Logic Tree Misfits
Table Of Contents
- Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Mean Absolute Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
- Uncertain Slip Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Paleoseismic Event Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Parkfield, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Uncertain MFD Equality, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
- Standard Deviation Summary
- Standard Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
- Uncertain Slip Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
- Paleoseismic Event Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Parkfield, Standard Deviation Summary
- Uncertain MFD Equality, Standard Deviation Summary
- Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Standard Deviation Summary
- Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Standard Deviation Summary
- Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Standard Deviation Summary
- Constraint Summaries
- Deformation Model
- Deformation Model Average Constraint Fits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Deformation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Deformation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Deformation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Deformation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Scaling Relationship
- Scaling Relationship Average Constraint Fits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value Average Constraint Fits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Average Constraint Fits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
- Segmentation Model
- Segmentation Model Average Constraint Fits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
- Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
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Mean Absolute Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
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| Constraint | Average Mean Absolute Deviation | Best Fitting | Worst Fitting | Ratio to All Uncert-Weighted Constraints |
|---|
| All Uncertainty-Weighted Average | 0.646798 | 0.19066872 | 5.699808 | 1.0 |
| Uncertain Slip Rate | 0.63847965 | 0.09295177 | 8.780822 | 0.9645232 |
| Paleoseismic Event Rate | 0.8876852 | 0.13956724 | 7.3838363 | 1.2936935 |
| Uncertain Parkfield | 0.53868973 | 0.08405323 | 2.851824 | 0.8169483 |
| Uncertain MFD Equality | 0.60424674 | 0.22234035 | 1.7224144 | 1.0438068 |
| Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates | 0.5648887 | 0.091301955 | 8.492587 | 0.88102823 |
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit all uncertainthy-weighted constraints on average.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.19066872 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.20418602 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 0.20478554 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.20938827 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 0.20981635 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 5.310855 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 5.3767877 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 5.44367 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 5.45692 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 5.699808 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Distribution of branch Mean Absolute Deviation values, averaged accross constraints:
Average branch choice values: A list of average fits across all uncertainthy-weighted constraints for each logic tree branch choice.
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.245579 | 0.8456958 | 1.8062154 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.6603606 | 0.5545716 | 0.85536915 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.6490772 | 0.54308146 | 0.9488329 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.57609046 | 0.44495448 | 0.8028032 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.66849226 | 0.57341737 | 0.9261288 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.6653687 | 0.5852113 | 0.90275055 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.65121627 | 0.5626526 | 0.89928156 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.6445889 | 0.5594578 | 0.8824544 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.6521547 | 0.5474177 | 0.93818796 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.60932004 | 0.4625966 | 0.8431501 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.65813935 | 0.51271236 | 0.8602865 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.8973253 | 0.8238089 | 1.078421 |
| b=0.25 | 0.7607587 | 0.65862435 | 0.95121145 |
| b=0.5 | 0.61683047 | 0.47781497 | 0.8605566 |
| b=0.75 | 0.5147373 | 0.35967284 | 0.79746944 |
| b=1.0 | 0.44433823 | 0.28876826 | 0.7507674 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.61473393 | 0.52421904 | 0.750451 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.8631609 | 0.62648743 | 1.659871 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.4624991 | 0.25273347 | 0.5751449 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.0151873 | 0.6715026 | 1.4944826 |
| High Segmentation | 0.6001898 | 0.50931334 | 0.85103136 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.60364 | 0.49762177 | 0.8412675 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.6006175 | 0.49936652 | 0.84233946 |
| None | 0.64309067 | 0.549834 | 0.86728597 |
Uncertain Slip Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Slip Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.09295177 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.09389992 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.09665978 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.097948305 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.09809688 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 8.648135 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 8.651686 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 8.67087 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 8.68988 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.25 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 8.780822 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Slip Rate misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.5470403 | 0.38549393 | 8.780822 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.6671481 | 0.11133612 | 1.909492 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.61009777 | 0.12119117 | 1.6349022 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.5646011 | 0.09295177 | 1.6182656 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.6393754 | 0.11901706 | 1.7484704 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.65709364 | 0.10114072 | 8.648135 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.6441541 | 0.09665978 | 8.651686 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.6392617 | 0.09809688 | 8.634547 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.6387182 | 0.09389992 | 8.67087 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.59482235 | 0.09295177 | 8.568084 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.65682775 | 0.097948305 | 8.780822 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.826684 | 0.09295177 | 8.591505 |
| b=0.25 | 0.77658 | 0.44437593 | 8.780822 |
| b=0.5 | 0.6257754 | 0.31388873 | 8.337732 |
| b=0.75 | 0.5180301 | 0.2184047 | 7.843973 |
| b=1.0 | 0.44532865 | 0.16906978 | 7.311454 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.6287793 | 0.12570725 | 8.68988 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.7173128 | 0.17613573 | 8.780822 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.5693467 | 0.09295177 | 8.647917 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.4944826 | 0.09295177 | 8.780822 |
| High Segmentation | 0.5364012 | 0.19352438 | 1.3035033 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.5420163 | 0.18326603 | 1.4013402 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.5378655 | 0.1870951 | 1.3585513 |
| None | 0.58348083 | 0.16906978 | 1.5602381 |
Paleoseismic Event Rate, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Paleoseismic Event Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.13956724 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.15281188 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 0.1532647 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.16119915 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.16600043 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 7.0809865 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 7.1127963 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 7.149216 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 7.1896443 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 7.3838363 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Paleoseismic Event Rate misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.8062154 | 0.34385422 | 7.3838363 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.85536915 | 0.1532647 | 2.6587555 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.9488329 | 0.24113482 | 3.1669385 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.8028032 | 0.13956724 | 2.5203276 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.9261288 | 0.20730677 | 3.0583618 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.90275055 | 0.17352429 | 5.5943627 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.89928156 | 0.1749752 | 6.214867 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.8824544 | 0.17062868 | 5.3504496 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.93818796 | 0.16119915 | 7.3838363 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.8431501 | 0.13956724 | 5.6697073 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.8602865 | 0.17198999 | 4.687634 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.078421 | 0.17333227 | 7.3838363 |
| b=0.25 | 0.95121145 | 0.17172162 | 7.1896443 |
| b=0.5 | 0.8605566 | 0.17058967 | 7.149216 |
| b=0.75 | 0.79746944 | 0.16600043 | 7.1127963 |
| b=1.0 | 0.7507674 | 0.13956724 | 7.0809865 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.750451 | 0.33694386 | 2.727513 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.659871 | 1.3005127 | 7.3838363 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.25273347 | 0.13956724 | 0.40170425 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.2469184 | 0.16119915 | 7.3838363 |
| High Segmentation | 0.85103136 | 0.18181403 | 3.9147468 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.8412675 | 0.15281188 | 4.1809278 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.84233946 | 0.16969487 | 4.030414 |
| None | 0.86728597 | 0.13956724 | 4.687816 |
Uncertain Parkfield, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Parkfield constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.08405323 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.097623296 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.10035715 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.10193816 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.10346252 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 2.7733707 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 2.7791138 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 2.8208323 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 2.8445978 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 2.851824 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Parkfield misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 0.8456958 | 0.30637014 | 2.8445978 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.5545716 | 0.097623296 | 1.5389904 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.5788402 | 0.124179766 | 2.291914 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.44495448 | 0.08405323 | 1.2746385 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.5902955 | 0.10035715 | 2.851824 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.58730143 | 0.12241518 | 2.851824 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5626526 | 0.11438276 | 2.5925345 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5594578 | 0.11935392 | 2.659595 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.5474177 | 0.109915994 | 2.3681324 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.4625966 | 0.08405323 | 2.620664 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.51271236 | 0.10193816 | 2.1784413 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.90856826 | 0.40735722 | 2.851824 |
| b=0.25 | 0.65862435 | 0.27509263 | 2.8208323 |
| b=0.5 | 0.47781497 | 0.17520595 | 2.7791138 |
| b=0.75 | 0.35967284 | 0.11734356 | 2.7733707 |
| b=1.0 | 0.28876826 | 0.08405323 | 2.7652607 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.52421904 | 0.16045064 | 1.758095 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.67693144 | 0.22756933 | 2.851824 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.41491875 | 0.08405323 | 1.7806177 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.8157802 | 0.12160587 | 2.851824 |
| High Segmentation | 0.50931334 | 0.14980698 | 1.3100306 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.49762177 | 0.10346252 | 1.421531 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.49936652 | 0.11784607 | 1.3850814 |
| None | 0.549834 | 0.08405323 | 1.8059237 |
Uncertain MFD Equality, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
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Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain MFD Equality constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.22234035 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.23222029 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.2404539 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.24688156 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.2541572 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 1.5479987 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 1.6041272 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 1.6629798 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 1.671878 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 1.7224144 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain MFD Equality misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 0.8561618 | 0.38473198 | 1.7224144 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.63759464 | 0.29515508 | 1.231626 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.56453353 | 0.30217388 | 1.3978199 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.5623376 | 0.22234035 | 0.9223854 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.6132443 | 0.26715347 | 1.3307579 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.59448653 | 0.24688156 | 1.7224144 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5834198 | 0.23222029 | 1.6041272 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5796066 | 0.2404539 | 1.671878 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.5789609 | 0.22234035 | 1.6629798 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.61903125 | 0.2541572 | 1.5479987 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.66997534 | 0.2748423 | 1.5060618 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.84914434 | 0.50169134 | 1.7224144 |
| b=0.25 | 0.6983216 | 0.39121425 | 1.4731512 |
| b=0.5 | 0.57921845 | 0.32015824 | 1.3323338 |
| b=0.75 | 0.48493594 | 0.2665781 | 1.1737862 |
| b=1.0 | 0.4096134 | 0.22234035 | 1.0052409 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.61110795 | 0.33716983 | 1.3277268 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.62648743 | 0.3349272 | 1.7224144 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.5751449 | 0.22234035 | 1.179232 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.6715026 | 0.22234035 | 1.7224144 |
| High Segmentation | 0.5774727 | 0.3082461 | 1.1721438 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.6055869 | 0.32524222 | 1.1751357 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.59518296 | 0.31635383 | 1.2296256 |
| None | 0.6418241 | 0.33990824 | 1.2747046 |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.091301955 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.0916372 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.09526998 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.09533751 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.09641473 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 8.47336 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 8.477484 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 8.482331 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 8.489661 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 8.492587 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.1727817 | 0.3539337 | 8.492587 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.58711946 | 0.106935896 | 1.3200849 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.54308146 | 0.12081741 | 1.2018431 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.505756 | 0.091301955 | 1.2782896 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.57341737 | 0.106609575 | 1.3432949 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.5852113 | 0.09891261 | 8.489661 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5665732 | 0.09526998 | 8.482331 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.56216407 | 0.09533751 | 8.47336 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.5574888 | 0.0916372 | 8.492587 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.527 | 0.091301955 | 8.477484 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.5908949 | 0.09641473 | 8.447851 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.8238089 | 0.091301955 | 8.492587 |
| b=0.25 | 0.71905607 | 0.4433059 | 4.832797 |
| b=0.5 | 0.54078704 | 0.31242946 | 3.9457304 |
| b=0.75 | 0.4135781 | 0.21453232 | 3.2640982 |
| b=1.0 | 0.3272134 | 0.16317786 | 2.7569277 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.55911237 | 0.120625384 | 8.389796 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.6352019 | 0.15172513 | 8.492587 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.5003518 | 0.091301955 | 8.354886 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.84725267 | 0.091301955 | 8.492587 |
| High Segmentation | 0.5267304 | 0.18217552 | 1.2633622 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.53170747 | 0.17173639 | 1.3898293 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.52833325 | 0.17491508 | 1.3392825 |
| None | 0.5730284 | 0.16317786 | 1.5474101 |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 4.6847626E-6 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 2 | 5.197119E-6 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 5.2424534E-6 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 5.447359E-6 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 5.548265E-6 | Zeng | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 2.6682415E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 2.668986E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 2.678031E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 2.7093771E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 2.7618953E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 7.480632E-5 | 2.3315977E-5 | 2.3428831E-4 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 3.6460875E-5 | 5.2424534E-6 | 1.9004443E-4 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 5.8357797E-5 | 6.013973E-6 | 2.7618953E-4 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 3.235275E-5 | 5.197119E-6 | 1.2337657E-4 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 5.0523362E-5 | 4.6847626E-6 | 2.7093771E-4 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 4.9739665E-5 | 5.628657E-6 | 2.4152394E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 4.4621593E-5 | 4.6847626E-6 | 2.3249816E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 4.9865248E-5 | 5.7043653E-6 | 2.7618953E-4 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 4.0629573E-5 | 5.2424534E-6 | 1.8012093E-4 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 3.5920068E-5 | 5.615913E-6 | 1.7070252E-4 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 3.221345E-5 | 5.548265E-6 | 1.796501E-4 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 4.3310694E-5 | 1.2981371E-5 | 2.2416696E-4 |
