3.9016365E-4
b=1.0	7.3753006E-5	1.0416995E-5	4.0201354E-4
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	7.902026E-5	3.0390538E-5	1.6217557E-4
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.2751391E-4	3.806742E-5	4.0201354E-4
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	2.811351E-5	1.0416995E-5	1.15950905E-4
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	8.153027E-5	1.135573E-5	4.016253E-4
Low Segmentation	7.531494E-5	1.1424812E-5	4.0146234E-4
Middle Segmentation	7.853308E-5	1.0416995E-5	4.0201354E-4
None	7.312311E-5	1.29904865E-5	3.859208E-4

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	0.0	Geologic	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
2	2.4089187E-14	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	MidSeg
3	7.3491717E-13	Geologic	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
4	1.2969825E-12	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
5	1.9527574E-12	Pollitz	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
1346	8.779146E-8	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=0.5	OverFit	HighSeg
1347	8.8229555E-8	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=0.75	OverFit	HighSeg
1348	8.99182E-8	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=0.5	OverFit	HighSeg
1349	9.799722E-8	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
1350	1.0035142E-7	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	1.41927075E-8	3.645606E-11	1.0035142E-7
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	1.2098915E-9	0.0	1.5377902E-8
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	5.405757E-10	1.9527574E-12	3.0644474E-9
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	4.0472134E-10	2.4089187E-14	2.1068325E-9
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	8.933413E-10	4.3080045E-12	4.944454E-9
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.0732547E-9	5.2044207E-12	7.96894E-8
LogA+4.2, From Moment	1.0861043E-9	1.2969825E-12	7.357765E-8
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	9.804122E-10	2.4089187E-14	8.37626E-8
LogA+4.3, From Moment	9.883453E-10	4.757524E-12	6.433156E-8
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.0255441E-9	0.0	1.0035142E-7
Width Limited, From Moment	1.1886516E-9	6.1316104E-12	9.799722E-8
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.9792556E-9	4.4534E-11	8.37626E-8
b=0.25	1.1636233E-9	9.931179E-12	7.6807375E-8
b=0.5	8.3972906E-10	6.390295E-12	8.99182E-8
b=0.75	6.955477E-10	6.1316104E-12	8.8229555E-8
b=1.0	6.0710453E-10	0.0	1.0035142E-7
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	6.814686E-10	1.2969825E-12	6.9525488E-9
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.7167272E-9	0.0	1.0035142E-7
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	7.7296036E-10	6.7043103E-12	1.5377902E-8
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	1.216761E-9	5.2599093E-12	1.0035142E-7
Low Segmentation	7.6767837E-10	0.0	7.357765E-8
Middle Segmentation	1.0902588E-9	2.4089187E-14	8.0656726E-8
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	1.4293208E-10	Zeng	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	OverFit	MidSeg
2	7.6422096E-10	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=1.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
3	9.2964736E-10	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=0.75	UnderFit	MidSeg
4	1.0151427E-9	Evans	LogA+4.1	b=0.75	OverFit	MidSeg
5	1.1071305E-9	Zeng	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.5	UnderFit	MidSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
446	4.4211967E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	UnderFit	MidSeg
447	4.6250224E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	EvenFit	MidSeg
448	5.266569E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	EvenFit	MidSeg
449	5.725508E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	MidSeg
450	6.0725245E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	UnderFit	MidSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	1.2720844E-8	7.6422096E-10	7.608161E-8
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	7.401868E-8	2.408686E-9	3.2418842E-7
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	1.9153065E-7	5.0225182E-8	6.0725245E-7
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	1.8521812E-8	1.4058247E-9	7.3940974E-8
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	1.1889061E-8	1.4293208E-10	5.344127E-8
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	3.9018133E-8	7.6422096E-10	2.840273E-7
LogA+4.2, From Moment	4.9639205E-8	1.5981371E-9	3.7348144E-7
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	3.5438724E-8	1.4293208E-10	2.9859783E-7
LogA+4.3, From Moment	6.8406045E-8	1.4991169E-9	6.0725245E-7
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	4.0388812E-8	9.2964736E-10	2.9751942E-7
Width Limited, From Moment	3.4428304E-8	1.1472704E-9	2.1153699E-7
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	1.0143648E-7	1.0543909E-8	6.0725245E-7
b=0.25	5.7381303E-8	3.7033203E-9	4.6250224E-7
b=0.5	3.2160816E-8	1.1071305E-9	2.847992E-7
b=0.75	1.9324313E-8	9.2964736E-10	1.7225979E-7
b=1.0	1.2463118E-8	1.4293208E-10	1.0587118E-7
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	4.3622016E-8	7.6422096E-10	5.266569E-7
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	4.435313E-8	1.4293208E-10	5.725508E-7
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	4.568447E-8	9.2964736E-10	6.0725245E-7
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Low Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Middle Segmentation	4.4553204E-8	1.4293208E-10	6.0725245E-7
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	4.8931272E-11	Zeng	LogA+4.3	b=0.75	UnderFit	LowSeg
2	6.777799E-11	Zeng	LogA+4.3	b=1.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
3	1.8541005E-10	Shen-Bird	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=1.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
4	2.0444045E-10	Zeng	LogA+4.2	b=1.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
5	2.1834905E-10	Evans	LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	b=0.75	EvenFit	LowSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
446	1.2761654E-7	Geologic	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg
447	1.3727158E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	LowSeg
448	1.4443648E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	EvenFit	LowSeg
449	1.6588767E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	UnderFit	LowSeg
450	1.6963453E-7	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	LowSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	9.034595E-9	2.1834905E-10	4.4936343E-8
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	2.750186E-8	7.278951E-10	1.2761654E-7
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	5.824483E-8	7.686731E-9	1.6963453E-7
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	4.83927E-9	1.8541005E-10	1.7642565E-8
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	5.6202967E-9	4.8931272E-11	2.7768888E-8
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	1.2748656E-8	7.117338E-10	1.1630716E-7
LogA+4.2, From Moment	1.742678E-8	2.0444045E-10	1.6588767E-7
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	1.2088709E-8	1.8541005E-10	8.084062E-8
LogA+4.3, From Moment	2.386902E-8	4.8931272E-11	1.6963453E-7
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	1.404043E-8	6.1735017E-10	1.1898218E-7
Width Limited, From Moment	1.1853345E-8	8.316913E-10	1.2097452E-7
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	3.5358298E-8	3.5160743E-9	1.6963453E-7
b=0.25	1.9236648E-8	1.6381497E-9	1.3727158E-7
b=0.5	9.620573E-9	6.1735017E-10	7.089004E-8
b=0.75	6.9157173E-9	4.8931272E-11	9.591557E-8
b=1.0	5.5578804E-9	6.777799E-11	7.286805E-8
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	1.5236154E-8	6.777799E-11	1.4443648E-7
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	1.6190905E-8	2.5525387E-10	1.6963453E-7
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	1.4586412E-8	4.8931272E-11	1.6588767E-7
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Low Segmentation	1.5337823E-8	4.8931272E-11	1.6963453E-7
Middle Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Standard Deviation Summary

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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] constraint.

Rank	Value	Deformation Model	Scaling Relationship	Supra-Seismogenic b-value	Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties	Segmentation Model
1	2.9709253E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	OverFit	HighSeg
2	4.048848E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=1.0	EvenFit	HighSeg
3	4.5672617E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
4	4.7578137E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd	b=1.0	EvenFit	HighSeg
5	4.871256E-9	Evans	WdthLmtd, CSD	b=0.75	UnderFit	HighSeg
...	...	...	...	...	...	...
446	4.9772357E-6	Pollitz	LogA+4.2	b=0.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
447	5.1302613E-6	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.25	OverFit	HighSeg
448	5.4151424E-6	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	UnderFit	HighSeg
449	5.751904E-6	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	OverFit	HighSeg
450	5.9683375E-6	Pollitz	LogA+4.3	b=0.0	EvenFit	HighSeg

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice

Choice	Mean	Min	Max
Deformation Model
NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	5.6463698E-8	2.9709253E-9	2.018846E-7
NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	5.6947295E-7	1.3932309E-8	2.7325596E-6
NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	2.3591701E-6	5.942799E-7	5.9683375E-6
NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	2.3622138E-7	9.419913E-8	5.9375463E-7
NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model	8.6389065E-8	1.250585E-8	2.6774984E-7
Scaling Relationship
LogA+4.1, From Moment	4.135423E-7	9.605751E-9	4.0956415E-6
LogA+4.2, From Moment	5.3230315E-7	8.786176E-9	4.9772357E-6
LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	3.9361476E-7	6.3829186E-9	3.8202415E-6
LogA+4.3, From Moment	6.677627E-7	1.8856978E-8	5.9683375E-6
Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	3.3740312E-7	2.9709253E-9	3.9631213E-6
Width Limited, From Moment	3.0234114E-7	4.5672617E-9	2.86602E-6
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
b=0.0	9.54074E-7	5.8953432E-8	5.9683375E-6
b=0.25	5.770968E-7	1.4140575E-8	5.1302613E-6
b=0.5	3.2625843E-7	1.0005409E-8	3.2785888E-6
b=0.75	2.1294272E-7	4.871256E-9	2.5219458E-6
b=1.0	1.3543394E-7	2.9709253E-9	1.5332656E-6
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
Even-Fit Paleo Data	4.424742E-7	4.048848E-9	5.9683375E-6
Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	4.4061196E-7	2.9709253E-9	5.751904E-6
Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)	4.4039743E-7	4.5672617E-9	5.4151424E-6
Segmentation Model
High Segmentation	4.411612E-7	2.9709253E-9	5.9683375E-6
Low Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
Middle Segmentation	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)
None	(N/A)	(N/A)	(N/A)

Constraint Summaries

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Constraint Weights

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Constraint Name	Average Weight	Range	Weight Distribution
Uncertain Slip Rate	1.8163815	[1.4838667, 2.2331934]
Paleoseismic Event Rate	10.588765	[0.05, 53.863304]
Uncertain Parkfield	6.725779	[0.48956951, 23.519476]
Uncertain MFD Equality	2.9111383	[2.4570527, 3.4552128]
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates	0.9937537	[0.47778696, 1.4583733]
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents)	10000.0	[10000.0, 10000.0]	(N/A)
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models	100000.0	[100000.0, 100000.0]	(N/A)
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3]	100000.0	[100000.0, 100000.0]	(N/A)
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4]	100000.0	[100000.0, 100000.0]	(N/A)

