Long Beach Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Long Beach, PGA
Long Beach, 1.0s SA

Long Beach, PGA

Primary	Comparison

Long Beach, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
Comparison	0.8318549 (g)	0.413173 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
Geologic	0.8035833 (g)	0.38930655 (g)
Evans	0.5518348 (g)	0.30064395 (g)
Pollitz	0.90042657 (g)	0.4219086 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.7595453 (g)	0.3560288 (g)
Zeng	0.87947583 (g)	0.42114422 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.75733316 (g)	0.35931635 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.8032021 (g)	0.38066092 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.85380983 (g)	0.40895742 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.80342275 (g)	0.37926662 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.86378807 (g)	0.4131129 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.83485955 (g)	0.39639813 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
b=0.0	0.7877898 (g)	0.3684568 (g)
b=0.25	0.8101721 (g)	0.38186026 (g)
b=0.5	0.8223763 (g)	0.389606 (g)
b=0.75	0.83629274 (g)	0.39951298 (g)
b=1.0	0.8453915 (g)	0.40864196 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
EvenFit	0.80677235 (g)	0.38553464 (g)
OverFit	0.8035083 (g)	0.38393053 (g)
UnderFit	0.8528915 (g)	0.4003714 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
None	0.79239315 (g)	0.37610176 (g)
LowSeg	0.7994028 (g)	0.37759322 (g)
MidSeg	0.8012704 (g)	0.37778747 (g)
HighSeg	0.8076429 (g)	0.38336498 (g)
Classic	0.9717372 (g)	0.47467548 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
PrefSeis	0.82070255 (g)	0.38948187 (g)
LowSeis	0.80852425 (g)	0.3757896 (g)
HighSeis	0.83510476 (g)	0.40496278 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
GK	0.8273466 (g)	0.39678365 (g)
NN	0.8183943 (g)	0.38742247 (g)
Reas	0.81363434 (g)	0.38063297 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
Adaptive	0.8120158 (g)	0.38249764 (g)
Fixed	0.8342173 (g)	0.40066218 (g)

Long Beach, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.82107806 (g)	0.38991684 (g)
MMax7.3	0.8209348 (g)	0.38943353 (g)
MMax7.6	0.8210463 (g)	0.38986912 (g)
MMax7.9	0.82147527 (g)	0.39077723 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA

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Primary	Comparison

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

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2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

Comparison Distribution, 2% in 50 year	Comparison Distribution, 10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Primary	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
Comparison	0.5239566 (g)	0.24636218 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
Geologic	0.54886043 (g)	0.26410285 (g)
Evans	0.36742935 (g)	0.20922223 (g)
Pollitz	0.6145071 (g)	0.2851045 (g)
Shen-Bird	0.5049307 (g)	0.23873049 (g)
Zeng	0.60489863 (g)	0.28428882 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
LogA+4.3	0.5112768 (g)	0.24031323 (g)
LogA+4.2	0.5432932 (g)	0.25626454 (g)
LogA+4.1	0.5779066 (g)	0.2738503 (g)
WdthLmtd	0.5372963 (g)	0.25342938 (g)
LogA+4.2, SqrtLen	0.5959689 (g)	0.28286493 (g)
WdthLmtd, CSD	0.56846887 (g)	0.27000687 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
b=0.0	0.5442287 (g)	0.25410762 (g)
b=0.25	0.5537341 (g)	0.26042035 (g)
b=0.5	0.5580528 (g)	0.26359916 (g)
b=0.75	0.5625071 (g)	0.2670827 (g)
b=1.0	0.56397265 (g)	0.26975292 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
EvenFit	0.54809844 (g)	0.26111826 (g)
OverFit	0.542642 (g)	0.25826383 (g)
UnderFit	0.57902074 (g)	0.2700146 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
None	0.5522144 (g)	0.26066065 (g)
LowSeg	0.55034214 (g)	0.25956666 (g)
MidSeg	0.5480352 (g)	0.25801817 (g)
HighSeg	0.5477814 (g)	0.25877997 (g)
Classic	0.61964273 (g)	0.29818195 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
PrefSeis	0.5562597 (g)	0.26272315 (g)
LowSeis	0.550996 (g)	0.25712606 (g)
HighSeis	0.5640203 (g)	0.2707096 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
GK	0.55787796 (g)	0.26446652 (g)
NN	0.5562226 (g)	0.2627425 (g)
Reas	0.55486834 (g)	0.2609918 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
Adaptive	0.55523294 (g)	0.26181355 (g)
Fixed	0.55867594 (g)	0.2649826 (g)

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

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Individual Curves	Choice Mean Curves

2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year

	2% in 50 year	10% in 50 year
Full Model	0.5566181 (g)	0.26309028 (g)
MMax7.3	0.55516577 (g)	0.2613652 (g)
MMax7.6	0.5564983 (g)	0.26296052 (g)
MMax7.9	0.5590028 (g)	0.265802 (g)

Long Beach Logic Tree Hazard Curves

Table Of Contents

Long Beach, PGA

Long Beach, PGA, Hazard Value Distributions

Long Beach, PGA, Deformation Model Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Long Beach, PGA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Hazard Value Distributions

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Deformation Model Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Scaling Relationship Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Supra-Seismogenic b-value Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Paleoseismic Data Uncertainties Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Segmentation Model Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Regional Seismicity Rate Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Declustering Algorithm Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Seismicity Smoothing Kernel Hazard

Long Beach, 1.0s SA, Off Fault Mmax Hazard