| b=0.25 | 4.526136E-5 | 9.172331E-6 | 2.6682415E-4 |
| b=0.5 | 4.3110507E-5 | 6.782769E-6 | 2.655204E-4 |
| b=0.75 | 4.019314E-5 | 5.6426106E-6 | 2.678031E-4 |
| b=1.0 | 3.894896E-5 | 4.6847626E-6 | 2.7618953E-4 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.299629E-5 | 1.6188811E-5 | 1.3799714E-4 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 6.984076E-5 | 2.4303912E-5 | 2.7618953E-4 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.3657747E-5 | 4.6847626E-6 | 9.891261E-5 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 8.048148E-5 | 1.3258323E-5 | 2.7618953E-4 |
| High Segmentation | 3.936532E-5 | 4.6847626E-6 | 1.4354888E-4 |
| Low Segmentation | 3.676438E-5 | 5.5560977E-6 | 1.2354732E-4 |
| Middle Segmentation | 3.799073E-5 | 5.673205E-6 | 1.2855252E-4 |
| None | 3.5570934E-5 | 6.698306E-6 | 1.1938455E-4 |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=0.5 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | EvenFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 1796 | 2.3294924E-9 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 1797 | 2.4077955E-9 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 1798 | 2.4110036E-9 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=0.75 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 1799 | 2.6124407E-9 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 1800 | 5.994638E-8 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 2.8212455E-10 | 0.0 | 5.994638E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 4.8306324E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4110036E-9 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 3.961459E-11 | 1.5354684E-17 | 1.8299948E-9 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.642947E-11 | 0.0 | 4.0204404E-10 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 7.278486E-11 | 0.0 | 2.6124407E-9 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 5.047804E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4077955E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 4.002987E-11 | 0.0 | 2.6124407E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 4.9131667E-11 | 0.0 | 2.3294924E-9 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 5.6709977E-11 | 0.0 | 5.994638E-8 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 3.9568807E-11 | 0.0 | 2.2865063E-9 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 6.360098E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4110036E-9 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 7.872845E-11 | 0.0 | 1.944942E-9 |
| b=0.25 | 4.965895E-11 | 0.0 | 2.2865063E-9 |
| b=0.5 | 4.867879E-11 | 0.0 | 5.994638E-8 |
| b=0.75 | 3.6379975E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4110036E-9 |
| b=1.0 | 3.6153282E-11 | 0.0 | 2.6124407E-9 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.447601E-11 | 0.0 | 2.4110036E-9 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 7.6786306E-11 | 0.0 | 5.994638E-8 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 2.849735E-11 | 0.0 | 6.406474E-10 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.5866148E-10 | 0.0 | 5.994638E-8 |
| High Segmentation | 2.7715174E-11 | 1.4213082E-14 | 2.2984215E-9 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.8606857E-11 | 0.0 | 1.3539432E-9 |
| Middle Segmentation | 2.3419428E-11 | 0.0 | 1.0824478E-9 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 5.933976E-11 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 2 | 6.104902E-11 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 3 | 6.6546255E-11 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 4 | 6.663954E-11 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 5 | 6.700844E-11 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 1.7307537E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 447 | 1.7618792E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 448 | 2.0405006E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 449 | 2.3000192E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 450 | 2.6547516E-8 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 6.7502737E-10 | 6.6546255E-11 | 3.712884E-9 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 4.094274E-9 | 6.104902E-11 | 1.710582E-8 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 7.4961015E-9 | 1.7359281E-9 | 2.6547516E-8 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 9.639848E-10 | 1.6058911E-10 | 3.7005259E-9 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 8.4233964E-10 | 5.933976E-11 | 4.0395283E-9 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.886943E-9 | 7.9288326E-11 | 1.1110833E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 2.5284008E-9 | 6.76253E-11 | 1.6582966E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.7729516E-9 | 5.933976E-11 | 1.0619902E-8 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 3.466935E-9 | 6.8814426E-11 | 2.6547516E-8 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 2.1378466E-9 | 6.6546255E-11 | 1.3777175E-8 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.7412654E-9 | 6.104902E-11 | 9.177649E-9 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 5.2653752E-9 | 3.520698E-10 | 2.6547516E-8 |
| b=0.25 | 3.1351615E-9 | 2.636223E-10 | 1.7618792E-8 |
| b=0.5 | 1.558603E-9 | 1.0583182E-10 | 1.0995404E-8 |
| b=0.75 | 8.395871E-10 | 5.933976E-11 | 5.9918683E-9 |
| b=1.0 | 4.798919E-10 | 6.104902E-11 | 4.2317163E-9 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 2.2764162E-9 | 6.663954E-11 | 2.6547516E-8 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 2.2601707E-9 | 6.6546255E-11 | 2.0405006E-8 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 2.2305844E-9 | 5.933976E-11 | 2.3000192E-8 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | 2.2557238E-9 | 5.933976E-11 | 2.6547516E-8 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.2431355E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 2 | 1.265129E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 2.0691925E-10 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 2.391663E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 2.502123E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 1.5298457E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 447 | 1.6954958E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 448 | 1.7373159E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 449 | 1.9112234E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 450 | 2.0145517E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 3.5679848E-9 | 1.2431355E-10 | 1.5809773E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 2.6325676E-8 | 6.8195016E-10 | 1.2219236E-7 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 7.5138914E-8 | 1.8684354E-8 | 2.0145517E-7 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.0644786E-8 | 3.0897191E-9 | 3.2854306E-8 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 7.0597E-9 | 8.2966095E-10 | 2.5292442E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.6784858E-8 | 3.2827363E-10 | 1.2566603E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 2.2072399E-8 | 8.7269586E-10 | 1.6954958E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.5942575E-8 | 2.0691925E-10 | 1.4210116E-7 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 2.8106092E-8 | 7.5196893E-10 | 2.0145517E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.5701216E-8 | 1.2431355E-10 | 1.3086783E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.2948363E-8 | 2.391663E-10 | 8.15198E-8 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 4.2740616E-8 | 3.9081782E-9 | 2.0145517E-7 |
| b=0.25 | 2.4259208E-8 | 1.8938124E-9 | 1.5298457E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 1.312711E-8 | 5.084019E-10 | 1.01501605E-7 |
| b=0.75 | 7.894837E-9 | 3.3412897E-10 | 7.192624E-8 |
| b=1.0 | 4.941149E-9 | 1.2431355E-10 | 4.2512557E-8 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.8683648E-8 | 1.265129E-10 | 2.0145517E-7 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.8534365E-8 | 1.2431355E-10 | 1.9112234E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.8559737E-8 | 3.3412897E-10 | 1.7373159E-7 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | 1.8592583E-8 | 1.2431355E-10 | 2.0145517E-7 |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Mean Absolute Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 8.299979E-14 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 5.493283E-12 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 1.7161259E-11 | Geologic | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 1.8361807E-11 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 1.8589321E-11 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 6.7231976E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 447 | 7.133846E-9 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 448 | 7.455185E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 449 | 8.505965E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 450 | 8.706884E-9 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] misfit Mean Absolute Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 5.3798643E-10 | 3.388634E-11 | 2.189939E-9 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.6397727E-9 | 1.7161259E-11 | 7.133846E-9 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 2.5833369E-9 | 3.2742242E-10 | 8.706884E-9 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 3.0278507E-10 | 5.493283E-12 | 1.3674443E-9 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 2.986756E-10 | 8.299979E-14 | 1.4425735E-9 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 6.695841E-10 | 1.8361807E-11 | 4.632302E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 9.016821E-10 | 8.299979E-14 | 6.7231976E-9 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 7.136009E-10 | 5.493283E-12 | 5.919978E-9 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.2197641E-9 | 1.9871322E-11 | 8.706884E-9 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 8.0328105E-10 | 2.8230208E-11 | 4.983076E-9 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 7.094976E-10 | 4.024423E-11 | 5.322521E-9 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 2.0408106E-9 | 2.8074348E-10 | 8.706884E-9 |
| b=0.25 | 1.1086639E-9 | 1.14515425E-10 | 5.890941E-9 |
| b=0.5 | 5.213134E-10 | 2.1219566E-11 | 3.8130854E-9 |
| b=0.75 | 2.9767994E-10 | 1.8589321E-11 | 3.3190468E-9 |
| b=1.0 | 2.1270706E-10 | 8.299979E-14 | 2.669616E-9 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 8.634026E-10 | 8.299979E-14 | 8.706884E-9 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 8.142861E-10 | 1.8361807E-11 | 8.505965E-9 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 8.3101626E-10 | 5.493283E-12 | 7.455185E-9 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | 8.3623497E-10 | 8.299979E-14 | 8.706884E-9 |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Standard Deviation Average Uncertainty-Weighted Constraint Fits
(top)
| Constraint | Average Standard Deviation | Best Fitting | Worst Fitting | Ratio to All Uncert-Weighted Constraints |
|---|
| All Uncertainty-Weighted Average | 1.2138889 | 0.35844767 | 44.41475 | 1.0 |
| Uncertain Slip Rate | 1.5157233 | 0.41923192 | 103.08472 | 1.1868753 |
| Paleoseismic Event Rate | 1.7336476 | 0.19299613 | 10.75481 | 1.2896852 |
| Uncertain Parkfield | 0.53868973 | 0.08405323 | 2.851824 | 0.46770838 |
| Uncertain MFD Equality | 1.0567024 | 0.4715995 | 4.3981156 | 1.0322491 |
| Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates | 1.2246813 | 0.3984668 | 103.02504 | 1.0234821 |
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit all uncertainthy-weighted constraints on average.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.35844767 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 0.35999817 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.36979038 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.37129423 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.37246788 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 44.120533 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 44.141712 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 44.203373 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 44.208786 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 44.41475 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Distribution of branch Standard Deviation values, averaged accross constraints:
Average branch choice values: A list of average fits across all uncertainthy-weighted constraints for each logic tree branch choice.
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 5.0721226 | 0.8456958 | 11.060272 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.2494562 | 0.5545716 | 1.7250053 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.1641688 | 0.5788402 | 1.7692567 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.0217597 | 0.44495448 | 1.6209943 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.14841 | 0.5902955 | 1.7273616 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.2132998 | 0.58730143 | 1.7375852 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.2166046 | 0.5626526 | 1.7459495 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.1914227 | 0.5594578 | 1.7252599 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.249441 | 0.5474177 | 1.7833403 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.189814 | 0.4625966 | 1.7001982 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.2227514 | 0.51271236 | 1.7095526 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.5547626 | 0.90856826 | 1.8696351 |
| b=0.25 | 1.3343878 | 0.65862435 | 1.7737021 |
| b=0.5 | 1.15321 | 0.47781497 | 1.7133929 |
| b=0.75 | 1.0476358 | 0.35967284 | 1.6741388 |
| b=1.0 | 0.97944814 | 0.28876826 | 1.6373692 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.0449693 | 0.52421904 | 1.3534586 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.7818404 | 0.67693144 | 3.7489755 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.8148568 | 0.35696596 | 1.1864727 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.0582829 | 0.8157802 | 3.7783155 |
| High Segmentation | 1.1136225 | 0.50931334 | 1.7120771 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.113215 | 0.49762177 | 1.6839217 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.1163509 | 0.49936652 | 1.6936386 |
| None | 1.1642555 | 0.549834 | 1.6934259 |
Uncertain Slip Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Slip Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.41923192 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 0.43109837 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.43565083 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.43616086 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 0.43617877 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 103.0593 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 103.06255 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 103.064 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 103.07205 | Evans | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 103.08472 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Slip Rate misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 11.060272 | 1.0508177 | 103.08472 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.5564057 | 0.45835367 | 8.6793995 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.3393458 | 0.49913782 | 2.7709708 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.1254216 | 0.41923192 | 2.131139 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.3205309 | 0.4631552 | 2.6446838 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.463628 | 0.44861755 | 103.064 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.5446129 | 0.43616086 | 103.07205 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.4482496 | 0.4416009 | 103.0593 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.6859367 | 0.41923192 | 103.08472 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.5179166 | 0.43617877 | 103.06255 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.4339967 | 0.44347513 | 103.04931 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.699258 | 0.43565083 | 103.08472 |
| b=0.25 | 1.5898018 | 0.8681171 | 89.14175 |
| b=0.5 | 1.4287704 | 0.6842499 | 85.302025 |
| b=0.75 | 1.4137176 | 0.54536057 | 80.99268 |
| b=1.0 | 1.447069 | 0.41923192 | 76.26563 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.3534586 | 0.51640207 | 103.036255 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 2.0072389 | 0.7703605 | 103.08472 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.1864727 | 0.41923192 | 103.03313 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 3.7783155 | 0.43565083 | 103.08472 |
| High Segmentation | 1.265841 | 0.46386972 | 7.7491665 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.2519774 | 0.41923192 | 8.072172 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.2562326 | 0.44974378 | 7.689649 |
| None | 1.3087426 | 0.43109837 | 8.6793995 |
Paleoseismic Event Rate, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Paleoseismic Event Rate constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.19299613 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.21496351 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 0.22389825 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.22571243 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.23011298 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 10.622923 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 10.715441 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 10.729372 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 10.74157 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 10.75481 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Paleoseismic Event Rate misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 3.6065922 | 0.4556367 | 10.75481 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.7250053 | 0.23011298 | 4.3697352 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.7692567 | 0.3447527 | 4.6648 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.6209943 | 0.19299613 | 4.2095633 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.7273616 | 0.29084787 | 4.7416673 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.7375852 | 0.23770414 | 9.121423 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.7459495 | 0.2461128 | 9.676011 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.7252599 | 0.22571243 | 8.892742 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.7833403 | 0.23430021 | 10.75481 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.7001982 | 0.19299613 | 9.166598 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.7095526 | 0.22389825 | 8.47998 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.8696351 | 0.24675904 | 10.622923 |
| b=0.25 | 1.7737021 | 0.2562053 | 10.715441 |
| b=0.5 | 1.7133929 | 0.25464532 | 10.729372 |
| b=0.75 | 1.6741388 | 0.2372295 | 10.74157 |