Uncertain Slip Rate Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 1.2657913	Average: -0.15182512	Average: 0.54232734	Average: 1.2792666
Range: [0.4192203, 8.70197]	Range: [-0.6095563, 0.40444437]	Range: [0.16885382, 1.4526385]	Range: [0.4209007, 8.701988]

Paleoseismic Event Rate Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 1.7066029	Average: -0.24233173	Average: 0.84874463	Average: 1.7238933
Range: [0.19279963, 10.338562]	Range: [-4.264887, 0.44123018]	Range: [0.13932101, 4.628871]	Range: [0.20629925, 10.828287]

Uncertain Parkfield Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 0.5059637	Average: -0.5059637	Average: 0.5059637	Average: 0.5059637
Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768]	Range: [-1.4879768, -0.08367767]	Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768]	Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768]

Uncertain MFD Equality Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 1.0324739	Average: -0.035198487	Average: 0.5959781	Average: 1.0338944
Range: [0.562884, 4.8316526]	Range: [-0.50035787, 0.12401518]	Range: [0.30682322, 1.2574017]	Range: [0.5631651, 4.8339806]

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 1.0925715	Average: 0.27343297	Average: 0.53215784	Average: 1.1280673
Range: [0.39724088, 3.3488238]	Range: [0.021174643, 0.99866575]	Range: [0.16293707, 1.4476666]	Range: [0.40152314, 3.4942656]

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 7.821589E-5	Average: -8.4532085E-6	Average: 3.800117E-5	Average: 7.860804E-5
Range: [1.0416995E-5, 4.0201354E-4]	Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 1.6773947E-6]	Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.4228893E-4]	Range: [1.0758461E-5, 4.0229506E-4]

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 1.057052E-9	Average: 2.694226E-11	Average: 2.694226E-11	Average: 1.0573074E-9
Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7]	Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9]	Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9]	Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7]

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 4.4553204E-8	Average: 2.2239182E-9	Average: 2.2239182E-9	Average: 4.459259E-8
Range: [1.4293208E-10, 6.0725245E-7]	Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8]	Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8]	Range: [1.4301563E-10, 6.07463E-7]

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 1.5337823E-8	Average: 8.7977414E-10	Average: 8.7977414E-10	Average: 1.5357664E-8
Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6963453E-7]	Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9]	Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9]	Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6985541E-7]

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Summary

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Standard Deviation	Mean	Mean Absolute Deviation	RMSE
Average: 4.411612E-7	Average: 1.8625562E-8	Average: 1.8625562E-8	Average: 4.4141004E-7
Range: [2.9709253E-9, 5.9683375E-6]	Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7]	Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7]	Range: [2.9744478E-9, 5.9694617E-6]

Deformation Model

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Deformation Model Average Constraint Fits

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Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Deformation Model choice

Choice	Quantity	Average Constraint Misfit
Evans	Standard Deviation	2.2126818
Geologic	Standard Deviation	1.2183766
Pollitz	Standard Deviation	1.1103095
Shen-Bird	Standard Deviation	0.9945665
Zeng	Standard Deviation	1.1017596
Evans	Mean	-0.41938668
Geologic	Mean	-0.13229862
Pollitz	Mean	-0.13190936
Shen-Bird	Mean	-0.11720161
Zeng	Mean	-0.12979554
Evans	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.97993815
Geologic	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.62698036
Pollitz	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.600621
Shen-Bird	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.5473815
Zeng	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.62252784
Evans	RMSE	2.2722843
Geologic	RMSE	1.2318635
Pollitz	RMSE	1.1212642
Shen-Bird	RMSE	1.007004
Zeng	RMSE	1.1142013

Deformation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 2.8653438	Average Standard Deviation: 1.4515166	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2322589	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0563118	Average Standard Deviation: 1.23278
Standard Deviation Range: [1.0308865, 7.088245]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.45899963, 8.70197]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.50093067, 2.0677023]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 1.8479666]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.46423066, 2.1159697]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: -0.103300974	Average Mean: -0.18381155	Average Mean: -0.12864639	Average Mean: -0.10966977	Average Mean: -0.17681892
Mean Range: [-0.52239996, 0.40444437]	Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.13468249]	Mean Range: [-0.42329168, 0.11002581]	Mean Range: [-0.35337085, 0.12768464]	Mean Range: [-0.5981648, 0.039053693]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8111147	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.575945	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5305568	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.48529854	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.55818516
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.36797154, 1.4526385]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.19076587, 1.2080307]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18580055, 1.1217737]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 0.91754836]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18786204, 1.2519687]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 2.8765724	Average RMSE: 1.4693888	Average RMSE: 1.2413404	Average RMSE: 1.0654409	Average RMSE: 1.2482679
RMSE Range: [1.0381088, 7.0975094]	RMSE Range: [0.46144113, 8.701988]	RMSE Range: [0.50268817, 2.1104012]	RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 1.8522071]	RMSE Range: [0.4667488, 2.19871]

Deformation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 3.972784	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6978129	Average Standard Deviation: 1.7215072	Average Standard Deviation: 1.5896323	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6853529
Standard Deviation Range: [0.44847178, 10.338562]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.22958939, 4.150683]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.3478882, 3.8632162]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 3.74457]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.29087064, 3.8484662]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: -1.3990756	Average Mean: -0.18157297	Average Mean: -0.22465067	Average Mean: -0.2749713	Average Mean: -0.1911824
Mean Range: [-4.264887, -0.10635482]	Mean Range: [-0.82123834, 0.44123018]	Mean Range: [-1.1033274, 0.05872669]	Mean Range: [-0.86005974, 0.061804496]	Mean Range: [-1.1062896, 0.1198841]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.75552	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.82211876	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8924898	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7704279	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.88108516
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3418305, 4.628871]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15255882, 2.0007496]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.23864831, 2.012968]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 1.7430357]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.20735025, 2.0796428]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 4.196498	Average RMSE: 1.7082552	Average RMSE: 1.7307706	Average RMSE: 1.6091163	Average RMSE: 1.695119
RMSE Range: [0.5221759, 10.828287]	RMSE Range: [0.2297963, 4.181779]	RMSE Range: [0.355144, 3.8284237]	RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 3.7791896]	RMSE Range: [0.30447632, 3.8134024]

Deformation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 0.75285274	Average Standard Deviation: 0.5418009	Average Standard Deviation: 0.5225368	Average Standard Deviation: 0.4391755	Average Standard Deviation: 0.52406025
Standard Deviation Range: [0.28138417, 1.4879768]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.09669521, 1.275169]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.12040089, 1.2794659]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.370735]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.0996761, 1.3843598]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: -0.75285274	Average Mean: -0.5418009	Average Mean: -0.5225368	Average Mean: -0.4391755	Average Mean: -0.52406025
Mean Range: [-1.4879768, -0.28138417]	Mean Range: [-1.275169, -0.09669521]	Mean Range: [-1.2794659, -0.12040089]	Mean Range: [-1.370735, -0.08367767]	Mean Range: [-1.3843598, -0.0996761]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.75285274	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5418009	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5225368	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4391755	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.52406025
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.28138417, 1.4879768]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09669521, 1.275169]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12040089, 1.2794659]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.370735]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0996761, 1.3843598]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 0.75285274	Average RMSE: 0.5418009	Average RMSE: 0.5225368	Average RMSE: 0.4391755	Average RMSE: 0.52406025
RMSE Range: [0.28138417, 1.4879768]	RMSE Range: [0.09669521, 1.275169]	RMSE Range: [0.12040089, 1.2794659]	RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.370735]	RMSE Range: [0.0996761, 1.3843598]

Deformation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 1.7860553	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1091609	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0053464	Average Standard Deviation: 0.9361704	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0261524
Standard Deviation Range: [0.8427796, 4.8316526]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.63028616, 1.9638708]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 1.6587949]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.5819089, 1.5089]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.6220579, 1.7150116]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: -0.22437558	Average Mean: -0.05897622	Average Mean: -0.050451215	Average Mean: -0.00862004	Average Mean: -0.026820771
Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.12401518]	Mean Range: [-0.24163176, 0.08267199]	Mean Range: [-0.1733831, 0.039854694]	Mean Range: [-0.11641451, 0.07498008]	Mean Range: [-0.17769064, 0.08043693]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8140678	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.62900794	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54006064	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5647796	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6006887
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.4617187, 1.2574017]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.36068287, 1.1194217]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30682322, 0.88613397]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.34324804, 0.92215276]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3533294, 1.0154207]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 1.8044884	Average RMSE: 1.1115555	Average RMSE: 1.0067961	Average RMSE: 0.9363749	Average RMSE: 1.0269266
RMSE Range: [0.85065925, 4.8339806]	RMSE Range: [0.63027245, 1.9631754]	RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 1.6599283]	RMSE Range: [0.5816958, 1.5090688]	RMSE Range: [0.6218338, 1.71437]

Deformation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 1.6863728	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2915919	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0698979	Average Standard Deviation: 0.95154256	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0404524
Standard Deviation Range: [0.7157877, 3.3488238]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.46969426, 2.759774]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.41437998, 2.19633]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 1.6519388]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.41817665, 2.1657236]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: 0.38267154	Average Mean: 0.3046686	Average Mean: 0.26673836	Average Mean: 0.24642855	Average Mean: 0.2699047
Mean Range: [0.08041189, 0.99866575]	Mean Range: [0.03738921, 0.76391846]	Mean Range: [0.04705808, 0.7716487]	Mean Range: [0.021174643, 0.63660306]	Mean Range: [0.039542943, 0.833326]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7661354	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.56602913	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.51746094	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.477226	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54862
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33569756, 1.4476666]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18010242, 1.1971617]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17226288, 1.090836]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 0.91822433]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18255143, 1.2438614]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 1.7310098	Average RMSE: 1.3283169	Average RMSE: 1.104877	Average RMSE: 0.98491234	Average RMSE: 1.0766329
RMSE Range: [0.7271937, 3.4942656]	RMSE Range: [0.4759151, 2.8467946]	RMSE Range: [0.41829768, 2.3277528]	RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 1.7390397]	RMSE Range: [0.42081496, 2.3203337]

Deformation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 1.6566689E-4	Average Standard Deviation: 5.9644844E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0687274E-4	Average Standard Deviation: 6.975318E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 8.9137684E-5
Standard Deviation Range: [5.7127774E-5, 4.0201354E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.2866043E-5, 1.189477E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4222587E-5, 2.7272163E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 1.9924721E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.1564313E-5, 2.3461782E-4]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: -1.4542768E-5	Average Mean: -7.5028693E-6	Average Mean: -5.015771E-6	Average Mean: -7.656409E-6	Average Mean: -1.050092E-5
Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, -3.1924637E-6]	Mean Range: [-1.7333723E-5, -2.3562707E-6]	Mean Range: [-1.3619691E-5, 9.172846E-7]	Mean Range: [-1.5716916E-5, -1.572873E-6]	Mean Range: [-2.2708464E-5, 1.6773947E-6]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.256213E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.1476517E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.376786E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.9979527E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.5222365E-5
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3310451E-5, 1.4228893E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.587605E-6, 6.9756585E-5]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.8561154E-6, 1.3086866E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 6.026552E-5]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1712864E-6, 1.2500846E-4]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 1.6604294E-4	Average RMSE: 6.0072543E-5	Average RMSE: 1.0688477E-4	Average RMSE: 7.008212E-5	Average RMSE: 8.966021E-5
RMSE Range: [5.7188212E-5, 4.0229506E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.309201E-5, 1.1973428E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.4370167E-5, 2.7225428E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 1.9949845E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.15438725E-5, 2.351402E-4]

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 1.41927075E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2098915E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 5.405757E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 4.0472134E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 8.933413E-10
Standard Deviation Range: [3.645606E-11, 1.0035142E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.5377902E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.9527574E-12, 3.0644474E-9]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.4089187E-14, 2.1068325E-9]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.3080045E-12, 4.944454E-9]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: 3.206063E-10	Average Mean: 3.3281756E-11	Average Mean: 1.2813995E-11	Average Mean: 1.110815E-11	Average Mean: 2.2803594E-11
Mean Range: [1.0056827E-12, 2.5773519E-9]	Mean Range: [0.0, 2.7871486E-10]	Mean Range: [2.924115E-14, 6.7565724E-11]	Mean Range: [3.5432937E-16, 6.534405E-11]	Mean Range: [7.987031E-14, 1.1429427E-10]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.206063E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.3281756E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.2813995E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.110815E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2803594E-11
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.0056827E-12, 2.5773519E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.7871486E-10]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.924115E-14, 6.7565724E-11]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.5432937E-16, 6.534405E-11]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.987031E-14, 1.1429427E-10]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 1.4194903E-8	Average RMSE: 1.2102626E-9	Average RMSE: 5.40681E-10	Average RMSE: 4.048393E-10	Average RMSE: 8.9355623E-10
RMSE Range: [3.6465986E-11, 1.0036964E-7]	RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.5378763E-8]	RMSE Range: [1.952765E-12, 3.0648608E-9]	RMSE Range: [2.4089187E-14, 2.1075661E-9]	RMSE Range: [4.308279E-12, 4.94524E-9]

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 1.2720844E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 7.401868E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.9153065E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 1.8521812E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1889061E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [7.6422096E-10, 7.608161E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.408686E-9, 3.2418842E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [5.0225182E-8, 6.0725245E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4058247E-9, 7.3940974E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 5.344127E-8]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: 7.1187956E-10	Average Mean: 4.0655435E-9	Average Mean: 7.2218964E-9	Average Mean: 9.952906E-10	Average Mean: 8.012328E-10
Mean Range: [4.9952056E-11, 4.03414E-9]	Mean Range: [1.2398611E-10, 1.8053553E-8]	Mean Range: [2.081771E-9, 2.3916966E-8]	Mean Range: [6.8992395E-11, 4.2331028E-9]	Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.841303E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.1187956E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.0655435E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.2218964E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.952906E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.012328E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.9952056E-11, 4.03414E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2398611E-10, 1.8053553E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.081771E-9, 2.3916966E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.8992395E-11, 4.2331028E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.841303E-9]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 1.2735749E-8	Average RMSE: 7.409986E-8	Average RMSE: 1.9158587E-7	Average RMSE: 1.8541563E-8	Average RMSE: 1.19116885E-8
RMSE Range: [7.6550694E-10, 7.615414E-8]	RMSE Range: [2.410843E-9, 3.2455188E-7]	RMSE Range: [5.0247838E-8, 6.07463E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.4069144E-9, 7.403039E-8]	RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 5.348305E-8]

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 9.034595E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 2.750186E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 5.824483E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 4.83927E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 5.6202967E-9
Standard Deviation Range: [2.1834905E-10, 4.4936343E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [7.278951E-10, 1.2761654E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [7.686731E-9, 1.6963453E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.8541005E-10, 1.7642565E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 2.7768888E-8]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: 4.8372917E-10	Average Mean: 1.7370745E-9	Average Mean: 2.6997216E-9	Average Mean: 3.0864564E-10	Average Mean: 3.2411213E-10
Mean Range: [1.250223E-11, 2.7150204E-9]	Mean Range: [3.3995484E-11, 7.938605E-9]	Mean Range: [4.3146786E-10, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Range: [8.474582E-12, 1.4633502E-9]	Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 1.733481E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.8372917E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.7370745E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.6997216E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.0864564E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.2411213E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.250223E-11, 2.7150204E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.3995484E-11, 7.938605E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.3146786E-10, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.474582E-12, 1.4633502E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 1.733481E-9]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 9.043813E-9	Average RMSE: 2.7546145E-8	Average RMSE: 5.828437E-8	Average RMSE: 4.8475766E-9	Average RMSE: 5.62755E-9
RMSE Range: [2.186074E-10, 4.4997858E-8]	RMSE Range: [7.283745E-10, 1.2780822E-7]	RMSE Range: [7.695516E-9, 1.6985541E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.8552364E-10, 1.7695555E-8]	RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 2.7810973E-8]

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Standard Deviation: 5.6463698E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 5.6947295E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 2.3591701E-6	Average Standard Deviation: 2.3622138E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 8.6389065E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 2.018846E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.3932309E-8, 2.7325596E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [5.942799E-7, 5.9683375E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [9.419913E-8, 5.9375463E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.250585E-8, 2.6774984E-7]

Mean

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean: 3.4453296E-9	Average Mean: 2.6536819E-8	Average Mean: 7.566416E-8	Average Mean: 1.0516624E-8	Average Mean: 6.995716E-9
Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.6867645E-8]	Mean Range: [1.0172088E-9, 1.2364575E-7]	Mean Range: [1.7577083E-8, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Range: [2.8597948E-9, 3.2192364E-8]	Mean Range: [4.7836973E-10, 2.3484574E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.4453296E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.6536819E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.566416E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.0516624E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.995716E-9
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.6867645E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.0172088E-9, 1.2364575E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.7577083E-8, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8597948E-9, 3.2192364E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.7836973E-10, 2.3484574E-8]

RMSE

NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model	NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model	NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model	NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model	NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model
Average RMSE: 5.6547293E-8	Average RMSE: 5.6986613E-7	Average RMSE: 2.3594027E-6	Average RMSE: 2.3636355E-7	Average RMSE: 8.664172E-8
RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 2.0218607E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.3970501E-8, 2.734216E-6]	RMSE Range: [5.942918E-7, 5.9694617E-6]	RMSE Range: [9.421296E-8, 5.943792E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.2509779E-8, 2.685185E-7]

Scaling Relationship

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Scaling Relationship Average Constraint Fits

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Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Scaling Relationship choice

Choice	Quantity	Average Constraint Misfit
LogA+4.1	Standard Deviation	1.116811
LogA+4.2	Standard Deviation	1.1232344
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	Standard Deviation	1.0957137
LogA+4.3	Standard Deviation	1.1574343
WdthLmtd, CSD	Standard Deviation	1.097828
WdthLmtd	Standard Deviation	1.1330626
LogA+4.1	Mean	-0.1233601
LogA+4.2	Mean	-0.14436774
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	Mean	-0.12448433
LogA+4.3	Mean	-0.1630383
WdthLmtd, CSD	Mean	-0.11771034
WdthLmtd	Mean	-0.121302426
LogA+4.1	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.6214727
LogA+4.2	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.6089228
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.6018367
LogA+4.3	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.6102881
WdthLmtd, CSD	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.5663767
WdthLmtd	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.621309
LogA+4.1	RMSE	1.1279815
LogA+4.2	RMSE	1.1378458
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	RMSE	1.1067036
LogA+4.3	RMSE	1.1813099
WdthLmtd, CSD	RMSE	1.1060786
WdthLmtd	RMSE	1.1453828

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 1.2088273	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2994915	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1934254	Average Standard Deviation: 1.4495624	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2694076	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1740336
Standard Deviation Range: [0.45630854, 5.24262]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4335873, 6.2336]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.43892017, 5.1539955]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 8.70197]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.44632083, 5.9911313]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.5027124, 5.3016953]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: -0.18839152	Average Mean: -0.15036078	Average Mean: -0.16580604	Average Mean: -0.11880716	Average Mean: -0.11364183	Average Mean: -0.17394334
Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.22642419]	Mean Range: [-0.5408218, 0.29651707]	Mean Range: [-0.56723297, 0.24842934]	Mean Range: [-0.5178865, 0.40444437]	Mean Range: [-0.42615274, 0.34884718]	Mean Range: [-0.5010505, 0.26616836]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5629467	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5486545	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54359543	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.543248	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49350286	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5620165
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1966284, 1.4526385]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18748024, 1.4285715]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18831542, 1.4019433]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18278837, 1.4511077]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 1.3649147]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2016852, 1.3487283]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 1.2264478	Average RMSE: 1.3126798	Average RMSE: 1.2080995	Average RMSE: 1.4603164	Average RMSE: 1.278403	Average RMSE: 1.189653
RMSE Range: [0.45880386, 5.247026]	RMSE Range: [0.4355685, 6.2393913]	RMSE Range: [0.44117558, 5.159011]	RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 8.701988]	RMSE Range: [0.4476989, 5.990759]	RMSE Range: [0.5052936, 5.3078856]