| b=1.0 | 1.6373692 | 0.19299613 | 10.75481 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.0950013 | 0.7370617 | 3.480681 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 3.7489755 | 3.471846 | 10.75481 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.35696596 | 0.19299613 | 0.71518517 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.05806 | 0.24600539 | 10.75481 |
| High Segmentation | 1.7120771 | 0.25745514 | 9.236274 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.6839217 | 0.21496351 | 8.779464 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.6936386 | 0.23909673 | 8.854396 |
| None | 1.6934259 | 0.19299613 | 9.043878 |
Uncertain Parkfield, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Parkfield constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.08405323 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 2 | 0.097623296 | Geologic | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.10035715 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.10193816 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 5 | 0.10346252 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 2.7733707 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 2.7791138 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 2.8208323 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 2.8445978 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 2.851824 | Zeng | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Uncertain Parkfield misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 0.8456958 | 0.30637014 | 2.8445978 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 0.5545716 | 0.097623296 | 1.5389904 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 0.5788402 | 0.124179766 | 2.291914 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.44495448 | 0.08405323 | 1.2746385 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 0.5902955 | 0.10035715 | 2.851824 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 0.58730143 | 0.12241518 | 2.851824 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 0.5626526 | 0.11438276 | 2.5925345 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 0.5594578 | 0.11935392 | 2.659595 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 0.5474177 | 0.109915994 | 2.3681324 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 0.4625966 | 0.08405323 | 2.620664 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 0.51271236 | 0.10193816 | 2.1784413 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 0.90856826 | 0.40735722 | 2.851824 |
| b=0.25 | 0.65862435 | 0.27509263 | 2.8208323 |
| b=0.5 | 0.47781497 | 0.17520595 | 2.7791138 |
| b=0.75 | 0.35967284 | 0.11734356 | 2.7733707 |
| b=1.0 | 0.28876826 | 0.08405323 | 2.7652607 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 0.52421904 | 0.16045064 | 1.758095 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 0.67693144 | 0.22756933 | 2.851824 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 0.41491875 | 0.08405323 | 1.7806177 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 0.8157802 | 0.12160587 | 2.851824 |
| High Segmentation | 0.50931334 | 0.14980698 | 1.3100306 |
| Low Segmentation | 0.49762177 | 0.10346252 | 1.421531 |
| Middle Segmentation | 0.49936652 | 0.11784607 | 1.3850814 |
| None | 0.549834 | 0.08405323 | 1.8059237 |
Uncertain MFD Equality, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain MFD Equality constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.4715995 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.4960057 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.5090356 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.5119882 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.53164804 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 3.9881973 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.25 | OverFit | None |
| 2247 | 3.995033 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | OverFit | None |
| 2248 | 4.0595093 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | None |
| 2249 | 4.294419 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.75 | OverFit | None |
| 2250 | 4.3981156 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | OverFit | None |
Uncertain MFD Equality misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.8378571 | 0.7707185 | 4.3981156 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.1356736 | 0.61026436 | 2.5420036 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.0432131 | 0.56134516 | 2.3711908 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.9519961 | 0.4715995 | 1.7740408 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.0517945 | 0.5431072 | 2.3609488 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.0327945 | 0.5090356 | 3.28104 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.0189238 | 0.4960057 | 3.8638422 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.0100663 | 0.5119882 | 3.1475816 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.0234296 | 0.4715995 | 4.3981156 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.0995948 | 0.53164804 | 3.9881973 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.1554052 | 0.5452255 | 3.1694436 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.5042917 | 1.0876507 | 3.3627656 |
| b=0.25 | 1.1992995 | 0.8356199 | 4.3981156 |
| b=0.5 | 0.9949486 | 0.6809084 | 4.0595093 |
| b=0.75 | 0.8495504 | 0.5549661 | 4.294419 |
| b=1.0 | 0.73542154 | 0.4715995 | 3.995033 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.0583824 | 0.618988 | 2.521807 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.1044499 | 0.601255 | 4.3981156 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.0072747 | 0.4715995 | 2.2986403 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 1.2614293 | 0.4715995 | 3.1475816 |
| High Segmentation | 1.0062761 | 0.56134516 | 2.7277696 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.0427942 | 0.59631026 | 3.6659305 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.0271474 | 0.58121705 | 3.1646676 |
| None | 1.1197354 | 0.6118967 | 4.3981156 |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.3984668 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 0.40103087 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 3 | 0.40464255 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | None |
| 4 | 0.40815756 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 0.4101897 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 103.02389 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 103.02404 | Evans | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 103.02422 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 103.02493 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 103.02504 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 8.010196 | 0.74847054 | 103.02504 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.2756245 | 0.47456086 | 2.8224795 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.0901885 | 0.4101897 | 2.409947 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 0.9654324 | 0.3984668 | 1.6622368 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.0520673 | 0.4116971 | 2.1681018 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.2451894 | 0.41928014 | 103.02404 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.210884 | 0.41411006 | 103.02367 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.2140801 | 0.41598737 | 103.023224 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.2070806 | 0.3984668 | 103.02422 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.1687636 | 0.40103087 | 103.02504 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.3020899 | 0.44489455 | 103.02493 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.7920598 | 0.43877807 | 103.02504 |
| b=0.25 | 1.4505111 | 0.87261564 | 65.69379 |
| b=0.5 | 1.1511234 | 0.66616756 | 58.68659 |
| b=0.75 | 0.94109935 | 0.5042534 | 53.95335 |
| b=1.0 | 0.78861284 | 0.3984668 | 50.594597 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.1937851 | 0.5059746 | 103.02389 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.3716067 | 0.6039092 | 103.02343 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.1086521 | 0.3984668 | 103.02504 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.3778288 | 0.43877807 | 103.02504 |
| High Segmentation | 1.0746051 | 0.4535675 | 3.024334 |
| Low Segmentation | 1.0897598 | 0.3984668 | 3.391168 |
| Middle Segmentation | 1.1053697 | 0.4226535 | 3.2002227 |
| None | 1.1495398 | 0.40103087 | 3.4283478 |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents), Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.0105975E-5 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 2 | 1.0358389E-5 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 1.1044522E-5 | Zeng | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 1.1460766E-5 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 1.1834617E-5 | Shen-Bird | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 2246 | 6.0650444E-4 | Zeng | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2247 | 6.888974E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.25 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2248 | 6.941633E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2249 | 7.1655493E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.75 | OverFit | Classic |
| 2250 | 7.265244E-4 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | Classic |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.6948802E-4 | 4.819728E-5 | 5.14854E-4 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 7.37866E-5 | 1.26544965E-5 | 4.1235398E-4 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.2400624E-4 | 1.3880238E-5 | 7.265244E-4 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 7.9050864E-5 | 1.0105975E-5 | 4.133279E-4 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.0403984E-4 | 1.0358389E-5 | 6.0650444E-4 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.0021791E-4 | 1.2805086E-5 | 5.5080873E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 9.560037E-5 | 1.0358389E-5 | 5.873969E-4 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.05066974E-4 | 1.2960009E-5 | 7.265244E-4 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 9.4774E-5 | 1.26544965E-5 | 4.5528178E-4 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 7.899206E-5 | 1.0105975E-5 | 4.7248128E-4 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 7.1851486E-5 | 1.1942416E-5 | 5.906395E-4 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 9.226708E-5 | 2.6147642E-5 | 4.7475914E-4 |
| b=0.25 | 9.499241E-5 | 2.2479286E-5 | 6.888974E-4 |
| b=0.5 | 9.148799E-5 | 1.6863449E-5 | 6.941633E-4 |
| b=0.75 | 8.8353474E-5 | 1.1834617E-5 | 7.1655493E-4 |
| b=1.0 | 8.831805E-5 | 1.0105975E-5 | 7.265244E-4 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 9.0469606E-5 | 3.0694002E-5 | 4.1037612E-4 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.5131781E-4 | 4.2877255E-5 | 7.265244E-4 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 3.1463976E-5 | 1.0105975E-5 | 2.33405E-4 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 2.0870987E-4 | 2.9377514E-5 | 7.265244E-4 |
| High Segmentation | 8.133234E-5 | 1.0358389E-5 | 3.9944262E-4 |
| Low Segmentation | 7.514473E-5 | 1.1834617E-5 | 3.997152E-4 |
| Middle Segmentation | 7.827189E-5 | 1.0105975E-5 | 3.9993253E-4 |
| None | 7.3025956E-5 | 1.3029867E-5 | 3.744332E-4 |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models, Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 2 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=0.5 | EvenFit | Classic |
| 3 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=0.75 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 4 | 0.0 | Geologic | LogA+4.1 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | Classic |
| 5 | 0.0 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=0.0 | EvenFit | Classic |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 1796 | 8.341977E-8 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 1797 | 9.6677674E-8 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1798 | 1.1542158E-7 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.25 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1799 | 1.2407443E-7 | Evans | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=0.5 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 1800 | 9.069019E-7 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=0.5 | OverFit | Classic |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.0287065E-8 | 0.0 | 9.069019E-7 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 1.2661813E-9 | 0.0 | 2.4479268E-8 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 9.357951E-10 | 1.0438927E-15 | 2.8704896E-8 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 4.270152E-10 | 0.0 | 3.819511E-9 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.4727417E-9 | 0.0 | 3.462914E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.3084775E-9 | 0.0 | 8.155831E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.0631794E-9 | 0.0 | 8.156624E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.2472842E-9 | 0.0 | 1.2407443E-7 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 1.3361585E-9 | 0.0 | 9.069019E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.0345075E-9 | 0.0 | 1.1542158E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.3167982E-9 | 0.0 | 2.9800722E-8 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 1.9827662E-9 | 0.0 | 9.6677674E-8 |
| b=0.25 | 1.2106333E-9 | 0.0 | 1.1542158E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 1.1923249E-9 | 0.0 | 9.069019E-7 |
| b=0.75 | 8.3821333E-10 | 0.0 | 6.9040375E-8 |
| b=1.0 | 8.6473356E-10 | 0.0 | 8.341977E-8 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 9.402112E-10 | 0.0 | 2.8704896E-8 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.9589312E-9 | 0.0 | 9.069019E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 7.540603E-10 | 0.0 | 1.2327371E-8 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | 3.4243546E-9 | 0.0 | 9.069019E-7 |
| High Segmentation | 1.0286455E-9 | 8.840025E-13 | 1.2407443E-7 |
| Low Segmentation | 7.995434E-10 | 0.0 | 8.341977E-8 |
| Middle Segmentation | 9.500768E-10 | 0.0 | 6.9040375E-8 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3], Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 7.693168E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 2 | 9.07247E-10 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 3 | 1.046955E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 4 | 1.0807072E-9 | Geologic | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 5 | 1.0904467E-9 | Evans | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 4.6716346E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
| 447 | 4.6909733E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | MidSeg |
| 448 | 4.7296064E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 449 | 5.506526E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | MidSeg |
| 450 | 6.1414227E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | MidSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.159981E-8 | 7.693168E-10 | 5.9743854E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 7.3514286E-8 | 1.0807072E-9 | 3.1952072E-7 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 1.9377369E-7 | 4.753401E-8 | 6.1414227E-7 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 1.7587112E-8 | 3.314833E-9 | 5.9326503E-8 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 1.2768131E-8 | 1.2417567E-9 | 6.6182494E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 3.845379E-8 | 1.4879752E-9 | 2.8540407E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 5.0178162E-8 | 1.5245086E-9 | 4.001311E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 3.501235E-8 | 1.2417567E-9 | 2.6874145E-7 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 6.8973584E-8 | 1.0904467E-9 | 6.1414227E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 4.0526352E-8 | 7.693168E-10 | 2.9818548E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 3.422346E-8 | 1.0807072E-9 | 2.1623067E-7 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 9.925837E-8 | 4.329048E-9 | 6.1414227E-7 |
| b=0.25 | 6.020277E-8 | 2.9937886E-9 | 4.7296064E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 3.2479427E-8 | 1.5037501E-9 | 3.001929E-7 |
| b=0.75 | 1.9014436E-8 | 9.07247E-10 | 1.7384883E-7 |
| b=1.0 | 1.1851409E-8 | 7.693168E-10 | 1.3006257E-7 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.4908614E-8 | 9.07247E-10 | 6.1414227E-7 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 4.5116888E-8 | 7.693168E-10 | 4.6909733E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 4.365835E-8 | 1.046955E-9 | 5.506526E-7 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | 4.4561283E-8 | 7.693168E-10 | 6.1414227E-7 |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2], Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 1.9625541E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 2 | 2.4322895E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 3 | 3.739622E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
| 4 | 4.698586E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd | b=1.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 5 | 4.8300874E-9 | Evans | WdthLmtd, CSD | b=0.75 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 4.627883E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.25 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 447 | 4.744935E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | HighSeg |
| 448 | 5.0155904E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 449 | 5.3175618E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | HighSeg |
| 450 | 5.7692405E-6 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | HighSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 5.8664504E-8 | 1.9625541E-9 | 2.1477331E-7 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 5.6800826E-7 | 1.0583315E-8 | 2.7322994E-6 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 2.339491E-6 | 6.151514E-7 | 5.7692405E-6 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 2.3662398E-7 | 9.2772964E-8 | 5.9266864E-7 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 8.732675E-8 | 1.5047211E-8 | 3.007497E-7 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 4.182752E-7 | 8.329742E-9 | 3.6821275E-6 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 5.332457E-7 | 2.1223556E-8 | 5.0155904E-6 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 3.9640287E-7 | 6.0256005E-9 | 4.258236E-6 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 6.564401E-7 | 1.7338289E-8 | 5.7692405E-6 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 3.3496082E-7 | 1.9625541E-9 | 3.6313409E-6 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 2.9874903E-7 | 3.739622E-9 | 2.5431668E-6 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 9.457055E-7 | 6.3824324E-8 | 5.7692405E-6 |
| b=0.25 | 5.78665E-7 | 2.896074E-8 | 4.627883E-6 |
| b=0.5 | 3.2515996E-7 | 8.680157E-9 | 3.2462444E-6 |
| b=0.75 | 2.0946283E-7 | 4.8300874E-9 | 2.4006242E-6 |
| b=1.0 | 1.3940151E-7 | 1.9625541E-9 | 1.4278962E-6 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 4.4179868E-7 | 1.9625541E-9 | 5.7692405E-6 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 4.3758905E-7 | 2.4322895E-9 | 5.3175618E-6 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 4.396491E-7 | 4.8300874E-9 | 4.744935E-6 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | 4.3967896E-7 | 1.9625541E-9 | 5.7692405E-6 |
| Low Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4], Standard Deviation Summary
(top)
Sorted branch values: A list of best and worst-fitting branches, sorted by how well they fit the Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] constraint.