Scaling Relationship, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 1.7120489	Average Standard Deviation: 1.7192166	Average Standard Deviation: 1.696854	Average Standard Deviation: 1.7505596	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6753211	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6856173
Standard Deviation Range: [0.23784007, 9.063851]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.2455545, 9.754805]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.22521153, 8.953756]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.23439921, 10.338562]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 9.204251]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.22425504, 8.885064]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: -0.12405285	Average Mean: -0.29023808	Average Mean: -0.17070174	Average Mean: -0.43938434	Average Mean: -0.21557952	Average Mean: -0.21403383
Mean Range: [-2.8733046, 0.44123018]	Mean Range: [-3.614373, 0.08555712]	Mean Range: [-2.8440623, 0.2926339]	Mean Range: [-4.264887, -0.067502804]	Mean Range: [-3.0016825, 0.19753833]	Mean Range: [-2.7484772, 0.2375058]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.86147684	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.85991997	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8416867	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.89420474	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.80549693	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8296825
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17328861, 3.651473]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17509428, 4.082387]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.170002, 3.5418527]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18800642, 4.628871]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 3.6403725]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17178725, 3.4686189]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 1.7115402	Average RMSE: 1.7396259	Average RMSE: 1.699663	Average RMSE: 1.8170091	Average RMSE: 1.6814754	Average RMSE: 1.6940458
RMSE Range: [0.24245909, 9.273434]	RMSE Range: [0.27074152, 10.039152]	RMSE Range: [0.23556937, 9.161131]	RMSE Range: [0.28348434, 10.828287]	RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 9.44278]	RMSE Range: [0.24307498, 9.11511]

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 0.54630613	Average Standard Deviation: 0.52668375	Average Standard Deviation: 0.5221888	Average Standard Deviation: 0.51612407	Average Standard Deviation: 0.43486282	Average Standard Deviation: 0.4896165
Standard Deviation Range: [0.12182155, 1.4879768]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.113295496, 1.3964916]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.11855193, 1.4127876]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.11027703, 1.3973365]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.3459324]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.10231469, 1.3024077]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: -0.54630613	Average Mean: -0.52668375	Average Mean: -0.5221888	Average Mean: -0.51612407	Average Mean: -0.43486282	Average Mean: -0.4896165
Mean Range: [-1.4879768, -0.12182155]	Mean Range: [-1.3964916, -0.113295496]	Mean Range: [-1.4127876, -0.11855193]	Mean Range: [-1.3973365, -0.11027703]	Mean Range: [-1.3459324, -0.08367767]	Mean Range: [-1.3024077, -0.10231469]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54630613	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.52668375	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5221888	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.51612407	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.43486282	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4896165
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12182155, 1.4879768]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.113295496, 1.3964916]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11855193, 1.4127876]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11027703, 1.3973365]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.3459324]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10231469, 1.3024077]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 0.54630613	Average RMSE: 0.52668375	Average RMSE: 0.5221888	Average RMSE: 0.51612407	Average RMSE: 0.43486282	Average RMSE: 0.4896165
RMSE Range: [0.12182155, 1.4879768]	RMSE Range: [0.113295496, 1.3964916]	RMSE Range: [0.11855193, 1.4127876]	RMSE Range: [0.11027703, 1.3973365]	RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.3459324]	RMSE Range: [0.10231469, 1.3024077]

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0075427	Average Standard Deviation: 0.99085015	Average Standard Deviation: 0.9837776	Average Standard Deviation: 0.9870752	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0753148	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1502832
Standard Deviation Range: [0.6314224, 3.7504628]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.5958114, 4.3963184]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.5954211, 3.5897563]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 4.8316526]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.68558925, 3.8391922]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.70436114, 3.613017]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: -0.041868873	Average Mean: -0.037088446	Average Mean: -0.038962238	Average Mean: -0.034015663	Average Mean: -0.043338962	Average Mean: -0.015916735
Mean Range: [-0.49635974, 0.058757935]	Mean Range: [-0.49671516, 0.072690375]	Mean Range: [-0.50035244, 0.060153518]	Mean Range: [-0.49382526, 0.12401518]	Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.050753705]	Mean Range: [-0.49596846, 0.08267199]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.58457756	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5729526	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.56976324	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5663225	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6126893	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6695634
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3441049, 1.227948]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.32480922, 1.2392647]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.32529157, 1.2349546]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30682322, 1.2574017]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3635799, 1.2026411]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.38283288, 1.1936735]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 1.0091585	Average RMSE: 0.99228776	Average RMSE: 0.9853182	Average RMSE: 0.9884226	Average RMSE: 1.0769242	Average RMSE: 1.151255
RMSE Range: [0.63219607, 3.7573323]	RMSE Range: [0.59636146, 4.4004436]	RMSE Range: [0.5960072, 3.5959318]	RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 4.8339806]	RMSE Range: [0.6861129, 3.8456933]	RMSE Range: [0.7046139, 3.6114001]

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 1.10933	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0799298	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0823227	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0838505	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0342336	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1657624
Standard Deviation Range: [0.42371857, 2.8990746]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.40863642, 3.0779612]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.41498837, 2.7843318]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 3.3488238]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4010004, 2.9445596]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.46778828, 2.8552427]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: 0.2838189	Average Mean: 0.2825323	Average Mean: 0.27523714	Average Mean: 0.29313973	Average Mean: 0.21887146	Average Mean: 0.2869983
Mean Range: [0.04936732, 0.9398298]	Mean Range: [0.04432018, 0.96117103]	Mean Range: [0.048605435, 0.92075765]	Mean Range: [0.027799925, 0.99866575]	Mean Range: [0.021174643, 0.86046535]	Mean Range: [0.04137984, 0.8702065]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.55205643	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5364031	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53194916	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5315411	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4853315	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5556659
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18764403, 1.4476666]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17711726, 1.4180415]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1782369, 1.3972833]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17142466, 1.4362326]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 1.3571424]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.19614707, 1.3480296]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 1.146455	Average RMSE: 1.1179515	Average RMSE: 1.1182489	Average RMSE: 1.1246773	Average RMSE: 1.0587274	Average RMSE: 1.2023433
RMSE Range: [0.42826676, 3.0473542]	RMSE Range: [0.4134657, 3.2242758]	RMSE Range: [0.41778812, 2.9323835]	RMSE Range: [0.4034296, 3.4942656]	RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 3.0674481]	RMSE Range: [0.46957308, 2.9751914]

Scaling Relationship, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 8.690146E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 8.244327E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 8.783107E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 8.620456E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 6.833165E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 5.7583347E-5
Standard Deviation Range: [1.3236736E-5, 3.3176533E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.1777873E-5, 3.239273E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.319744E-5, 3.1119792E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.2597426E-5, 4.0201354E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 2.8889568E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.135573E-5, 1.9822658E-4]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: -8.974498E-6	Average Mean: -8.519757E-6	Average Mean: -8.427319E-6	Average Mean: -9.498006E-6	Average Mean: -8.198421E-6	Average Mean: -7.101252E-6
Mean Range: [-2.8329487E-5, 1.4341929E-6]	Mean Range: [-2.5651598E-5, 9.864731E-7]	Mean Range: [-2.6944022E-5, 1.6773947E-6]	Mean Range: [-3.1941323E-5, 9.49262E-7]	Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 6.0923213E-7]	Mean Range: [-1.9475076E-5, 7.4351185E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.5043995E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.0175768E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3953292E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.780381E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.2700886E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8329276E-5
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.1814335E-6, 1.4228893E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1712864E-6, 1.3190448E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.086467E-6, 1.3136203E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.2947185E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.5940927E-6, 1.1964932E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1653133E-6, 9.195969E-5]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 8.728748E-5	Average RMSE: 8.281361E-5	Average RMSE: 8.816014E-5	Average RMSE: 8.663831E-5	Average RMSE: 6.876895E-5	Average RMSE: 5.7979774E-5
RMSE Range: [1.3516869E-5, 3.3204936E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.1929466E-5, 3.240791E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.34247875E-5, 3.1114565E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.2721155E-5, 4.0229506E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 2.9021368E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.1628563E-5, 1.9883212E-4]

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0732547E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0861043E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 9.804122E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 9.883453E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0255441E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1886516E-9
Standard Deviation Range: [5.2044207E-12, 7.96894E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.2969825E-12, 7.357765E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.4089187E-14, 8.37626E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.757524E-12, 6.433156E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.1316104E-12, 9.799722E-8]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: 2.642091E-11	Average Mean: 2.7544043E-11	Average Mean: 2.4531674E-11	Average Mean: 2.5807122E-11	Average Mean: 2.4109608E-11	Average Mean: 3.3240202E-11
Mean Range: [7.681439E-14, 1.9639332E-9]	Mean Range: [1.9077398E-14, 1.5712248E-9]	Mean Range: [3.5432937E-16, 2.0100253E-9]	Mean Range: [6.9978725E-14, 1.2243729E-9]	Mean Range: [0.0, 2.415758E-9]	Mean Range: [1.3349769E-13, 2.5773519E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.642091E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.7544043E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.4531674E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.5807122E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.4109608E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.3240202E-11
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.681439E-14, 1.9639332E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9077398E-14, 1.5712248E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.5432937E-16, 2.0100253E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.9978725E-14, 1.2243729E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.415758E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3349769E-13, 2.5773519E-9]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 1.0734814E-9	Average RMSE: 1.0863663E-9	Average RMSE: 9.806305E-10	Average RMSE: 9.886069E-10	Average RMSE: 1.0257322E-9	Average RMSE: 1.1890271E-9
RMSE Range: [5.2044246E-12, 7.9702176E-8]	RMSE Range: [1.2969825E-12, 7.357961E-8]	RMSE Range: [2.4089187E-14, 8.377716E-8]	RMSE Range: [4.757524E-12, 6.433602E-8]	RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7]	RMSE Range: [6.1324006E-12, 9.8020514E-8]