| Rank | Value | Deformation Model | Scaling Relationship | Supra-Seismogenic b-value | Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | Segmentation Model |
|---|
| 1 | 2.824433E-12 | Zeng | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 2 | 1.324758E-10 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 3 | 4.0229078E-10 | Zeng | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 4 | 4.3264534E-10 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.2 | b=1.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 5 | 4.6210621E-10 | Shen-Bird | LogA+4.3 | b=1.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 446 | 1.18968984E-7 | Geologic | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 447 | 1.3131898E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | UnderFit | LowSeg |
| 448 | 1.4571475E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | OverFit | LowSeg |
| 449 | 1.4696856E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.2 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
| 450 | 1.7793359E-7 | Pollitz | LogA+4.3 | b=0.0 | EvenFit | LowSeg |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] misfit Standard Deviation for each logic tree branch choice
| Choice | Mean | Min | Max |
|---|
| Deformation Model | | | |
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | 1.1324971E-8 | 4.681144E-10 | 5.952089E-8 |
| NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | 2.6665639E-8 | 4.8305676E-10 | 1.18968984E-7 |
| NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | 5.6680054E-8 | 5.728605E-9 | 1.7793359E-7 |
| NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | 4.6699253E-9 | 1.324758E-10 | 1.7875063E-8 |
| NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model | 5.1626396E-9 | 2.824433E-12 | 2.2276016E-8 |
| Scaling Relationship | | | |
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | 1.2072228E-8 | 4.9477195E-10 | 7.413245E-8 |
| LogA+4.2, From Moment | 1.632362E-8 | 2.824433E-12 | 1.4696856E-7 |
| LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | 1.28123645E-8 | 1.324758E-10 | 9.846203E-8 |
| LogA+4.3, From Moment | 2.2211267E-8 | 4.0229078E-10 | 1.7793359E-7 |
| Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | 1.3987363E-8 | 4.681144E-10 | 1.0099273E-7 |
| Width Limited, From Moment | 1.16355015E-8 | 8.077366E-10 | 1.141842E-7 |
| Supra-Seismogenic b-value | | | |
| b=0.0 | 3.323056E-8 | 3.815898E-9 | 1.7793359E-7 |
| b=0.25 | 1.9112269E-8 | 1.653628E-9 | 1.1868836E-7 |
| b=0.5 | 9.4914085E-9 | 5.4975685E-10 | 8.043687E-8 |
| b=0.75 | 6.7771935E-9 | 4.9477195E-10 | 9.012408E-8 |
| b=1.0 | 5.5905223E-9 | 2.824433E-12 | 7.003732E-8 |
| Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties | | | |
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | 1.5589345E-8 | 2.824433E-12 | 1.7793359E-7 |
| Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | 1.4363812E-8 | 4.681144E-10 | 1.4571475E-7 |
| Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) | 1.4568016E-8 | 1.324758E-10 | 1.3131898E-7 |
| Segmentation Model | | | |
| Classic | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| High Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| Low Segmentation | 1.484039E-8 | 2.824433E-12 | 1.7793359E-7 |
| Middle Segmentation | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
| None | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) |
Constraint Summaries
(top)
Constraint Weights
(top)
| Constraint Name | Average Weight | Range | Weight Distribution |
|---|
| Uncertain Slip Rate | 1.6960868 | [1.1273062, 2.2128532] |  |
| Paleoseismic Event Rate | 10.782386 | [0.05, 53.80151] |  |
| Uncertain Parkfield | 6.7801437 | [0.1, 40.383224] |  |
| Uncertain MFD Equality | 2.9538422 | [1.9365816, 4.089534] |  |
| Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates | 0.91707635 | [0.50350296, 1.4592043] |  |
| Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) | 10000.0 | [10000.0, 10000.0] | (N/A) |
| Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models | 100000.0 | [100000.0, 100000.0] | (N/A) |
| Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] | 100000.0 | [100000.0, 100000.0] | (N/A) |
| Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] | 100000.0 | [100000.0, 100000.0] | (N/A) |
Uncertain Slip Rate Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.5157233 | Average: -0.12712826 | Average: 0.63847965 | Average: 1.5284741 |
| Range: [0.41923192, 103.08472] | Range: [-0.6252677, 7.672749] | Range: [0.09295177, 8.780822] | Range: [0.42093718, 103.360565] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Paleoseismic Event Rate Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.7336476 | Average: -0.228288 | Average: 0.8876852 | Average: 1.7516258 |
| Range: [0.19299613, 10.75481] | Range: [-6.8054857, 0.78617334] | Range: [0.13956724, 7.3838363] | Range: [0.20640858, 12.5343275] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Uncertain Parkfield Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 0.53868973 | Average: -0.53868973 | Average: 0.53868973 | Average: 0.53868973 |
| Range: [0.08405323, 2.851824] | Range: [-2.851824, -0.08405323] | Range: [0.08405323, 2.851824] | Range: [0.08405323, 2.851824] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Uncertain MFD Equality Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.0567024 | Average: -0.028594047 | Average: 0.60424674 | Average: 1.0579745 |
| Range: [0.4715995, 4.3981156] | Range: [-0.5237584, 0.38127372] | Range: [0.22234035, 1.7224144] | Range: [0.470981, 4.396955] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Summary
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| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.2246813 | Average: 0.25787577 | Average: 0.5648887 | Average: 1.2570572 |
| Range: [0.3984668, 103.02504] | Range: [-0.026355736, 7.7143106] | Range: [0.091301955, 8.492587] | Range: [0.4015609, 103.3015] |
 |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |
Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Summary
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| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 9.10838E-5 | Average: -8.087489E-6 | Average: 4.216493E-5 | Average: 9.1425136E-5 |
| Range: [1.0105975E-5, 7.265244E-4] | Range: [-3.4477605E-5, 4.5808087E-5] | Range: [4.6847626E-6, 2.7618953E-4] | Range: [1.0375307E-5, 7.256207E-4] |
 |  |  |  |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Summary
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| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.2177342E-9 | Average: 4.991989E-11 | Average: 4.991989E-11 | Average: 1.2182866E-9 |
| Range: [0.0, 9.069019E-7] | Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Range: [0.0, 9.069286E-7] |
 |  |  |  |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Summary
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| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 4.4561283E-8 | Average: 2.2557238E-9 | Average: 2.2557238E-9 | Average: 4.460216E-8 |
| Range: [7.693168E-10, 6.1414227E-7] | Range: [5.933976E-11, 2.6547516E-8] | Range: [5.933976E-11, 2.6547516E-8] | Range: [7.71843E-10, 6.144526E-7] |
| | | |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Summary
(top)
| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 4.3967896E-7 | Average: 1.8592583E-8 | Average: 1.8592583E-8 | Average: 4.3992821E-7 |
| Range: [1.9625541E-9, 5.7692405E-6] | Range: [1.2431355E-10, 2.0145517E-7] | Range: [1.2431355E-10, 2.0145517E-7] | Range: [1.9657669E-9, 5.77035E-6] |
| | | |
Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Summary
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| Standard Deviation | Mean | Mean Absolute Deviation | RMSE |
|---|
| Average: 1.484039E-8 | Average: 8.3623497E-10 | Average: 8.3623497E-10 | Average: 1.4858737E-8 |
| Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.7793359E-7] | Range: [8.299979E-14, 8.706884E-9] | Range: [8.299979E-14, 8.706884E-9] | Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.7806973E-7] |
| | | |
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(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Deformation Model choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| Evans | Standard Deviation | 5.0721226 |
| Geologic | Standard Deviation | 1.2494562 |
| Pollitz | Standard Deviation | 1.1641688 |
| Shen-Bird | Standard Deviation | 1.0217597 |
| Zeng | Standard Deviation | 1.14841 |
| Evans | Mean | -0.23961212 |
| Geologic | Mean | -0.13031305 |
| Pollitz | Mean | -0.1390484 |
| Shen-Bird | Mean | -0.118778795 |
| Zeng | Mean | -0.14111917 |
| Evans | Mean Absolute Deviation | 1.245579 |
| Geologic | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6603606 |
| Pollitz | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6490772 |
| Shen-Bird | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.57609046 |
| Zeng | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.66849226 |
| Evans | RMSE | 5.1468854 |
| Geologic | RMSE | 1.2619472 |
| Pollitz | RMSE | 1.1744535 |
| Shen-Bird | RMSE | 1.033172 |
| Zeng | RMSE | 1.1598405 |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 11.060272 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5564057 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3393458 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1254216 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3205309 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.0508177, 103.08472] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.45835367, 8.6793995] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.49913782, 2.7709708] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41923192, 2.131139] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4631552, 2.6446838] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.5482937 | Average Mean: -0.17063269 | Average Mean: -0.12193651 | Average Mean: -0.100127354 | Average Mean: -0.16229364 |
| Mean Range: [-0.6252677, 7.672749] | Mean Range: [-0.60922325, 0.13445276] | Mean Range: [-0.49050912, 0.111572795] | Mean Range: [-0.35409972, 0.13148382] | Mean Range: [-0.59669185, 0.03986488] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5470403 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6671481 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.61009777 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5646011 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6393754 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.38549393, 8.780822] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11133612, 1.909492] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12119117, 1.6349022] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09295177, 1.6182656] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11901706, 1.7484704] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 11.097644 | Average RMSE: 1.5726188 | Average RMSE: 1.3479759 | Average RMSE: 1.133631 | Average RMSE: 1.3345008 |
| RMSE Range: [1.058573, 103.360565] | RMSE Range: [0.4607728, 8.679381] | RMSE Range: [0.50088656, 2.7719193] | RMSE Range: [0.42093718, 2.130972] | RMSE Range: [0.46564376, 2.645536] |
 |  |  |  |  |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.6065922 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7250053 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7692567 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6209943 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7273616 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.4556367, 10.75481] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.23011298, 4.3697352] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3447527, 4.6648] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19299613, 4.2095633] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.29084787, 4.7416673] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -1.4446142 | Average Mean: -0.15167852 | Average Mean: -0.20634192 | Average Mean: -0.2674077 | Average Mean: -0.18087964 |
| Mean Range: [-6.8054857, -0.10707142] | Mean Range: [-0.8218487, 0.6827459] | Mean Range: [-1.1842009, 0.7639948] | Mean Range: [-0.9955763, 0.1620545] | Mean Range: [-1.1543189, 0.78617334] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8062154 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.85536915 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.9488329 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8028032 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.9261288 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.34385422, 7.3838363] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1532647, 2.6587555] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.24113482, 3.1669385] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13956724, 2.5203276] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.20730677, 3.0583618] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.8706148 | Average RMSE: 1.7362181 | Average RMSE: 1.7782527 | Average RMSE: 1.639552 | Average RMSE: 1.7371247 |
| RMSE Range: [0.52647644, 12.5343275] | RMSE Range: [0.23031199, 4.378685] | RMSE Range: [0.35616687, 4.730924] | RMSE Range: [0.20640858, 4.245868] | RMSE Range: [0.30447417, 4.8380446] |
 |  |  |  |  |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.8456958 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5545716 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5788402 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.44495448 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5902955 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.30637014, 2.8445978] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.097623296, 1.5389904] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.124179766, 2.291914] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 1.2746385] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.10035715, 2.851824] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.8456958 | Average Mean: -0.5545716 | Average Mean: -0.5788402 | Average Mean: -0.44495448 | Average Mean: -0.5902955 |
| Mean Range: [-2.8445978, -0.30637014] | Mean Range: [-1.5389904, -0.097623296] | Mean Range: [-2.291914, -0.124179766] | Mean Range: [-1.2746385, -0.08405323] | Mean Range: [-2.851824, -0.10035715] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8456958 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5545716 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5788402 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.44495448 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5902955 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30637014, 2.8445978] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.097623296, 1.5389904] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.124179766, 2.291914] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 1.2746385] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10035715, 2.851824] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.8456958 | Average RMSE: 0.5545716 | Average RMSE: 0.5788402 | Average RMSE: 0.44495448 | Average RMSE: 0.5902955 |
| RMSE Range: [0.30637014, 2.8445978] | RMSE Range: [0.097623296, 1.5389904] | RMSE Range: [0.124179766, 2.291914] | RMSE Range: [0.08405323, 1.2746385] | RMSE Range: [0.10035715, 2.851824] |
 |  |  |  |  |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.8378571 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1356736 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0432131 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.9519961 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0517945 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.7707185, 4.3981156] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.61026436, 2.5420036] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.56134516, 2.3711908] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4715995, 1.7740408] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5431072, 2.3609488] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.20477386 | Average Mean: -0.051645767 | Average Mean: -0.037857797 | Average Mean: -0.0065569757 | Average Mean: -0.018574419 |
| Mean Range: [-0.5237584, 0.32658002] | Mean Range: [-0.242854, 0.19195585] | Mean Range: [-0.17854501, 0.32254484] | Mean Range: [-0.11922168, 0.15390138] | Mean Range: [-0.16992094, 0.38127372] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8561618 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.63759464 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.56453353 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5623376 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6132443 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.38473198, 1.7224144] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.29515508, 1.231626] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.30217388, 1.3978199] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22234035, 0.9223854] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.26715347, 1.3307579] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.8547066 | Average RMSE: 1.1377444 | Average RMSE: 1.0445936 | Average RMSE: 0.95211405 | Average RMSE: 1.0525713 |
| RMSE Range: [0.769667, 4.396955] | RMSE Range: [0.6093494, 2.5417283] | RMSE Range: [0.56166494, 2.366743] | RMSE Range: [0.470981, 1.7708273] | RMSE Range: [0.54295313, 2.356503] |
 |  |  |  |  |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 8.010196 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2756245 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0901885 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.9654324 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0520673 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.74847054, 103.02504] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.47456086, 2.8224795] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4101897, 2.409947] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3984668, 1.6622368] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4116971, 2.1681018] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.74872947 | Average Mean: 0.2769633 | Average Mean: 0.24973448 | Average Mean: 0.22515252 | Average Mean: 0.24644738 |
| Mean Range: [0.09170393, 7.7143106] | Mean Range: [-4.5928487E-4, 0.763737] | Mean Range: [0.007441217, 0.8533694] | Mean Range: [0.006865968, 0.64173865] | Mean Range: [-0.026355736, 0.83411396] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.1727817 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.58711946 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54308146 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.505756 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.57341737 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3539337, 8.492587] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.106935896, 1.3200849] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12081741, 1.2018431] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.091301955, 1.2782896] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.106609575, 1.3432949] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 8.065764 | Average RMSE: 1.3085828 | Average RMSE: 1.1226051 | Average RMSE: 0.9956084 | Average RMSE: 1.0847102 |
| RMSE Range: [0.76152945, 103.3015] | RMSE Range: [0.47877464, 2.9068813] | RMSE Range: [0.41595727, 2.5563705] | RMSE Range: [0.4015609, 1.728151] | RMSE Range: [0.41412333, 2.3228362] |
 |  |  |  |  |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.6948802E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.37866E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2400624E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.9050864E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0403984E-4 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [4.819728E-5, 5.14854E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.26544965E-5, 4.1235398E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.3880238E-5, 7.265244E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0105975E-5, 4.133279E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0358389E-5, 6.0650444E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: -1.315975E-5 | Average Mean: -7.360079E-6 | Average Mean: -4.0699915E-6 | Average Mean: -7.792673E-6 | Average Mean: -9.660682E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.4477605E-5, -1.9730946E-6] | Mean Range: [-2.5642763E-5, 5.778916E-6] | Mean Range: [-1.9739526E-5, 4.5808087E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.9143659E-5, 3.2600526E-6] | Mean Range: [-3.142047E-5, 1.9568688E-5] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.480632E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.6460875E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.8357797E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.235275E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.0523362E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.3315977E-5, 2.3428831E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.2424534E-6, 1.9004443E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.013973E-6, 2.7618953E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.197119E-6, 1.2337657E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.6847626E-6, 2.7093771E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.6973849E-4 | Average RMSE: 7.415374E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.2399403E-4 | Average RMSE: 7.9349564E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.044969E-4 |
| RMSE Range: [4.824565E-5, 5.1495316E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.2847215E-5, 4.118573E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.3922834E-5, 7.256207E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0474247E-5, 4.133915E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0375307E-5, 6.05472E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