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 3.9018133E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 4.9639205E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 3.5438724E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 6.8406045E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 4.0388812E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 3.4428304E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [7.6422096E-10, 2.840273E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.5981371E-9, 3.7348144E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 2.9859783E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4991169E-9, 6.0725245E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [9.2964736E-10, 2.9751942E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.1472704E-9, 2.1153699E-7]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: 1.8397032E-9	Average Mean: 2.414414E-9	Average Mean: 1.7575823E-9	Average Mean: 3.373465E-9	Average Mean: 2.1362367E-9	Average Mean: 1.8221074E-9
Mean Range: [4.9952056E-11, 1.0653379E-8]	Mean Range: [5.940483E-11, 1.4847142E-8]	Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 1.031978E-8]	Mean Range: [8.870891E-11, 2.3916966E-8]	Mean Range: [7.097485E-11, 1.2454197E-8]	Mean Range: [7.8627736E-11, 1.0492724E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8397032E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.414414E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.7575823E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.373465E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.1362367E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8221074E-9
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.9952056E-11, 1.0653379E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.940483E-11, 1.4847142E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 1.031978E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.870891E-11, 2.3916966E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.097485E-11, 1.2454197E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.8627736E-11, 1.0492724E-8]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 3.904662E-8	Average RMSE: 4.9680125E-8	Average RMSE: 3.5469274E-8	Average RMSE: 6.846434E-8	Average RMSE: 4.043081E-8	Average RMSE: 3.4464364E-8
RMSE Range: [7.6550694E-10, 2.8408832E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.5985557E-9, 3.7358853E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 2.986481E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.5010626E-9, 6.07463E-7]	RMSE Range: [9.319335E-10, 2.9765246E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.1496083E-9, 2.1164878E-7]

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 1.2748656E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.742678E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2088709E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 2.386902E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.404043E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1853345E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [7.117338E-10, 1.1630716E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.0444045E-10, 1.6588767E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.8541005E-10, 8.084062E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6963453E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.1735017E-10, 1.1898218E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [8.316913E-10, 1.2097452E-7]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: 7.237556E-10	Average Mean: 9.604105E-10	Average Mean: 6.657493E-10	Average Mean: 1.3760738E-9	Average Mean: 8.340593E-10	Average Mean: 7.1859635E-10
Mean Range: [3.7683013E-11, 5.059069E-9]	Mean Range: [6.0077594E-12, 8.91229E-9]	Mean Range: [8.474582E-12, 4.407135E-9]	Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Range: [4.422738E-11, 6.037515E-9]	Mean Range: [5.7731646E-11, 5.4341043E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.237556E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.604105E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.657493E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.3760738E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.340593E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.1859635E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.7683013E-11, 5.059069E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.0077594E-12, 8.91229E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.474582E-12, 4.407135E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.422738E-11, 6.037515E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.7731646E-11, 5.4341043E-9]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 1.2764574E-8	Average RMSE: 1.7447178E-8	Average RMSE: 1.2102716E-8	Average RMSE: 2.389962E-8	Average RMSE: 1.4060288E-8	Average RMSE: 1.1871609E-8
RMSE Range: [7.1278794E-10, 1.1634922E-7]	RMSE Range: [2.0444045E-10, 1.6605536E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.8552364E-10, 8.084462E-8]	RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6985541E-7]	RMSE Range: [6.1866645E-10, 1.1908394E-7]	RMSE Range: [8.333693E-10, 1.2103816E-7]

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Standard Deviation: 4.135423E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 5.3230315E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 3.9361476E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 6.677627E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 3.3740312E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 3.0234114E-7
Standard Deviation Range: [9.605751E-9, 4.0956415E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [8.786176E-9, 4.9772357E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.3829186E-9, 3.8202415E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.8856978E-8, 5.9683375E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 3.9631213E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.5672617E-9, 2.86602E-6]

Mean

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean: 1.6763119E-8	Average Mean: 2.190244E-8	Average Mean: 1.597924E-8	Average Mean: 2.8510883E-8	Average Mean: 1.5741053E-8	Average Mean: 1.285663E-8
Mean Range: [4.4378207E-10, 1.3403393E-7]	Mean Range: [4.2895698E-10, 1.6684281E-7]	Mean Range: [2.0776268E-10, 1.2928821E-7]	Mean Range: [7.922803E-10, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.282642E-7]	Mean Range: [2.8089545E-10, 9.1237375E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.6763119E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.190244E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.597924E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8510883E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5741053E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.285663E-8
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.4378207E-10, 1.3403393E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.2895698E-10, 1.6684281E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.0776268E-10, 1.2928821E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.922803E-10, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 1.282642E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8089545E-10, 9.1237375E-8]

RMSE

LogA+4.1, From Moment	LogA+4.2, From Moment	LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length	LogA+4.3, From Moment	Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop	Width Limited, From Moment
Average RMSE: 4.1373653E-7	Average RMSE: 5.325693E-7	Average RMSE: 3.9380063E-7	Average RMSE: 6.6814334E-7	Average RMSE: 3.3768774E-7	Average RMSE: 3.025227E-7
RMSE Range: [9.61178E-9, 4.0961254E-6]	RMSE Range: [8.792784E-9, 4.9779546E-6]	RMSE Range: [6.3834955E-9, 3.820835E-6]	RMSE Range: [1.8865336E-8, 5.9694617E-6]	RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 3.9635424E-6]	RMSE Range: [4.573888E-9, 2.866276E-6]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value

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Supra-Seismogenic b-value Average Constraint Fits

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Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Supra-Seismogenic b-value choice

Choice	Quantity	Average Constraint Misfit
b=0.0	Standard Deviation	1.4898163
b=0.25	Standard Deviation	1.2309332
b=0.5	Standard Deviation	1.049799
b=0.75	Standard Deviation	0.947916
b=1.0	Standard Deviation	0.884939
b=0.0	Mean	-0.21737735
b=0.25	Mean	-0.15798578
b=0.5	Mean	-0.118394576
b=0.75	Mean	-0.09137881
b=1.0	Mean	-0.07674952
b=0.0	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.901893
b=0.25	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.7097562
b=0.5	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.5637631
b=0.75	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.46017587
b=1.0	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.3895835
b=0.0	RMSE	1.5195417
b=0.25	RMSE	1.2490611
b=0.5	RMSE	1.0601759
b=0.75	RMSE	0.95386
b=1.0	RMSE	0.88844633