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Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0287065E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2661813E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.357951E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.270152E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4727417E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.069019E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4479268E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0438927E-15, 2.8704896E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.819511E-9] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 3.462914E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.8212455E-10 | Average Mean: 4.8306324E-11 | Average Mean: 3.961459E-11 | Average Mean: 1.642947E-11 | Average Mean: 7.278486E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] | Mean Range: [1.5354684E-17, 1.8299948E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 4.0204404E-10] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.6124407E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8212455E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.8306324E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.961459E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.642947E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.278486E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.5354684E-17, 1.8299948E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 4.0204404E-10] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.6124407E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.0289206E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.2668881E-9 | Average RMSE: 9.360719E-10 | Average RMSE: 4.272701E-10 | Average RMSE: 1.4734354E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.069286E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 2.4548548E-8] | RMSE Range: [1.0438927E-15, 2.8705356E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 3.8329464E-9] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 3.4643026E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.159981E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.3514286E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9377369E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7587112E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2768131E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [7.693168E-10, 5.9743854E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0807072E-9, 3.1952072E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.753401E-8, 6.1414227E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [3.314833E-9, 5.9326503E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.2417567E-9, 6.6182494E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 6.7502737E-10 | Average Mean: 4.094274E-9 | Average Mean: 7.4961015E-9 | Average Mean: 9.639848E-10 | Average Mean: 8.4233964E-10 |
| Mean Range: [6.6546255E-11, 3.712884E-9] | Mean Range: [6.104902E-11, 1.710582E-8] | Mean Range: [1.7359281E-9, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Range: [1.6058911E-10, 3.7005259E-9] | Mean Range: [5.933976E-11, 4.0395283E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.7502737E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.094274E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.4961015E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.639848E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.4233964E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.6546255E-11, 3.712884E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.104902E-11, 1.710582E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.7359281E-9, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6058911E-10, 3.7005259E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.933976E-11, 4.0395283E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.1614769E-8 | Average RMSE: 7.359815E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.9383697E-7 | Average RMSE: 1.7607082E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.27909985E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [7.71843E-10, 5.979417E-8] | RMSE Range: [1.0819674E-9, 3.1983313E-7] | RMSE Range: [4.7559777E-8, 6.144526E-7] | RMSE Range: [3.3173007E-9, 5.9416408E-8] | RMSE Range: [1.2426418E-9, 6.6252085E-8] |
| | | | |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 5.8664504E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.6800826E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.339491E-6 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.3662398E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.732675E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.9625541E-9, 2.1477331E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0583315E-8, 2.7322994E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [6.151514E-7, 5.7692405E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [9.2772964E-8, 5.9266864E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.5047211E-8, 3.007497E-7] |
| | | | |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 3.5679848E-9 | Average Mean: 2.6325676E-8 | Average Mean: 7.5138914E-8 | Average Mean: 1.0644786E-8 | Average Mean: 7.0597E-9 |
| Mean Range: [1.2431355E-10, 1.5809773E-8] | Mean Range: [6.8195016E-10, 1.2219236E-7] | Mean Range: [1.8684354E-8, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Range: [3.0897191E-9, 3.2854306E-8] | Mean Range: [8.2966095E-10, 2.5292442E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.5679848E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.6325676E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.5138914E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.0644786E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.0597E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2431355E-10, 1.5809773E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.8195016E-10, 1.2219236E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.8684354E-8, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.0897191E-9, 3.2854306E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.2966095E-10, 2.5292442E-8] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 5.875E-8 | Average RMSE: 5.68394E-7 | Average RMSE: 2.3397258E-6 | Average RMSE: 2.3677151E-7 | Average RMSE: 8.758063E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [1.9657669E-9, 2.1509192E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.0602941E-8, 2.7338908E-6] | RMSE Range: [6.151784E-7, 5.77035E-6] | RMSE Range: [9.278569E-8, 5.9333155E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.5074916E-8, 3.016862E-7] |
| | | | |
(top)
Standard Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.1324971E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.6665639E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.6680054E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.6699253E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.1626396E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [4.681144E-10, 5.952089E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8305676E-10, 1.18968984E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [5.728605E-9, 1.7793359E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.324758E-10, 1.7875063E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.824433E-12, 2.2276016E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean: 5.3798643E-10 | Average Mean: 1.6397727E-9 | Average Mean: 2.5833369E-9 | Average Mean: 3.0278507E-10 | Average Mean: 2.986756E-10 |
| Mean Range: [3.388634E-11, 2.189939E-9] | Mean Range: [1.7161259E-11, 7.133846E-9] | Mean Range: [3.2742242E-10, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Range: [5.493283E-12, 1.3674443E-9] | Mean Range: [8.299979E-14, 1.4425735E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.3798643E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.6397727E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.5833369E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.0278507E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.986756E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.388634E-11, 2.189939E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.7161259E-11, 7.133846E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.2742242E-10, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.493283E-12, 1.3674443E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.299979E-14, 1.4425735E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| NSHM23 Evans Deformation Model | NSHM23 Geologic Deformation Model | NSHM23 Pollitz Deformation Model | NSHM23 Shen-Bird Deformation Model | NSHM23 Zeng Deformation Model |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.1333202E-8 | Average RMSE: 2.670562E-8 | Average RMSE: 5.6716985E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.6783146E-9 | Average RMSE: 5.169352E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [4.691266E-10, 5.9534074E-8] | RMSE Range: [4.83153E-10, 1.1908975E-7] | RMSE Range: [5.7354845E-9, 1.7806973E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.3253248E-10, 1.7904583E-8] | RMSE Range: [2.824433E-12, 2.2313078E-8] |
| | | | |
Scaling Relationship
(top)
Scaling Relationship Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Scaling Relationship choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| LogA+4.1 | Standard Deviation | 1.2132998 |
| LogA+4.2 | Standard Deviation | 1.2166046 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | Standard Deviation | 1.1914227 |
| LogA+4.3 | Standard Deviation | 1.249441 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | Standard Deviation | 1.189814 |
| WdthLmtd | Standard Deviation | 1.2227514 |
| LogA+4.1 | Mean | -0.12227414 |
| LogA+4.2 | Mean | -0.1470061 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | Mean | -0.12361885 |
| LogA+4.3 | Mean | -0.16950871 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | Mean | -0.117647186 |
| WdthLmtd | Mean | -0.11773416 |
| LogA+4.1 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6653687 |
| LogA+4.2 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.65121627 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6445889 |
| LogA+4.3 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6521547 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.60932004 |
| WdthLmtd | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.65813935 |
| LogA+4.1 | RMSE | 1.2239739 |
| LogA+4.2 | RMSE | 1.2303007 |
| LogA+4.2, SqrtLen | RMSE | 1.2017488 |
| LogA+4.3 | RMSE | 1.2729298 |
| WdthLmtd, CSD | RMSE | 1.1975043 |
| WdthLmtd | RMSE | 1.234128 |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.463628 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5446129 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4482496 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6859367 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5179166 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4339967 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.44861755, 103.064] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.43616086, 103.07205] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4416009, 103.0593] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41923192, 103.08472] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.43617877, 103.06255] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.44347513, 103.04931] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.16201676 | Average Mean: -0.12596127 | Average Mean: -0.14079109 | Average Mean: -0.09512023 | Average Mean: -0.09180813 | Average Mean: -0.1470721 |
| Mean Range: [-0.62189955, 7.5731254] | Mean Range: [-0.6252677, 7.6227765] | Mean Range: [-0.62181896, 7.581956] | Mean Range: [-0.6132975, 7.672749] | Mean Range: [-0.47961584, 7.623782] | Mean Range: [-0.57378286, 7.5732756] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.65709364 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6441541 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6392617 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6387182 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59482235 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.65682775 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10114072, 8.648135] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09665978, 8.651686] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09809688, 8.634547] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09389992, 8.67087] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09295177, 8.568084] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.097948305, 8.780822] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.4801573 | Average RMSE: 1.5571479 | Average RMSE: 1.4621209 | Average RMSE: 1.6962175 | Average RMSE: 1.5265315 | Average RMSE: 1.4486692 |
| RMSE Range: [0.44933808, 103.332565] | RMSE Range: [0.43820098, 103.344246] | RMSE Range: [0.44219846, 103.32853] | RMSE Range: [0.42093718, 103.360565] | RMSE Range: [0.4363371, 103.33485] | RMSE Range: [0.44391233, 103.31792] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7375852 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7459495 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7252599 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7833403 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7001982 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7095526 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.23770414, 9.121423] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.2461128, 9.676011] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22571243, 8.892742] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.23430021, 10.75481] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19299613, 9.166598] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22389825, 8.47998] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.09676733 | Average Mean: -0.28327093 | Average Mean: -0.14445353 | Average Mean: -0.45583498 | Average Mean: -0.20372361 | Average Mean: -0.18567763 |
| Mean Range: [-3.809017, 0.78617334] | Mean Range: [-5.358612, 0.23153667] | Mean Range: [-3.85906, 0.56888884] | Mean Range: [-6.8054857, -0.031277265] | Mean Range: [-4.417962, 0.2970089] | Mean Range: [-3.345654, 0.48646104] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.90275055 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.89928156 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8824544 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.93818796 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8431501 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8602865 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17352429, 5.5943627] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1749752, 6.214867] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17062868, 5.3504496] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16119915, 7.3838363] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13956724, 5.6697073] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17198999, 4.687634] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.7389367 | Average RMSE: 1.7658348 | Average RMSE: 1.7288766 | Average RMSE: 1.8520986 | Average RMSE: 1.7062966 | Average RMSE: 1.7177112 |
| RMSE Range: [0.24242374, 9.789594] | RMSE Range: [0.27045682, 10.933794] | RMSE Range: [0.2360382, 9.596818] | RMSE Range: [0.24575715, 12.5343275] | RMSE Range: [0.20640858, 10.093594] | RMSE Range: [0.24279308, 9.025594] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.58730143 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5626526 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5594578 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.5474177 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.4625966 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.51271236 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.12241518, 2.851824] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11438276, 2.5925345] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11935392, 2.659595] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.109915994, 2.3681324] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 2.620664] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.10193816, 2.1784413] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.58730143 | Average Mean: -0.5626526 | Average Mean: -0.5594578 | Average Mean: -0.5474177 | Average Mean: -0.4625966 | Average Mean: -0.51271236 |
| Mean Range: [-2.851824, -0.12241518] | Mean Range: [-2.5925345, -0.11438276] | Mean Range: [-2.659595, -0.11935392] | Mean Range: [-2.3681324, -0.109915994] | Mean Range: [-2.620664, -0.08405323] | Mean Range: [-2.1784413, -0.10193816] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.58730143 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5626526 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5594578 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5474177 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4625966 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.51271236 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12241518, 2.851824] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11438276, 2.5925345] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11935392, 2.659595] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.109915994, 2.3681324] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 2.620664] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10193816, 2.1784413] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.58730143 | Average RMSE: 0.5626526 | Average RMSE: 0.5594578 | Average RMSE: 0.5474177 | Average RMSE: 0.4625966 | Average RMSE: 0.51271236 |
| RMSE Range: [0.12241518, 2.851824] | RMSE Range: [0.11438276, 2.5925345] | RMSE Range: [0.11935392, 2.659595] | RMSE Range: [0.109915994, 2.3681324] | RMSE Range: [0.08405323, 2.620664] | RMSE Range: [0.10193816, 2.1784413] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0327945 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0189238 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0100663 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0234296 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0995948 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1554052 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.5090356, 3.28104] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4960057, 3.8638422] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5119882, 3.1475816] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4715995, 4.3981156] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.53164804, 3.9881973] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5452255, 3.1694436] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.032993138 | Average Mean: -0.029805252 | Average Mean: -0.032433953 | Average Mean: -0.025509594 | Average Mean: -0.03817084 | Average Mean: -0.012651502 |
| Mean Range: [-0.51046145, 0.38127372] | Mean Range: [-0.51350695, 0.25751963] | Mean Range: [-0.51990396, 0.30898333] | Mean Range: [-0.5127424, 0.22595327] | Mean Range: [-0.5237584, 0.19195585] | Mean Range: [-0.50016046, 0.2321535] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59448653 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5834198 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5796066 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5789609 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.61903125 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.66997534 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.24688156, 1.7224144] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.23222029, 1.6041272] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2404539, 1.671878] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22234035, 1.6629798] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2541572, 1.5479987] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2748423, 1.5060618] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.0343899 | Average RMSE: 1.0201803 | Average RMSE: 1.0114565 | Average RMSE: 1.0245818 | Average RMSE: 1.1009828 | Average RMSE: 1.1562555 |
| RMSE Range: [0.508299, 3.2794821] | RMSE Range: [0.4952685, 3.8647132] | RMSE Range: [0.51123303, 3.1445363] | RMSE Range: [0.470981, 4.396955] | RMSE Range: [0.53122944, 3.9894059] | RMSE Range: [0.54503196, 3.168091] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2451894 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.210884 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2140801 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2070806 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1687636 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3020899 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.41928014, 103.02404] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41411006, 103.02367] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41598737, 103.023224] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3984668, 103.02422] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.40103087, 103.02504] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.44489455, 103.02493] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.26770797 | Average Mean: 0.2666596 | Average Mean: 0.25904208 | Average Mean: 0.2763389 | Average Mean: 0.20806323 | Average Mean: 0.26944286 |
| Mean Range: [0.005283882, 7.691781] | Mean Range: [-0.011868462, 7.699896] | Mean Range: [-0.026355736, 7.695758] | Mean Range: [0.0084262015, 7.7143106] | Mean Range: [0.0034862577, 7.6761103] | Mean Range: [-0.013793132, 7.6547627] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5852113 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5665732 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.56216407 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5574888 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.527 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5908949 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09891261, 8.489661] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09526998, 8.482331] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09533751, 8.47336] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0916372, 8.492587] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.091301955, 8.477484] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09641473, 8.447851] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2790841 | Average RMSE: 1.2456878 | Average RMSE: 1.2468321 | Average RMSE: 1.244333 | Average RMSE: 1.1911141 | Average RMSE: 1.335292 |
| RMSE Range: [0.42365044, 103.29885] | RMSE Range: [0.41712597, 103.299385] | RMSE Range: [0.41885486, 103.29844] | RMSE Range: [0.40465355, 103.3015] | RMSE Range: [0.4015609, 103.299706] | RMSE Range: [0.44578838, 103.296524] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0021791E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.560037E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.05066974E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.4774E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.899206E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.1851486E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.2805086E-5, 5.5080873E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0358389E-5, 5.873969E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.2960009E-5, 7.265244E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.26544965E-5, 4.5528178E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0105975E-5, 4.7248128E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1942416E-5, 5.906395E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: -8.442598E-6 | Average Mean: -8.465747E-6 | Average Mean: -8.101979E-6 | Average Mean: -9.662581E-6 | Average Mean: -7.809056E-6 | Average Mean: -6.0429697E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.0190653E-5, 2.692332E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.9143659E-5, 1.35211185E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.4477605E-5, 2.351285E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.4186887E-5, 4.6120526E-6] | Mean Range: [-3.188072E-5, 1.8753477E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.3424971E-5, 4.5808087E-5] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9739665E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.4621593E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9865248E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.0629573E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.5920068E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.221345E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.628657E-6, 2.4152394E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.6847626E-6, 2.3249816E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.7043653E-6, 2.7618953E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.2424534E-6, 1.8012093E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.615913E-6, 1.7070252E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.548265E-6, 1.796501E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.0053769E-4 | Average RMSE: 9.59259E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.05339626E-4 | Average RMSE: 9.517895E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.93806E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.218804E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [1.311592E-5, 5.5049354E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0375307E-5, 5.865137E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.3140629E-5, 7.256207E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.2847215E-5, 4.5447898E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0474247E-5, 4.7201844E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.2003422E-5, 5.913648E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.3084775E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0631794E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2472842E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3361585E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0345075E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3167982E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.155831E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.156624E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.2407443E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.069019E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.1542158E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.9800722E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 5.047804E-11 | Average Mean: 4.002987E-11 | Average Mean: 4.9131667E-11 | Average Mean: 5.6709977E-11 | Average Mean: 3.9568807E-11 | Average Mean: 6.360098E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4077955E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.6124407E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.3294924E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.2865063E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.047804E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.002987E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.9131667E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.6709977E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.9568807E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.360098E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4077955E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.6124407E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.3294924E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.2865063E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.3088806E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.0636756E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.2477525E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.3366425E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.0349795E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.3177888E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.156344E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.157222E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.2408229E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.069286E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.1543174E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 2.980411E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |  |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.845379E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.0178162E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.501235E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.8973584E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.0526352E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.422346E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.4879752E-9, 2.8540407E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.5245086E-9, 4.001311E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.2417567E-9, 2.6874145E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0904467E-9, 6.1414227E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [7.693168E-10, 2.9818548E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0807072E-9, 2.1623067E-7] |
| | | | | |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.886943E-9 | Average Mean: 2.5284008E-9 | Average Mean: 1.7729516E-9 | Average Mean: 3.466935E-9 | Average Mean: 2.1378466E-9 | Average Mean: 1.7412654E-9 |
| Mean Range: [7.9288326E-11, 1.1110833E-8] | Mean Range: [6.76253E-11, 1.6582966E-8] | Mean Range: [5.933976E-11, 1.0619902E-8] | Mean Range: [6.8814426E-11, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Range: [6.6546255E-11, 1.3777175E-8] | Mean Range: [6.104902E-11, 9.177649E-9] |
| | | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.886943E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.5284008E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.7729516E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.466935E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.1378466E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.7412654E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.9288326E-11, 1.1110833E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.76253E-11, 1.6582966E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.933976E-11, 1.0619902E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.8814426E-11, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.6546255E-11, 1.3777175E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.104902E-11, 9.177649E-9] |
| | | | | |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.8486093E-8 | Average RMSE: 5.0223473E-8 | Average RMSE: 3.504494E-8 | Average RMSE: 6.903511E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.0568153E-8 | Average RMSE: 3.425518E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [1.4896776E-9, 2.85492E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.5283089E-9, 4.0030312E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.2426418E-9, 2.688233E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.0921237E-9, 6.144526E-7] | RMSE Range: [7.71843E-10, 2.9837582E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.0819674E-9, 2.163141E-7] |
| | | | | |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.182752E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.332457E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.9640287E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.564401E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.3496082E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.9874903E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [8.329742E-9, 3.6821275E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.1223556E-8, 5.0155904E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [6.0256005E-9, 4.258236E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.7338289E-8, 5.7692405E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.9625541E-9, 3.6313409E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [3.739622E-9, 2.5431668E-6] |
| | | | | |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.6784858E-8 | Average Mean: 2.2072399E-8 | Average Mean: 1.5942575E-8 | Average Mean: 2.8106092E-8 | Average Mean: 1.5701216E-8 | Average Mean: 1.2948363E-8 |
| Mean Range: [3.2827363E-10, 1.2566603E-7] | Mean Range: [8.7269586E-10, 1.6954958E-7] | Mean Range: [2.0691925E-10, 1.4210116E-7] | Mean Range: [7.5196893E-10, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Range: [1.2431355E-10, 1.3086783E-7] | Mean Range: [2.391663E-10, 8.15198E-8] |
| | | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.6784858E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2072399E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5942575E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.8106092E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.5701216E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.2948363E-8 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.2827363E-10, 1.2566603E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.7269586E-10, 1.6954958E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.0691925E-10, 1.4210116E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [7.5196893E-10, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2431355E-10, 1.3086783E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.391663E-10, 8.15198E-8] |
| | | | | |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.184643E-7 | Average RMSE: 5.335191E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.9658363E-7 | Average RMSE: 6.568178E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.352448E-7 | Average RMSE: 2.989396E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [8.332551E-9, 3.6827353E-6] | RMSE Range: [2.123742E-8, 5.0163626E-6] | RMSE Range: [6.026506E-9, 4.25883E-6] | RMSE Range: [1.7346977E-8, 5.77035E-6] | RMSE Range: [1.9657669E-9, 3.6321833E-6] | RMSE Range: [3.745622E-9, 2.543411E-6] |
| | | | | |
Scaling Relationship, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2072228E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.632362E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.28123645E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.2211267E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3987363E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.16355015E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [4.9477195E-10, 7.413245E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.4696856E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.324758E-10, 9.846203E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.0229078E-10, 1.7793359E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.681144E-10, 1.0099273E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [8.077366E-10, 1.141842E-7] |
| | | | | |
Mean
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean: 6.695841E-10 | Average Mean: 9.016821E-10 | Average Mean: 7.136009E-10 | Average Mean: 1.2197641E-9 | Average Mean: 8.0328105E-10 | Average Mean: 7.094976E-10 |
| Mean Range: [1.8361807E-11, 4.632302E-9] | Mean Range: [8.299979E-14, 6.7231976E-9] | Mean Range: [5.493283E-12, 5.919978E-9] | Mean Range: [1.9871322E-11, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Range: [2.8230208E-11, 4.983076E-9] | Mean Range: [4.024423E-11, 5.322521E-9] |
| | | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.695841E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 9.016821E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.136009E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.2197641E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.0328105E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.094976E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.8361807E-11, 4.632302E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.299979E-14, 6.7231976E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.493283E-12, 5.919978E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.9871322E-11, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8230208E-11, 4.983076E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.024423E-11, 5.322521E-9] |
| | | | | |
RMSE
| LogA+4.1, From Moment | LogA+4.2, From Moment | LogA+4.2, Sqrt Length | LogA+4.3, From Moment | Width Limited, Constant Stress Drop | Width Limited, From Moment |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2086638E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.6342481E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.2827438E-8 | Average RMSE: 2.223644E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.40054075E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.1654019E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [4.949075E-10, 7.413981E-8] | RMSE Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.4704558E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.3253248E-10, 9.859739E-8] | RMSE Range: [4.0260775E-10, 1.7806973E-7] | RMSE Range: [4.691266E-10, 1.01057736E-7] | RMSE Range: [8.08776E-10, 1.14248564E-7] |
| | | | | |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value
(top)
Supra-Seismogenic b-value Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Supra-Seismogenic b-value choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| b=0.0 | Standard Deviation | 1.5547626 |
| b=0.25 | Standard Deviation | 1.3343878 |
| b=0.5 | Standard Deviation | 1.15321 |
| b=0.75 | Standard Deviation | 1.0476358 |
| b=1.0 | Standard Deviation | 0.97944814 |
| b=0.0 | Mean | -0.21593969 |
| b=0.25 | Mean | -0.1577778 |
| b=0.5 | Mean | -0.11868954 |
| b=0.75 | Mean | -0.09308758 |
| b=1.0 | Mean | -0.07932966 |
| b=0.0 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.8973253 |
| b=0.25 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.7607587 |
| b=0.5 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.61683047 |
| b=0.75 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.5147373 |
| b=1.0 | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.44433823 |
| b=0.0 | RMSE | 1.5825002 |
| b=0.25 | RMSE | 1.3515054 |
| b=0.5 | RMSE | 1.1631875 |
| b=0.75 | RMSE | 1.0535363 |
| b=1.0 | RMSE | 0.9830918 |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.699258 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5898018 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4287704 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4137176 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.447069 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.43565083, 103.08472] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.8681171, 89.14175] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.6842499, 85.302025] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.54536057, 80.99268] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41923192, 76.26563] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.28393763 | Average Mean: -0.17811404 | Average Mean: -0.10369484 | Average Mean: -0.0514932 | Average Mean: -0.018401612 |
| Mean Range: [-0.6252677, 7.672749] | Mean Range: [-0.46301708, 7.385359] | Mean Range: [-0.33052215, 6.9650254] | Mean Range: [-0.23210739, 6.5027323] | Mean Range: [-0.16255139, 6.002742] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.826684 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.77658 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6257754 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5180301 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.44532865 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09295177, 8.591505] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.44437593, 8.780822] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.31388873, 8.337732] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2184047, 7.843973] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16906978, 7.311454] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.7316194 | Average RMSE: 1.6067764 | Average RMSE: 1.4370413 | Average RMSE: 1.4176487 | Average RMSE: 1.4492844 |
| RMSE Range: [0.43603635, 103.360565] | RMSE Range: [0.8764146, 89.439125] | RMSE Range: [0.6884288, 85.57821] | RMSE Range: [0.5472346, 81.24601] | RMSE Range: [0.42093718, 76.49463] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.8696351 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7737021 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7133929 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6741388 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6373692 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.24675904, 10.622923] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.2562053, 10.715441] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.25464532, 10.729372] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.2372295, 10.74157] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19299613, 10.75481] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.27469173 | Average Mean: -0.25238973 | Average Mean: -0.22598273 | Average Mean: -0.20241867 | Average Mean: -0.18595715 |
| Mean Range: [-6.8054857, 0.78617334] | Mean Range: [-6.5625653, 0.6023323] | Mean Range: [-6.5253534, 0.56061167] | Mean Range: [-6.4907107, 0.5381591] | Mean Range: [-6.4574165, 0.51923203] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.078421 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.95121145 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8605566 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.79746944 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7507674 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17333227, 7.3838363] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17172162, 7.1896443] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17058967, 7.149216] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16600043, 7.1127963] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13956724, 7.0809865] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.9003893 | Average RMSE: 1.7967113 | Average RMSE: 1.7295593 | Average RMSE: 1.6856314 | Average RMSE: 1.6458374 |
| RMSE Range: [0.25491375, 12.5343275] | RMSE Range: [0.2611497, 12.481998] | RMSE Range: [0.25765997, 12.474237] | RMSE Range: [0.2358227, 12.466468] | RMSE Range: [0.20640858, 12.460383] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.90856826 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.65862435 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.47781497 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.35967284 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.28876826 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.40735722, 2.851824] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.27509263, 2.8208323] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.17520595, 2.7791138] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11734356, 2.7733707] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 2.7652607] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.90856826 | Average Mean: -0.65862435 | Average Mean: -0.47781497 | Average Mean: -0.35967284 | Average Mean: -0.28876826 |
| Mean Range: [-2.851824, -0.40735722] | Mean Range: [-2.8208323, -0.27509263] | Mean Range: [-2.7791138, -0.17520595] | Mean Range: [-2.7733707, -0.11734356] | Mean Range: [-2.7652607, -0.08405323] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.90856826 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.65862435 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.47781497 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.35967284 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.28876826 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.40735722, 2.851824] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.27509263, 2.8208323] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17520595, 2.7791138] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11734356, 2.7733707] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 2.7652607] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.90856826 | Average RMSE: 0.65862435 | Average RMSE: 0.47781497 | Average RMSE: 0.35967284 | Average RMSE: 0.28876826 |
| RMSE Range: [0.40735722, 2.851824] | RMSE Range: [0.27509263, 2.8208323] | RMSE Range: [0.17520595, 2.7791138] | RMSE Range: [0.11734356, 2.7733707] | RMSE Range: [0.08405323, 2.7652607] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.5042917 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1992995 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.9949486 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.8495504 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.73542154 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.0876507, 3.3627656] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.8356199, 4.3981156] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.6809084, 4.0595093] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5549661, 4.294419] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4715995, 3.995033] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.09794171 | Average Mean: -0.03301242 | Average Mean: -0.007989252 | Average Mean: -0.0010835244 | Average Mean: -0.002943329 |
| Mean Range: [-0.5237584, 0.38127372] | Mean Range: [-0.38079688, 0.32658002] | Mean Range: [-0.2854339, 0.3042729] | Mean Range: [-0.20730431, 0.22989853] | Mean Range: [-0.15744844, 0.22595327] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.84914434 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6983216 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.57921845 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.48493594 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4096134 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.50169134, 1.7224144] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.39121425, 1.4731512] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.32015824, 1.3323338] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.2665781, 1.1737862] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22234035, 1.0052409] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.5087922 | Average RMSE: 1.2007079 | Average RMSE: 0.9954267 | Average RMSE: 0.84960955 | Average RMSE: 0.73533577 |
| RMSE Range: [1.0858291, 3.375657] | RMSE Range: [0.8356883, 4.396955] | RMSE Range: [0.679831, 4.0577955] | RMSE Range: [0.55410755, 4.29438] | RMSE Range: [0.470981, 3.9946363] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.7920598 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4505111 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1511234 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.94109935 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.78861284 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.43877807, 103.02504] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.87261564, 65.69379] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.66616756, 58.68659] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.5042534, 53.95335] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3984668, 50.594597] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.48544088 | Average Mean: 0.33325148 | Average Mean: 0.22203414 | Average Mean: 0.14923033 | Average Mean: 0.09942203 |
| Mean Range: [0.023945795, 7.7143106] | Mean Range: [0.016198078, 3.8939328] | Mean Range: [0.012491619, 3.1430917] | Mean Range: [0.0040809056, 2.577431] | Mean Range: [-0.026355736, 2.148338] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8238089 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.71905607 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.54078704 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.4135781 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.3272134 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.091301955, 8.492587] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.4433059, 4.832797] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.31242946, 3.9457304] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.21453232, 3.2640982] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16317786, 2.7569277] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.8631318 | Average RMSE: 1.494707 | Average RMSE: 1.1760952 | Average RMSE: 0.95511895 | Average RMSE: 0.7962328 |
| RMSE Range: [0.4393917, 103.3015] | RMSE Range: [0.8967353, 65.80207] | RMSE Range: [0.6752985, 58.76363] | RMSE Range: [0.50675166, 54.008503] | RMSE Range: [0.4015609, 50.63452] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.226708E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.499241E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.148799E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.8353474E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.831805E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.6147642E-5, 4.7475914E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.2479286E-5, 6.888974E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.6863449E-5, 6.941633E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1834617E-5, 7.1655493E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0105975E-5, 7.265244E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: -9.145511E-6 | Average Mean: -8.391937E-6 | Average Mean: -7.945838E-6 | Average Mean: -7.635952E-6 | Average Mean: -7.3182046E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.4477605E-5, 3.5379903E-6] | Mean Range: [-3.3338114E-5, 2.8894121E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.0363548E-5, 3.7827358E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.3445678E-5, 4.5808087E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.2231066E-5, 4.571708E-5] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3310694E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.526136E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.3110507E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.019314E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.894896E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2981371E-5, 2.2416696E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [9.172331E-6, 2.6682415E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.782769E-6, 2.655204E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.6426106E-6, 2.678031E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.6847626E-6, 2.7618953E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.2637776E-5 | Average RMSE: 9.532947E-5 | Average RMSE: 9.1824324E-5 | Average RMSE: 8.8696266E-5 | Average RMSE: 8.8637826E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [2.6612512E-5, 4.7441584E-4] | RMSE Range: [2.2842325E-5, 6.8799587E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.7081498E-5, 6.932359E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.193662E-5, 7.1558345E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0375307E-5, 7.256207E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.9827662E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2106333E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1923249E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.3821333E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.6473356E-10 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.6677674E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.1542158E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.069019E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 6.9040375E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.341977E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 7.872845E-11 | Average Mean: 4.965895E-11 | Average Mean: 4.867879E-11 | Average Mean: 3.6379975E-11 | Average Mean: 3.6153282E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 1.944942E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.2865063E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 2.6124407E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.872845E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.965895E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.867879E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.6379975E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.6153282E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.944942E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.2865063E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.6124407E-9] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.9838988E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.2112616E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.192636E-9 | Average RMSE: 8.385393E-10 | Average RMSE: 8.6509716E-10 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.668029E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.1543174E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.069286E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 6.904139E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.342174E-8] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.925837E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.020277E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.2479427E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9014436E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1851409E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [4.329048E-9, 6.1414227E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.9937886E-9, 4.7296064E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.5037501E-9, 3.001929E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [9.07247E-10, 1.7384883E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [7.693168E-10, 1.3006257E-7] |
| | | | |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 5.2653752E-9 | Average Mean: 3.1351615E-9 | Average Mean: 1.558603E-9 | Average Mean: 8.395871E-10 | Average Mean: 4.798919E-10 |
| Mean Range: [3.520698E-10, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Range: [2.636223E-10, 1.7618792E-8] | Mean Range: [1.0583182E-10, 1.0995404E-8] | Mean Range: [5.933976E-11, 5.9918683E-9] | Mean Range: [6.104902E-11, 4.2317163E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.2653752E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.1351615E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.558603E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.395871E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.798919E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.520698E-10, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.636223E-10, 1.7618792E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.0583182E-10, 1.0995404E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.933976E-11, 5.9918683E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.104902E-11, 4.2317163E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.9360285E-8 | Average RMSE: 6.0262956E-8 | Average RMSE: 3.2505113E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.9025888E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.18565495E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [4.34149E-9, 6.144526E-7] | RMSE Range: [3.0040244E-9, 4.7308598E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.5067914E-9, 3.0025333E-7] | RMSE Range: [9.09282E-10, 1.7386753E-7] | RMSE Range: [7.71843E-10, 1.3007565E-7] |
| | | | |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.457055E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.78665E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.2515996E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.0946283E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3940151E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [6.3824324E-8, 5.7692405E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.896074E-8, 4.627883E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [8.680157E-9, 3.2462444E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8300874E-9, 2.4006242E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.9625541E-9, 1.4278962E-6] |
| | | | |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 4.2740616E-8 | Average Mean: 2.4259208E-8 | Average Mean: 1.312711E-8 | Average Mean: 7.894837E-9 | Average Mean: 4.941149E-9 |
| Mean Range: [3.9081782E-9, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Range: [1.8938124E-9, 1.5298457E-7] | Mean Range: [5.084019E-10, 1.01501605E-7] | Mean Range: [3.3412897E-10, 7.192624E-8] | Mean Range: [1.2431355E-10, 4.2512557E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.2740616E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.4259208E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.312711E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.894837E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.941149E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.9081782E-9, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.8938124E-9, 1.5298457E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.084019E-10, 1.01501605E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.3412897E-10, 7.192624E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2431355E-10, 4.2512557E-8] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.463647E-7 | Average RMSE: 5.7897836E-7 | Average RMSE: 3.253181E-7 | Average RMSE: 2.095415E-7 | Average RMSE: 1.3943834E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [6.391587E-8, 5.77035E-6] | RMSE Range: [2.9009893E-8, 4.62848E-6] | RMSE Range: [8.6912255E-9, 3.2464764E-6] | RMSE Range: [4.8395132E-9, 2.4006997E-6] | RMSE Range: [1.9657669E-9, 1.4279332E-6] |
| | | | |
Supra-Seismogenic b-value, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.323056E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9112269E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.4914085E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 6.7771935E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 5.5905223E-9 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [3.815898E-9, 1.7793359E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.653628E-9, 1.1868836E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [5.4975685E-10, 8.043687E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.9477195E-10, 9.012408E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.824433E-12, 7.003732E-8] |
| | | | |
Mean
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.0408106E-9 | Average Mean: 1.1086639E-9 | Average Mean: 5.213134E-10 | Average Mean: 2.9767994E-10 | Average Mean: 2.1270706E-10 |
| Mean Range: [2.8074348E-10, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Range: [1.14515425E-10, 5.890941E-9] | Mean Range: [2.1219566E-11, 3.8130854E-9] | Mean Range: [1.8589321E-11, 3.3190468E-9] | Mean Range: [8.299979E-14, 2.669616E-9] |
| | | | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.0408106E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.1086639E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 5.213134E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.9767994E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.1270706E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.8074348E-10, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.14515425E-10, 5.890941E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.1219566E-11, 3.8130854E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.8589321E-11, 3.3190468E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.299979E-14, 2.669616E-9] |
| | | | |
RMSE
| b=0.0 | b=0.25 | b=0.5 | b=0.75 | b=1.0 |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.328093E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.9137193E-8 | Average RMSE: 9.50217E-9 | Average RMSE: 6.7810793E-9 | Average RMSE: 5.5923164E-9 |
| RMSE Range: [3.8245678E-9, 1.7806973E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.656837E-9, 1.1873054E-7] | RMSE Range: [5.4992894E-10, 8.04925E-8] | RMSE Range: [4.949075E-10, 9.013143E-8] | RMSE Range: [2.824433E-12, 7.0057965E-8] |
| | | | |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties
(top)
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| EvenFit | Standard Deviation | 1.0449693 |
| OverFit | Standard Deviation | 1.7818404 |
| UnderFit | Standard Deviation | 0.8148568 |
| EvenFit | Mean | -0.13341945 |
| OverFit | Mean | -0.18172759 |
| UnderFit | Mean | -0.08374752 |
| EvenFit | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.61473393 |
| OverFit | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.8631609 |
| UnderFit | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.4624991 |
| EvenFit | RMSE | 1.061421 |
| OverFit | RMSE | 1.7918018 |
| UnderFit | RMSE | 0.82706994 |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.3534586 | Average Standard Deviation: 2.0072389 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1864727 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.51640207, 103.036255] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.7703605, 103.08472] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41923192, 103.03313] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.13716297 | Average Mean: -0.11450335 | Average Mean: -0.12971848 |
| Mean Range: [-0.57786995, 7.5005083] | Mean Range: [-0.60922325, 7.672749] | Mean Range: [-0.6252677, 7.468846] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6287793 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.7173128 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5693467 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12570725, 8.68988] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17613573, 8.780822] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09295177, 8.647917] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.36675 | Average RMSE: 2.01876 | Average RMSE: 1.199912 |
| RMSE Range: [0.5166178, 103.29796] | RMSE Range: [0.77185255, 103.360565] | RMSE Range: [0.42093718, 103.29302] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0950013 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.7489755 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.35696596 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.7370617, 3.480681] | Standard Deviation Range: [3.471846, 10.75481] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19299613, 0.71518517] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.22174017 | Average Mean: -0.400149 | Average Mean: -0.06297485 |
| Mean Range: [-2.4048326, 0.6827459] | Mean Range: [-6.8054857, 0.78617334] | Mean Range: [-0.33947587, 0.3118628] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.750451 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.659871 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.25273347 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33694386, 2.727513] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3005127, 7.3838363] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13956724, 0.40170425] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.1319205 | Average RMSE: 3.746251 | Average RMSE: 0.37670565 |
| RMSE Range: [0.7305099, 4.12125] | RMSE Range: [3.4516528, 12.5343275] | RMSE Range: [0.20640858, 0.7093089] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.52421904 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.67693144 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.41491875 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.16045064, 1.758095] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.22756933, 2.851824] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 1.7806177] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.52421904 | Average Mean: -0.67693144 | Average Mean: -0.41491875 |
| Mean Range: [-1.758095, -0.16045064] | Mean Range: [-2.851824, -0.22756933] | Mean Range: [-1.7806177, -0.08405323] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.52421904 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.67693144 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.41491875 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16045064, 1.758095] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22756933, 2.851824] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 1.7806177] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.52421904 | Average RMSE: 0.67693144 | Average RMSE: 0.41491875 |
| RMSE Range: [0.16045064, 1.758095] | RMSE Range: [0.22756933, 2.851824] | RMSE Range: [0.08405323, 1.7806177] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.0583824 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1044499 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0072747 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.618988, 2.521807] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.601255, 4.3981156] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4715995, 2.2986403] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.03246522 | Average Mean: -0.020873994 | Average Mean: -0.032442927 |
| Mean Range: [-0.5237584, 0.20391776] | Mean Range: [-0.4575115, 0.38127372] | Mean Range: [-0.51990396, 0.10633183] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.61110795 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.62648743 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5751449 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33716983, 1.3277268] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3349272, 1.7224144] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22234035, 1.179232] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.0596422 | Average RMSE: 1.1057395 | Average RMSE: 1.0085416 |
| RMSE Range: [0.61869335, 2.526615] | RMSE Range: [0.6018525, 4.396955] | RMSE Range: [0.470981, 2.327609] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.1937851 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3716067 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1086521 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.5059746, 103.02389] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.6039092, 103.02343] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3984668, 103.02504] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.2484901 | Average Mean: 0.30381984 | Average Mean: 0.22131741 |
| Mean Range: [-4.5928487E-4, 7.602286] | Mean Range: [-0.026355736, 7.7143106] | Mean Range: [0.0027648576, 7.5691633] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.55911237 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6352019 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5003518 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.120625384, 8.389796] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15172513, 8.492587] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.091301955, 8.354886] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2245733 | Average RMSE: 1.4113266 | Average RMSE: 1.1352715 |
| RMSE Range: [0.50767195, 103.29315] | RMSE Range: [0.60660404, 103.3015] | RMSE Range: [0.4015609, 103.29269] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.0469606E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.5131781E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 3.1463976E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [3.0694002E-5, 4.1037612E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.2877255E-5, 7.265244E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0105975E-5, 2.33405E-4] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: -9.039115E-6 | Average Mean: -1.223996E-5 | Average Mean: -2.9833914E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-2.0856503E-5, 2.3558303E-5] | Mean Range: [-3.4477605E-5, 4.5808087E-5] | Mean Range: [-1.3187383E-5, 1.3049271E-5] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.299629E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 6.984076E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.3657747E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.6188811E-5, 1.3799714E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [2.4303912E-5, 2.7618953E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.6847626E-6, 9.891261E-5] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.091655E-5 | Average RMSE: 1.5169509E-4 | Average RMSE: 3.1663774E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [3.145631E-5, 4.100053E-4] | RMSE Range: [4.3400043E-5, 7.256207E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0375307E-5, 2.3303334E-4] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 9.402112E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.9589312E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.540603E-10 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.8704896E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.069019E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.2327371E-8] |
 |  |  |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 4.447601E-11 | Average Mean: 7.6786306E-11 | Average Mean: 2.849735E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Range: [0.0, 6.406474E-10] |
 |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 4.447601E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 7.6786306E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.849735E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 2.4110036E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 6.406474E-10] |
 |  |  |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 9.408299E-10 | Average RMSE: 1.9595552E-9 | Average RMSE: 7.544747E-10 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 2.8705356E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.069286E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 1.2328238E-8] |
 |  |  |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.4908614E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.5116888E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.365835E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [9.07247E-10, 6.1414227E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [7.693168E-10, 4.6909733E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.046955E-9, 5.506526E-7] |
| | |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.2764162E-9 | Average Mean: 2.2601707E-9 | Average Mean: 2.2305844E-9 |
| Mean Range: [6.663954E-11, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Range: [6.6546255E-11, 2.0405006E-8] | Mean Range: [5.933976E-11, 2.3000192E-8] |
| | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2764162E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2601707E-9 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2305844E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.663954E-11, 2.6547516E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.6546255E-11, 2.0405006E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.933976E-11, 2.3000192E-8] |
| | |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.4949772E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.5156984E-8 | Average RMSE: 4.369972E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [9.09282E-10, 6.144526E-7] | RMSE Range: [7.71843E-10, 4.693399E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.0490572E-9, 5.508968E-7] |
| | |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.4179868E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.3758905E-7 | Average Standard Deviation: 4.396491E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.9625541E-9, 5.7692405E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [2.4322895E-9, 5.3175618E-6] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.8300874E-9, 4.744935E-6] |
| | |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.8683648E-8 | Average Mean: 1.8534365E-8 | Average Mean: 1.8559737E-8 |
| Mean Range: [1.265129E-10, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Range: [1.2431355E-10, 1.9112234E-7] | Mean Range: [3.3412897E-10, 1.7373159E-7] |
| | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8683648E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8534365E-8 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8559737E-8 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.265129E-10, 2.0145517E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2431355E-10, 1.9112234E-7] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [3.3412897E-10, 1.7373159E-7] |
| | |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.4204896E-7 | Average RMSE: 4.3783882E-7 | Average RMSE: 4.3989684E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [1.9657669E-9, 5.77035E-6] | RMSE Range: [2.4343967E-9, 5.3187773E-6] | RMSE Range: [4.8395132E-9, 4.746135E-6] |
| | |
Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.5589345E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4363812E-8 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.4568016E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.7793359E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [4.681144E-10, 1.4571475E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.324758E-10, 1.3131898E-7] |
| | |
Mean
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean: 8.634026E-10 | Average Mean: 8.142861E-10 | Average Mean: 8.3101626E-10 |
| Mean Range: [8.299979E-14, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Range: [1.8361807E-11, 8.505965E-9] | Mean Range: [5.493283E-12, 7.455185E-9] |
| | |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.634026E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.142861E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.3101626E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.299979E-14, 8.706884E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.8361807E-11, 8.505965E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.493283E-12, 7.455185E-9] |
| | |
RMSE
| Even-Fit Paleo Data | Over-Fit Paleo Data (5x) | Under-Fit Paleo Data (10x) |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.5607668E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.43818495E-8 | Average RMSE: 1.45866945E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.7806973E-7] | RMSE Range: [4.691266E-10, 1.4589997E-7] | RMSE Range: [1.3253248E-10, 1.3147381E-7] |
| | |
Segmentation Model
(top)
Segmentation Model Average Constraint Fits
(top)
Average misfits across all constraints as a function of Segmentation Model choice
| Choice | Quantity | Average Constraint Misfit |
|---|
| Classic | Standard Deviation | 2.0582829 |
| HighSeg | Standard Deviation | 1.1136225 |
| LowSeg | Standard Deviation | 1.113215 |
| MidSeg | Standard Deviation | 1.1163509 |
| None | Standard Deviation | 1.1642555 |
| Classic | Mean | -0.1353188 |
| HighSeg | Mean | -0.1319139 |
| LowSeg | Mean | -0.1317418 |
| MidSeg | Mean | -0.13076654 |
| None | Mean | -0.14280483 |
| Classic | Mean Absolute Deviation | 1.0151873 |
| HighSeg | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6001898 |
| LowSeg | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.60364 |
| MidSeg | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.6006175 |
| None | Mean Absolute Deviation | 0.64309067 |
| Classic | RMSE | 2.0640302 |
| HighSeg | RMSE | 1.1263033 |
| LowSeg | RMSE | 1.1272042 |
| MidSeg | RMSE | 1.1292664 |
| None | RMSE | 1.1824948 |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain Slip Rate Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.7783155 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.265841 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2519774 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.2562326 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.3087426 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.43565083, 103.08472] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.46386972, 7.7491665] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.41923192, 8.072172] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.44974378, 7.689649] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.43109837, 8.6793995] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.10423542 | Average Mean: -0.14531925 | Average Mean: -0.15347266 | Average Mean: -0.14661278 | Average Mean: -0.19277667 |
| Mean Range: [-0.13566248, 7.672749] | Mean Range: [-0.44818017, 0.3607987] | Mean Range: [-0.51639825, 0.37579268] | Mean Range: [-0.5118306, 0.36788204] | Mean Range: [-0.6252677, 0.37674075] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.4944826 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5364012 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5420163 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5378655 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.58348083 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.09295177, 8.780822] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.19352438, 1.3035033] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18326603, 1.4013402] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.1870951, 1.3585513] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16906978, 1.5602381] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.7837691 | Average RMSE: 1.2780119 | Average RMSE: 1.2658848 | Average RMSE: 1.2688607 | Average RMSE: 1.3285837 |
| RMSE Range: [0.43603635, 103.360565] | RMSE Range: [0.46568656, 7.7494884] | RMSE Range: [0.42093718, 8.072567] | RMSE Range: [0.4517015, 7.6900606] | RMSE Range: [0.4329501, 8.679381] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Paleoseismic Event Rate Misfits
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Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.05806 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.7120771 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6839217 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6936386 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.6934259 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.24600539, 10.75481] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.25745514, 9.236274] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.21496351, 8.779464] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.23909673, 8.854396] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.19299613, 9.043878] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.1056854 | Average Mean: -0.21002404 | Average Mean: -0.26212654 | Average Mean: -0.24228655 | Average Mean: -0.29600975 |
| Mean Range: [-6.8054857, 0.78617334] | Mean Range: [-3.5449896, 0.46283257] | Mean Range: [-3.820906, 0.1222892] | Mean Range: [-3.665226, 0.25417095] | Mean Range: [-4.3193607, 0.077134855] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.2469184 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.85103136 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8412675 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.84233946 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.86728597 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16119915, 7.3838363] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18181403, 3.9147468] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.15281188, 4.1809278] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16969487, 4.030414] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.13956724, 4.687816] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.078461 | Average RMSE: 1.725866 | Average RMSE: 1.7037945 | Average RMSE: 1.7101182 | Average RMSE: 1.7222557 |
| RMSE Range: [0.24575715, 12.5343275] | RMSE Range: [0.27547142, 9.798201] | RMSE Range: [0.22249939, 9.501414] | RMSE Range: [0.24388611, 9.508351] | RMSE Range: [0.20640858, 9.947938] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain Parkfield Misfits
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Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 0.8157802 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.50931334 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.49762177 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.49936652 | Average Standard Deviation: 0.549834 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.12160587, 2.851824] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.14980698, 1.3100306] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.10346252, 1.421531] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.11784607, 1.3850814] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 1.8059237] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: -0.8157802 | Average Mean: -0.50931334 | Average Mean: -0.49762177 | Average Mean: -0.49936652 | Average Mean: -0.549834 |
| Mean Range: [-2.851824, -0.12160587] | Mean Range: [-1.3100306, -0.14980698] | Mean Range: [-1.421531, -0.10346252] | Mean Range: [-1.3850814, -0.11784607] | Mean Range: [-1.8059237, -0.08405323] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.8157802 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.50931334 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49762177 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.49936652 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.549834 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.12160587, 2.851824] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.14980698, 1.3100306] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.10346252, 1.421531] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.11784607, 1.3850814] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.08405323, 1.8059237] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 0.8157802 | Average RMSE: 0.50931334 | Average RMSE: 0.49762177 | Average RMSE: 0.49936652 | Average RMSE: 0.549834 |
| RMSE Range: [0.12160587, 2.851824] | RMSE Range: [0.14980698, 1.3100306] | RMSE Range: [0.10346252, 1.421531] | RMSE Range: [0.11784607, 1.3850814] | RMSE Range: [0.08405323, 1.8059237] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain MFD Equality Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.2614293 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0062761 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0427942 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0271474 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1197354 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.4715995, 3.1475816] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.56134516, 2.7277696] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.59631026, 3.6659305] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.58121705, 3.1646676] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.6118967, 4.3981156] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.032264773 | Average Mean: -0.06559716 | Average Mean: -0.018118441 | Average Mean: -0.03706915 | Average Mean: 0.026030574 |
| Mean Range: [-0.22033031, 0.38127372] | Mean Range: [-0.5237584, 0.007640508] | Mean Range: [-0.5127424, 0.06471868] | Mean Range: [-0.503588, 0.026535323] | Mean Range: [-0.414821, 0.13902847] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6715026 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5774727 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6055869 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.59518296 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.6418241 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.22234035, 1.7224144] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.3082461, 1.1721438] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.32524222, 1.1751357] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.31635383, 1.2296256] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.33990824, 1.2747046] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.2613331 | Average RMSE: 1.0088831 | Average RMSE: 1.0433695 | Average RMSE: 1.0282786 | Average RMSE: 1.1201874 |
| RMSE Range: [0.470981, 3.1445363] | RMSE Range: [0.56166494, 2.7527347] | RMSE Range: [0.59615654, 3.6645432] | RMSE Range: [0.5811136, 3.1797845] | RMSE Range: [0.61210275, 4.396955] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Uncertain Subsection Total Nucleation Rates Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.3778288 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0746051 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0897598 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1053697 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.1495398 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.43877807, 103.02504] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4535675, 3.024334] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.3984668, 3.391168] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.4226535, 3.2002227] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.40103087, 3.4283478] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: 0.108371384 | Average Mean: 0.2706843 | Average Mean: 0.27263036 | Average Mean: 0.27150235 | Average Mean: 0.29856575 |
| Mean Range: [-0.026355736, 7.7143106] | Mean Range: [0.058608882, 0.7732924] | Mean Range: [0.040586628, 0.93046844] | Mean Range: [0.044947244, 0.8480042] | Mean Range: [0.021313528, 1.1033187] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.84725267 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5267304 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.53170747 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.52833325 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 0.5730284 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.091301955, 8.492587] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.18217552, 1.2633622] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17173639, 1.3898293] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.17491508, 1.3392825] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.16317786, 1.5474101] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.3808074 | Average RMSE: 1.1094421 | Average RMSE: 1.1253504 | Average RMSE: 1.139708 | Average RMSE: 1.191613 |
| RMSE Range: [0.4393917, 103.3015] | RMSE Range: [0.46098188, 3.1213613] | RMSE Range: [0.40465355, 3.5162024] | RMSE Range: [0.42903224, 3.310386] | RMSE Range: [0.4015609, 3.601211] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Laplacian Smoothing (select parents) Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 2.0870987E-4 | Average Standard Deviation: 8.133234E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.514473E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.827189E-5 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.3025956E-5 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.9377514E-5, 7.265244E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0358389E-5, 3.9944262E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.1834617E-5, 3.997152E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.0105975E-5, 3.9993253E-4] | Standard Deviation Range: [1.3029867E-5, 3.744332E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean: -5.0804224E-6 | Average Mean: -8.54286E-6 | Average Mean: -8.319892E-6 | Average Mean: -8.691761E-6 | Average Mean: -7.450815E-6 |
| Mean Range: [-3.4477605E-5, 4.5808087E-5] | Mean Range: [-2.9784262E-5, 7.542859E-7] | Mean Range: [-3.188072E-5, 4.1568444E-7] | Mean Range: [-3.0211837E-5, 2.798262E-7] | Mean Range: [-3.4186887E-5, 1.6099939E-6] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.048148E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.936532E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.676438E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.799073E-5 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 3.5570934E-5 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.3258323E-5, 2.7618953E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [4.6847626E-6, 1.4354888E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.5560977E-6, 1.2354732E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.673205E-6, 1.2855252E-4] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [6.698306E-6, 1.1938455E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation | None |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 2.0861377E-4 | Average RMSE: 8.170879E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.554673E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.868775E-5 | Average RMSE: 7.335449E-5 |
| RMSE Range: [2.9364446E-5, 7.256207E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0375307E-5, 3.9957746E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.193662E-5, 3.99871E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.0474247E-5, 4.0008503E-4] | RMSE Range: [1.32584055E-5, 3.747838E-4] |
 |  |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Minimum from 2 models Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 3.4243546E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 1.0286455E-9 | Average Standard Deviation: 7.995434E-10 | Average Standard Deviation: 9.500768E-10 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 9.069019E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [8.840025E-13, 1.2407443E-7] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 8.341977E-8] | Standard Deviation Range: [0.0, 6.9040375E-8] |
 |  |  |  |
Mean
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.5866148E-10 | Average Mean: 2.7715174E-11 | Average Mean: 1.8606857E-11 | Average Mean: 2.3419428E-11 |
| Mean Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Range: [1.4213082E-14, 2.2984215E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 1.3539432E-9] | Mean Range: [0.0, 1.0824478E-9] |
 |  |  |  |
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.5866148E-10 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.7715174E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8606857E-11 | Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.3419428E-11 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 5.994638E-8] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.4213082E-14, 2.2984215E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.3539432E-9] | Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [0.0, 1.0824478E-9] |
 |  |  |  |
RMSE
| Classic | High Segmentation | Low Segmentation | Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 3.4275085E-9 | Average RMSE: 1.0289398E-9 | Average RMSE: 7.9969126E-10 | Average RMSE: 9.502895E-10 |
| RMSE Range: [0.0, 9.069286E-7] | RMSE Range: [8.8402115E-13, 1.2408229E-7] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 8.342174E-8] | RMSE Range: [0.0, 6.904139E-8] |
 |  |  |  |
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.95, R₀=3] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.4561283E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [7.693168E-10, 6.1414227E-7] |
|
Mean
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 2.2557238E-9 |
| Mean Range: [5.933976E-11, 2.6547516E-8] |
|
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 2.2557238E-9 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [5.933976E-11, 2.6547516E-8] |
|
RMSE
| Middle Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.460216E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [7.71843E-10, 6.144526E-7] |
|
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=1.65, R₀=2] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 4.3967896E-7 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [1.9625541E-9, 5.7692405E-6] |
|
Mean
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 1.8592583E-8 |
| Mean Range: [1.2431355E-10, 2.0145517E-7] |
|
Mean Absolute Deviation
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 1.8592583E-8 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [1.2431355E-10, 2.0145517E-7] |
|
RMSE
| High Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 4.3992821E-7 |
| RMSE Range: [1.9657669E-9, 5.77035E-6] |
|
Segmentation Model, Relative Rate Jump Probability Constraint, Shaw07 [A=2.12, R₀=4] Misfits
(top)
Standard Deviation
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Standard Deviation: 1.484039E-8 |
| Standard Deviation Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.7793359E-7] |
|
Mean
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean: 8.3623497E-10 |
| Mean Range: [8.299979E-14, 8.706884E-9] |
|
Mean Absolute Deviation
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average Mean Absolute Deviation: 8.3623497E-10 |
| Mean Absolute Deviation Range: [8.299979E-14, 8.706884E-9] |
|
RMSE
| Low Segmentation |
|---|
| Average RMSE: 1.4858737E-8 |
| RMSE Range: [2.824433E-12, 1.7806973E-7] |
|