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 1.5757504	Average Standard Deviation: 1.3066845	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1337577	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1307698	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1819942
Standard Deviation Range: [1.090605, 5.93778]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.8714156, 6.1486197]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.6891495, 6.4667864]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.54253495, 6.8165507]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 8.70197]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: -0.3262596	Average Mean: -0.20857514	Average Mean: -0.12600556	Average Mean: -0.06791179	Average Mean: -0.03037345
Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.018439228]	Mean Range: [-0.4257997, 0.13048263]	Mean Range: [-0.27822933, 0.23107277]	Mean Range: [-0.20054203, 0.32107523]	Mean Range: [-0.15120634, 0.40444437]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8799251	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6606288	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4944984	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.3770259	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.2995585
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.615295, 1.4526385]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.4449859, 1.2655473]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30821916, 1.1018665]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.21858032, 0.9766547]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 0.89250606]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 1.6107485	Average RMSE: 1.3247393	Average RMSE: 1.1422733	Average RMSE: 1.13461	Average RMSE: 1.1839617
RMSE Range: [1.1089141, 5.937263]	RMSE Range: [0.8796537, 6.1494393]	RMSE Range: [0.6934575, 6.4703193]	RMSE Range: [0.5445559, 6.8234825]	RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 8.701988]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 1.8439463	Average Standard Deviation: 1.7499092	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6870089	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6453544	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6067957
Standard Deviation Range: [0.2598411, 10.3255625]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.26734304, 10.326259]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.2718678, 10.324241]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.236979, 10.338562]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 10.333148]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: -0.29478425	Average Mean: -0.26722187	Average Mean: -0.23938651	Average Mean: -0.21378146	Average Mean: -0.19648457
Mean Range: [-4.264887, 0.44123018]	Mean Range: [-4.125862, 0.2732639]	Mean Range: [-4.005152, 0.22299628]	Mean Range: [-3.910023, 0.25559145]	Mean Range: [-3.8437417, 0.2375058]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.0412642	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.915862	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.82215804	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.75633365	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.70810527
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17509428, 4.628871]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17857769, 4.479205]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18053356, 4.353697]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1731003, 4.2547526]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 4.187099]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 1.8746693	Average RMSE: 1.7725649	Average RMSE: 1.702529	Average RMSE: 1.6556879	Average RMSE: 1.6140151
RMSE Range: [0.27074152, 10.828287]	RMSE Range: [0.2752499, 10.799072]	RMSE Range: [0.2804269, 10.76908]	RMSE Range: [0.23555648, 10.765642]	RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 10.747045]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 0.8698185	Average Standard Deviation: 0.626476	Average Standard Deviation: 0.44766527	Average Standard Deviation: 0.32844207	Average Standard Deviation: 0.2574166
Standard Deviation Range: [0.50628996, 1.4879768]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.33024186, 1.2604574]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.20586033, 1.0389171]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.11762129, 0.8574501]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 0.77448916]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: -0.8698185	Average Mean: -0.626476	Average Mean: -0.44766527	Average Mean: -0.32844207	Average Mean: -0.2574166
Mean Range: [-1.4879768, -0.50628996]	Mean Range: [-1.2604574, -0.33024186]	Mean Range: [-1.0389171, -0.20586033]	Mean Range: [-0.8574501, -0.11762129]	Mean Range: [-0.77448916, -0.08367767]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8698185	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.626476	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.44766527	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.32844207	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.2574166
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.50628996, 1.4879768]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33024186, 1.2604574]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.20586033, 1.0389171]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11762129, 0.8574501]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 0.77448916]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 0.8698185	Average RMSE: 0.626476	Average RMSE: 0.44766527	Average RMSE: 0.32844207	Average RMSE: 0.2574166
RMSE Range: [0.50628996, 1.4879768]	RMSE Range: [0.33024186, 1.2604574]	RMSE Range: [0.20586033, 1.0389171]	RMSE Range: [0.11762129, 0.8574501]	RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 0.77448916]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 1.4778782	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1781193	Average Standard Deviation: 0.97122365	Average Standard Deviation: 0.82475793	Average Standard Deviation: 0.7103906
Standard Deviation Range: [1.212787, 4.8316526]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.9707739, 4.499358]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.7916098, 4.143703]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.6673125, 4.4926534]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 3.8917165]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: -0.11019247	Average Mean: -0.042745296	Average Mean: -0.014356639	Average Mean: -0.0044549326	Average Mean: -0.0042430917
Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.04937304]	Mean Range: [-0.37397346, 0.07477403]	Mean Range: [-0.2810773, 0.08267199]	Mean Range: [-0.21126626, 0.12401518]	Mean Range: [-0.16373126, 0.07108048]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.84020466	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.69266635	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.571391	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4760484	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.3995801
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.68137836, 1.2574017]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.54775953, 1.1186781]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.44545966, 0.99449044]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.36760023, 0.89033675]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30682322, 0.77407706]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 1.4829173	Average RMSE: 1.179584	Average RMSE: 0.97170943	Average RMSE: 0.8248792	Average RMSE: 0.7103818
RMSE Range: [1.2148615, 4.8339806]	RMSE Range: [0.97096014, 4.497295]	RMSE Range: [0.79157066, 4.1419907]	RMSE Range: [0.6678968, 4.491965]	RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 3.8902864]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 1.681688	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2934772	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0093391	Average Standard Deviation: 0.81025547	Average Standard Deviation: 0.66809803
Standard Deviation Range: [1.137381, 3.3488238]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.87662375, 2.9675846]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.66539794, 3.0903602]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.5036459, 2.9819903]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 2.8034177]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: 0.514168	Average Mean: 0.3550894	Average Mean: 0.2354411	Average Mean: 0.1576962	Average Mean: 0.10477013
Mean Range: [0.3073599, 0.99866575]	Mean Range: [0.19388834, 0.838364]	Mean Range: [0.100235894, 0.68431026]	Mean Range: [0.050587036, 0.5761336]	Mean Range: [0.021174643, 0.47689405]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8782526	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6531477	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4831026	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.3630293	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.28325704
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.6180508, 1.4476666]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.44386324, 1.2348152]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30162182, 1.0232251]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2146744, 0.853949]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 0.7528635]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 1.759555	Average RMSE: 1.3419415	Average RMSE: 1.0367026	Average RMSE: 0.82568073	Average RMSE: 0.6764564
RMSE Range: [1.1793494, 3.4942656]	RMSE Range: [0.9008633, 3.0469687]	RMSE Range: [0.6742879, 3.1567094]	RMSE Range: [0.5061351, 3.0368671]	RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 2.8364866]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 8.431228E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 8.1501275E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 7.766165E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 7.3851246E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 7.3753006E-5
Standard Deviation Range: [2.4480094E-5, 3.5274343E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.2799557E-5, 3.7162023E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.5973765E-5, 3.800569E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.1424812E-5, 3.9016365E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 4.0201354E-4]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: -9.010745E-6	Average Mean: -8.739255E-6	Average Mean: -8.442428E-6	Average Mean: -8.144768E-6	Average Mean: -7.9288475E-6
Mean Range: [-3.1941323E-5, 1.6773947E-6]	Mean Range: [-2.9911336E-5, 7.226094E-7]	Mean Range: [-3.1877353E-5, 9.172846E-7]	Mean Range: [-2.9823426E-5, 2.875038E-7]	Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 1.48863695E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.092829E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.061343E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.8579114E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.5534365E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.4350654E-5
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2472504E-5, 1.313262E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [9.088904E-6, 1.3401061E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.6832604E-6, 1.3631003E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.631507E-6, 1.3706437E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.4228893E-4]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 8.4712054E-5	Average RMSE: 8.189706E-5	Average RMSE: 7.806242E-5	Average RMSE: 7.424416E-5	Average RMSE: 7.412453E-5
RMSE Range: [2.488175E-5, 3.535413E-4]	RMSE Range: [2.3182858E-5, 3.72167E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.6189399E-5, 3.803728E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.1547797E-5, 3.9047634E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 4.0229506E-4]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 1.9792556E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1636233E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 8.3972906E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 6.955477E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 6.0710453E-10
Standard Deviation Range: [4.4534E-11, 8.37626E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [9.931179E-12, 7.6807375E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.390295E-12, 8.99182E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.1316104E-12, 8.8229555E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: 5.566167E-11	Average Mean: 3.155809E-11	Average Mean: 1.94537E-11	Average Mean: 1.527619E-11	Average Mean: 1.27616485E-11
Mean Range: [1.555393E-12, 1.989319E-9]	Mean Range: [4.196834E-13, 2.050566E-9]	Mean Range: [1.9597282E-13, 2.0733837E-9]	Mean Range: [1.3349769E-13, 2.11393E-9]	Mean Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.566167E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.155809E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.94537E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.527619E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.27616485E-11
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.555393E-12, 1.989319E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.196834E-13, 2.050566E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9597282E-13, 2.0733837E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3349769E-13, 2.11393E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 1.979883E-9	Average RMSE: 1.1639487E-9	Average RMSE: 8.39877E-10	Average RMSE: 6.956475E-10	Average RMSE: 6.0718075E-10
RMSE Range: [4.4556338E-11, 8.377716E-8]	RMSE Range: [9.938969E-12, 7.682643E-8]	RMSE Range: [6.3926082E-12, 8.99323E-8]	RMSE Range: [6.1324006E-12, 8.824533E-8]	RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0143648E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 5.7381303E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 3.2160816E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.9324313E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2463118E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [1.0543909E-8, 6.0725245E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [3.7033203E-9, 4.6250224E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.1071305E-9, 2.847992E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [9.2964736E-10, 1.7225979E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 1.0587118E-7]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: 5.2949654E-9	Average Mean: 2.8776832E-9	Average Mean: 1.5570084E-9	Average Mean: 8.79449E-10	Average Mean: 5.104846E-10
Mean Range: [8.186289E-10, 2.3916966E-8]	Mean Range: [2.6668057E-10, 1.5961328E-8]	Mean Range: [7.159358E-11, 1.0435919E-8]	Mean Range: [5.0221775E-11, 6.1370224E-9]	Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.881876E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.2949654E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8776832E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5570084E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.79449E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.104846E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.186289E-10, 2.3916966E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.6668057E-10, 1.5961328E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.159358E-11, 1.0435919E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.0221775E-11, 6.1370224E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 3.881876E-9]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 1.0153686E-7	Average RMSE: 5.7432832E-8	Average RMSE: 3.2187163E-8	Average RMSE: 1.9337326E-8	Average RMSE: 1.246876E-8
RMSE Range: [1.0570887E-8, 6.07463E-7]	RMSE Range: [3.7112395E-9, 4.6257932E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.108969E-9, 2.848541E-7]	RMSE Range: [9.319335E-10, 1.7227501E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 1.0588404E-7]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 3.5358298E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.9236648E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 9.620573E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 6.9157173E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 5.5578804E-9
Standard Deviation Range: [3.5160743E-9, 1.6963453E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.6381497E-9, 1.3727158E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.1735017E-10, 7.089004E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 9.591557E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.777799E-11, 7.286805E-8]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: 2.2216655E-9	Average Mean: 1.1471599E-9	Average Mean: 4.999509E-10	Average Mean: 3.0964908E-10	Average Mean: 2.2044527E-10
Mean Range: [2.6883806E-10, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Range: [8.748511E-11, 6.6689174E-9]	Mean Range: [3.7683013E-11, 3.34934E-9]	Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 3.2335692E-9]	Mean Range: [2.3026052E-12, 2.5410056E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2216655E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.1471599E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.999509E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.0964908E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2044527E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.6883806E-10, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.748511E-11, 6.6689174E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.7683013E-11, 3.34934E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 3.2335692E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3026052E-12, 2.5410056E-9]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 3.5414853E-8	Average RMSE: 1.926363E-8	Average RMSE: 9.629879E-9	Average RMSE: 6.9199393E-9	Average RMSE: 5.560019E-9
RMSE Range: [3.5306458E-9, 1.6985541E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.6397778E-9, 1.3737427E-7]	RMSE Range: [6.1866645E-10, 7.091637E-8]	RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 9.5926566E-8]	RMSE Range: [6.778784E-11, 7.288089E-8]

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Standard Deviation: 9.54074E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 5.770968E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 3.2625843E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 2.1294272E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 1.3543394E-7
Standard Deviation Range: [5.8953432E-8, 5.9683375E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4140575E-8, 5.1302613E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.0005409E-8, 3.2785888E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.871256E-9, 2.5219458E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 1.5332656E-6]

Mean

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean: 4.3014673E-8	Average Mean: 2.4140645E-8	Average Mean: 1.31104665E-8	Average Mean: 8.016248E-9	Average Mean: 4.845771E-9
Mean Range: [3.2532699E-9, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Range: [1.1143039E-9, 1.6594359E-7]	Mean Range: [7.126466E-10, 1.0327303E-7]	Mean Range: [3.5062697E-10, 7.517478E-8]	Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 4.5490136E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3014673E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.4140645E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.31104665E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.016248E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.845771E-9
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.2532699E-9, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.1143039E-9, 1.6594359E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.126466E-10, 1.0327303E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.5062697E-10, 7.517478E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 4.5490136E-8]

RMSE

b=0.0	b=0.25	b=0.5	b=0.75	b=1.0
Average RMSE: 9.547343E-7	Average RMSE: 5.774069E-7	Average RMSE: 3.2641455E-7	Average RMSE: 2.13022E-7	Average RMSE: 1.3547238E-7
RMSE Range: [5.901726E-8, 5.9694617E-6]	RMSE Range: [1.4178216E-8, 5.130804E-6]	RMSE Range: [1.002637E-8, 3.2788469E-6]	RMSE Range: [4.886276E-9, 2.5220136E-6]	RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 1.5333005E-6]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties

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Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Average Constraint Fits

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Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties choice

Choice	Quantity	Average Constraint Misfit
EvenFit	Standard Deviation	0.9444365
OverFit	Standard Deviation	1.6847242
UnderFit	Standard Deviation	0.7328813
EvenFit	Mean	-0.13472633
OverFit	Mean	-0.17449112
UnderFit	Mean	-0.08791417
EvenFit	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.57331234
OverFit	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.80454797
UnderFit	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.4372426
EvenFit	RMSE	0.96157175
OverFit	RMSE	1.6952152
UnderFit	RMSE	0.74586415

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0878457	Average Standard Deviation: 1.8006593	Average Standard Deviation: 0.9088689
Standard Deviation Range: [0.6246634, 2.4764059]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.90010804, 8.70197]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 1.966476]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: -0.16255094	Average Mean: -0.13756606	Average Mean: -0.15535833
Mean Range: [-0.5231254, 1.7114577E-4]	Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.40444437]	Mean Range: [-0.52239996, -0.030904135]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53158474	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6251095	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.47028774
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22390951, 1.1719366]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3165871, 1.4526385]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 1.1114984]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 1.1019121	Average RMSE: 1.812793	Average RMSE: 0.9230947
RMSE Range: [0.6268598, 2.5090575]	RMSE Range: [0.90242344, 8.701988]	RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 2.034507]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 1.041258	Average Standard Deviation: 3.723596	Average Standard Deviation: 0.35495466
Standard Deviation Range: [0.7342154, 2.90097]	Standard Deviation Range: [3.4718573, 10.338562]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 0.72231656]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: -0.23938261	Average Mean: -0.41432393	Average Mean: -0.07328864
Mean Range: [-2.100991, 0.44123018]	Mean Range: [-4.264887, 0.1198841]	Mean Range: [-0.33063275, 0.25559145]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.71112067	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5827912	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.252322
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33658323, 2.2716892]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3006363, 4.628871]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 0.40271485]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 1.0777403	Average RMSE: 3.7189662	Average RMSE: 0.37497318
RMSE Range: [0.7278194, 3.5604465]	RMSE Range: [3.4516091, 10.828287]	RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 0.716354]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 0.49700218	Average Standard Deviation: 0.6104511	Average Standard Deviation: 0.41043776
Standard Deviation Range: [0.16027267, 1.1909126]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.22970895, 1.4879768]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.173002]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: -0.49700218	Average Mean: -0.6104511	Average Mean: -0.41043776
Mean Range: [-1.1909126, -0.16027267]	Mean Range: [-1.4879768, -0.22970895]	Mean Range: [-1.173002, -0.08367767]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49700218	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6104511	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.41043776
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16027267, 1.1909126]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22970895, 1.4879768]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.173002]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 0.49700218	Average RMSE: 0.6104511	Average RMSE: 0.41043776
RMSE Range: [0.16027267, 1.1909126]	RMSE Range: [0.22970895, 1.4879768]	RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.173002]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0363106	Average Standard Deviation: 1.044039	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0170723
Standard Deviation Range: [0.61931807, 2.33171]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.6001655, 4.8316526]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 2.1757348]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: -0.037503973	Average Mean: -0.03281883	Average Mean: -0.035272654
Mean Range: [-0.49596846, 0.08267199]	Mean Range: [-0.4856699, 0.12401518]	Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.07827008]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6010924	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5982467	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5885953
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3368258, 1.1397715]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33456746, 1.2574017]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30682322, 1.1194217]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 1.0377963	Average RMSE: 1.0453184	Average RMSE: 1.0185685
RMSE Range: [0.61950785, 2.3659396]	RMSE Range: [0.6008697, 4.8339806]	RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 2.2034883]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0597663	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2448756	Average Standard Deviation: 0.97307277
Standard Deviation Range: [0.50308025, 2.6916115]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.6380001, 3.3488238]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 2.6570983]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: 0.26280805	Average Mean: 0.32270432	Average Mean: 0.23478656
Mean Range: [0.027799925, 0.71114343]	Mean Range: [0.055265207, 0.99866575]	Mean Range: [0.021174643, 0.6456977]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5257619	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.60614145	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.46457022
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.21790493, 1.1639493]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.28754362, 1.4476666]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 1.1035055]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 1.093408	Average RMSE: 1.2885472	Average RMSE: 1.0022465
RMSE Range: [0.50623596, 2.763144]	RMSE Range: [0.64336395, 3.4942656]	RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 2.7280762]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 7.902026E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2751391E-4	Average Standard Deviation: 2.811351E-5
Standard Deviation Range: [3.0390538E-5, 1.6217557E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [3.806742E-5, 4.0201354E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 1.15950905E-4]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: -9.76448E-6	Average Mean: -1.221264E-5	Average Mean: -3.3825054E-6
Mean Range: [-2.0017074E-5, -2.9522505E-8]	Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 9.172846E-7]	Mean Range: [-1.2515058E-5, 1.6773947E-6]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.9448496E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.204489E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.2510127E-5
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.633399E-5, 7.395927E-5]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3275827E-5, 1.4228893E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 5.5866458E-5]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 7.953763E-5	Average RMSE: 1.2795544E-4	Average RMSE: 2.8331066E-5
RMSE Range: [3.1126732E-5, 1.6274986E-4]	RMSE Range: [3.8589962E-5, 4.0229506E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 1.1601052E-4]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 6.814686E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 1.7167272E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 7.7296036E-10
Standard Deviation Range: [1.2969825E-12, 6.9525488E-9]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0035142E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [6.7043103E-12, 1.5377902E-8]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: 1.9222537E-11	Average Mean: 4.068642E-11	Average Mean: 2.0917821E-11
Mean Range: [1.9077398E-14, 2.133152E-10]	Mean Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9]	Mean Range: [9.861413E-14, 2.7871486E-10]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.9222537E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.068642E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.0917821E-11
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9077398E-14, 2.133152E-10]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.5773519E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [9.861413E-14, 2.7871486E-10]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 6.816865E-10	Average RMSE: 1.7170512E-9	Average RMSE: 7.7318446E-10
RMSE Range: [1.2969825E-12, 6.9550685E-9]	RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.0036964E-7]	RMSE Range: [6.7043103E-12, 1.5378763E-8]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 4.3622016E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 4.435313E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 4.568447E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [7.6422096E-10, 5.266569E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 5.725508E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [9.2964736E-10, 6.0725245E-7]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: 2.1911937E-9	Average Mean: 2.2109115E-9	Average Mean: 2.2696491E-9
Mean Range: [4.9952056E-11, 2.3635945E-8]	Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.2595712E-8]	Mean Range: [6.8992395E-11, 2.3916966E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.1911937E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2109115E-9	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2696491E-9
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.9952056E-11, 2.3635945E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.2595712E-8]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.8992395E-11, 2.3916966E-8]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 4.3661313E-8	Average RMSE: 4.439195E-8	Average RMSE: 4.5724505E-8
RMSE Range: [7.6550694E-10, 5.2696134E-7]	RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 5.727511E-7]	RMSE Range: [9.319335E-10, 6.07463E-7]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 1.5236154E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6190905E-8	Average Standard Deviation: 1.4586412E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [6.777799E-11, 1.4443648E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.5525387E-10, 1.6963453E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6588767E-7]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: 8.7870167E-10	Average Mean: 9.2583513E-10	Average Mean: 8.3478563E-10
Mean Range: [2.3026052E-12, 7.774227E-9]	Mean Range: [1.3511321E-11, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 8.91229E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.7870167E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.2583513E-10	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.3478563E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3026052E-12, 7.774227E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3511321E-11, 9.9917035E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 8.91229E-9]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 1.5256227E-8	Average RMSE: 1.62116E-8	Average RMSE: 1.4605166E-8
RMSE Range: [6.778784E-11, 1.4458327E-7]	RMSE Range: [2.5550112E-10, 1.6985541E-7]	RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6605536E-7]

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Standard Deviation: 4.424742E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 4.4061196E-7	Average Standard Deviation: 4.4039743E-7
Standard Deviation Range: [4.048848E-9, 5.9683375E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 5.751904E-6]	Standard Deviation Range: [4.5672617E-9, 5.4151424E-6]

Mean

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean: 1.8673312E-8	Average Mean: 1.8599964E-8	Average Mean: 1.8603407E-8
Mean Range: [2.5509625E-10, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0166107E-7]	Mean Range: [2.8089545E-10, 1.9210174E-7]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8673312E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8599964E-8	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8603407E-8
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.5509625E-10, 2.0774276E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0166107E-7]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8089545E-10, 1.9210174E-7]

RMSE

Even-Fit Paleo Data	Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x)	Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x)
Average RMSE: 4.4272352E-7	Average RMSE: 4.4086087E-7	Average RMSE: 4.406457E-7
RMSE Range: [4.0551003E-9, 5.9694617E-6]	RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 5.7530387E-6]	RMSE Range: [4.573888E-9, 5.4162892E-6]

Segmentation Model

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Segmentation Model Average Constraint Fits

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Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Segmentation Model choice

Choice	Quantity	Average Constraint Misfit
HighSeg	Standard Deviation	1.1155672
LowSeg	Standard Deviation	1.1151298
MidSeg	Standard Deviation	1.1166668
None	Standard Deviation	1.1591647
HighSeg	Mean	-0.13216363
LowSeg	Mean	-0.1316617
MidSeg	Mean	-0.13049167
None	Mean	-0.14010558
HighSeg	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.6002744
LowSeg	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.60364574
MidSeg	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.60014325
None	Mean Absolute Deviation	0.6367643
HighSeg	RMSE	1.1282067
LowSeg	RMSE	1.1290729
MidSeg	RMSE	1.1294467
None	RMSE	1.176847

Segmentation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Standard Deviation: 1.2681737	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2538208	Average Standard Deviation: 1.2589397	Average Standard Deviation: 1.3031398
Standard Deviation Range: [0.47478047, 7.750696]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4192203, 8.0808]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.44334137, 7.7470007]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.43110543, 8.70197]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean: -0.14477853	Average Mean: -0.15300933	Average Mean: -0.14610429	Average Mean: -0.1877589
Mean Range: [-0.44286904, 0.37503687]	Mean Range: [-0.5171687, 0.39253706]	Mean Range: [-0.50597304, 0.38102612]	Mean Range: [-0.6095563, 0.40444437]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5361562	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5417742	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53747046	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5765175
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.19397882, 1.2965858]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18278837, 1.384173]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18875392, 1.3527526]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16885382, 1.4526385]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average RMSE: 1.2802933	Average RMSE: 1.2677028	Average RMSE: 1.2715771	Average RMSE: 1.3223825
RMSE Range: [0.47684258, 7.750957]	RMSE Range: [0.4209007, 8.081198]	RMSE Range: [0.44511652, 7.7474027]	RMSE Range: [0.43295503, 8.701988]

Segmentation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Standard Deviation: 1.7226627	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6919762	Average Standard Deviation: 1.7032406	Average Standard Deviation: 1.6977638
Standard Deviation Range: [0.2598411, 10.338562]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.2151324, 9.696672]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.24663159, 9.9577465]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.19279963, 9.62722]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean: -0.21158575	Average Mean: -0.26319855	Average Mean: -0.2417145	Average Mean: -0.29468772
Mean Range: [-3.5458496, 0.44123018]	Mean Range: [-3.865692, 0.12226047]	Mean Range: [-3.6493754, 0.2521986]	Mean Range: [-4.264887, 0.076953836]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.85325414	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8430687	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.84287053	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.86419004
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18219994, 3.9670577]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1529493, 4.24587]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17509428, 4.041319]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13932101, 4.628871]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average RMSE: 1.7363186	Average RMSE: 1.7117127	Average RMSE: 1.7190038	Average RMSE: 1.7256467
RMSE Range: [0.273489, 10.828287]	RMSE Range: [0.22235815, 10.356615]	RMSE Range: [0.25115624, 10.520067]	RMSE Range: [0.20629925, 10.449282]

Segmentation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Standard Deviation: 0.5089537	Average Standard Deviation: 0.49705258	Average Standard Deviation: 0.49874634	Average Standard Deviation: 0.5364679
Standard Deviation Range: [0.15246966, 1.2644603]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.10481213, 1.3732102]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.12057235, 1.3364736]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean: -0.5089537	Average Mean: -0.49705258	Average Mean: -0.49874634	Average Mean: -0.5364679
Mean Range: [-1.2644603, -0.15246966]	Mean Range: [-1.3732102, -0.10481213]	Mean Range: [-1.3364736, -0.12057235]	Mean Range: [-1.4879768, -0.08367767]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5089537	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49705258	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49874634	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5364679
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15246966, 1.2644603]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10481213, 1.3732102]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12057235, 1.3364736]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average RMSE: 0.5089537	Average RMSE: 0.49705258	Average RMSE: 0.49874634	Average RMSE: 0.5364679
RMSE Range: [0.15246966, 1.2644603]	RMSE Range: [0.10481213, 1.3732102]	RMSE Range: [0.12057235, 1.3364736]	RMSE Range: [0.08367767, 1.4879768]

Segmentation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Standard Deviation: 1.0046979	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0456995	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0222576	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1200005
Standard Deviation Range: [0.562884, 2.4891157]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.59526116, 3.847889]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.57928234, 3.193357]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.61192966, 4.8316526]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean: -0.0658346	Average Mean: -0.017401736	Average Mean: -0.036807727	Average Mean: 0.025944076
Mean Range: [-0.50035787, 0.0063248673]	Mean Range: [-0.49159336, 0.062830046]	Mean Range: [-0.49207658, 0.027532032]	Mean Range: [-0.40817532, 0.12401518]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.57687587	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6051067	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59408957	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6406933
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30682322, 1.1150724]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3251762, 1.2574017]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.31603795, 1.2017761]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33928794, 1.2547356]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average RMSE: 1.0073483	Average RMSE: 1.046194	Average RMSE: 1.0233923	Average RMSE: 1.1204398
RMSE Range: [0.5631651, 2.5201037]	RMSE Range: [0.5951096, 3.8459404]	RMSE Range: [0.5791527, 3.2080262]	RMSE Range: [0.6121375, 4.8339806]

Segmentation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Standard Deviation: 1.073348	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0871	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1001495	Average Standard Deviation: 1.1384511
Standard Deviation Range: [0.44792008, 2.9920032]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.39724088, 3.0903602]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.42680034, 3.008576]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.4010004, 3.3488238]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean: 0.27033445	Average Mean: 0.27235368	Average Mean: 0.27091452	Average Mean: 0.29244256
Mean Range: [0.056001473, 0.73457]	Mean Range: [0.038752884, 0.8824673]	Mean Range: [0.04544216, 0.81566894]	Mean Range: [0.021174643, 0.99866575]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.52613205	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53122663	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5275395	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5659528
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1824393, 1.2075788]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17142466, 1.351893]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17595933, 1.2707528]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16293707, 1.4476666]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average RMSE: 1.1081198	Average RMSE: 1.1227026	Average RMSE: 1.1345142	Average RMSE: 1.1792977
RMSE Range: [0.45503595, 3.0805893]	RMSE Range: [0.4034296, 3.1567094]	RMSE Range: [0.43347412, 3.1169186]	RMSE Range: [0.40152314, 3.4942656]

Segmentation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Standard Deviation: 8.153027E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 7.531494E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 7.853308E-5	Average Standard Deviation: 7.312311E-5
Standard Deviation Range: [1.135573E-5, 4.016253E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.1424812E-5, 4.0146234E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.0416995E-5, 4.0201354E-4]	Standard Deviation Range: [1.29904865E-5, 3.859208E-4]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean: -8.573549E-6	Average Mean: -8.359593E-6	Average Mean: -8.738765E-6	Average Mean: -7.4227496E-6
Mean Range: [-3.1673404E-5, 9.172846E-7]	Mean Range: [-3.2820604E-5, 4.7266465E-7]	Mean Range: [-3.2529602E-5, 6.0923213E-7]	Mean Range: [-3.1941323E-5, 1.6773947E-6]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.945365E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.6856592E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.8113536E-5	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.559579E-5
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.1022994E-6, 1.4228893E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.631507E-6, 1.2776155E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.6217405E-6, 1.3246332E-4]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.7621213E-6, 1.2565491E-4]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation	None
Average RMSE: 8.190844E-5	Average RMSE: 7.57204E-5	Average RMSE: 7.895242E-5	Average RMSE: 7.344903E-5
RMSE Range: [1.15438725E-5, 4.0192826E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.1547797E-5, 4.017795E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.0758461E-5, 4.0229506E-4]	RMSE Range: [1.3206535E-5, 3.864001E-4]

Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation
Average Standard Deviation: 1.216761E-9	Average Standard Deviation: 7.6767837E-10	Average Standard Deviation: 1.0902588E-9
Standard Deviation Range: [5.2599093E-12, 1.0035142E-7]	Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 7.357765E-8]	Standard Deviation Range: [2.4089187E-14, 8.0656726E-8]

Mean

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation
Average Mean: 3.399258E-11	Average Mean: 1.8542147E-11	Average Mean: 2.5492015E-11
Mean Range: [7.744443E-14, 2.5773519E-9]	Mean Range: [0.0, 1.2124256E-9]	Mean Range: [3.5432937E-16, 1.7595997E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.399258E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8542147E-11	Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.5492015E-11
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.744443E-14, 2.5773519E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.2124256E-9]	Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.5432937E-16, 1.7595997E-9]

RMSE

High Segmentation	Low Segmentation	Middle Segmentation
Average RMSE: 1.2171335E-9	Average RMSE: 7.67838E-10	Average RMSE: 1.0904608E-9
RMSE Range: [5.25991E-12, 1.0036964E-7]	RMSE Range: [0.0, 7.357961E-8]	RMSE Range: [2.4089187E-14, 8.066719E-8]

Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Middle Segmentation
Average Standard Deviation: 4.4553204E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [1.4293208E-10, 6.0725245E-7]

Mean

Middle Segmentation
Average Mean: 2.2239182E-9
Mean Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Middle Segmentation
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2239182E-9
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.4348674E-12, 2.3916966E-8]

RMSE

Middle Segmentation
Average RMSE: 4.459259E-8
RMSE Range: [1.4301563E-10, 6.07463E-7]

Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

Low Segmentation
Average Standard Deviation: 1.5337823E-8
Standard Deviation Range: [4.8931272E-11, 1.6963453E-7]

Mean

Low Segmentation
Average Mean: 8.7977414E-10
Mean Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9]

Mean Absolute Deviation

Low Segmentation
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.7977414E-10
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9911531E-12, 9.9917035E-9]

RMSE

Low Segmentation
Average RMSE: 1.5357664E-8
RMSE Range: [4.8950653E-11, 1.6985541E-7]

Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

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Standard Deviation

High Segmentation
Average Standard Deviation: 4.411612E-7
Standard Deviation Range: [2.9709253E-9, 5.9683375E-6]

Mean

High Segmentation
Average Mean: 1.8625562E-8
Mean Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7]

Mean Absolute Deviation

High Segmentation
Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8625562E-8
Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6940722E-10, 2.0774276E-7]

RMSE

High Segmentation
Average RMSE: 4.4141004E-7
RMSE Range: [2.9744478E-9, 5.9694617E-6]

Logic Tree Misfits

Table Of Contents

Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Mean Absolute Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits

Uncertain Slip Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Paleoseismic Event Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Uncertain Parkfield, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Uncertain MFD Equality, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary

Standard Deviation Summary

Standard Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits

Uncertain Slip Rate, Standard Deviation Summary

Paleoseismic Event Rate, Standard Deviation Summary

Uncertain Parkfield, Standard Deviation Summary

Uncertain MFD Equality, Standard Deviation Summary

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Standard Deviation Summary

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Standard Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Standard Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Standard Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Standard Deviation Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Standard Deviation Summary

Constraint Summaries

Constraint Weights

Uncertain Slip Rate Summary

Paleoseismic Event Rate Summary

Uncertain Parkfield Summary

Uncertain MFD Equality Summary

Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Summary

Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Summary

Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Summary

Deformation Model

Deformation Model Average Constraint Fits

Deformation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

Deformation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

Deformation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

Deformation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

Deformation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

Deformation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

Scaling Relationship

Scaling Relationship Average Constraint Fits

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value

Supra-Seismogenic b-value Average Constraint Fits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits

Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Average Constraint Fits

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits

Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits